@0x77f490fedf15f5a7a94bf458f8ac225b9b054410

2

0x77f490fedf15f5a7a94bf458f8ac225b9b054410

~25d· 32 markets · 402 trades2026-08-02 05:19:40
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

2
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

25% (6/24)0/20
0.20x (win $82 / loss $404)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -9.5100/15
Sortino -8.8060/10
$-0.6157 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 2140 (24 markets)1.8/10
3/12 profitable days (25%)0/10
Max DD 0% of peak ($322 / $0)0/10

Badges

1
Lottery Player
91% entries < $0.20

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-267
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$523
Total Redeem
$228
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
32
total markets
Trades
208B / 194S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~25d

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
25%
6W / 18L events
Realized PnL
$-267
Win Rate
25%
6W / 18L
Profit Factor
0.2x
Avg Win
$14
Avg Loss
$-22

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $71 (0.26589248923019293% of PnL)

Top Winners

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$40
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$22
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30?$9
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?$6
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?$4
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?$1

Top Losers

US forces enter Iran by April 30?$-57
Netanyahu out by June 30?$-53
Will Elon Musk buy Ryanair?$-51
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?$-47
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of June?$-27
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?$-27
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?$-26
Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?$-25
Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?$-25
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?$-25

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.477
Sortino
-0.505
HHI
916
Moderate
EV per $1
$-0.655
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
22.5%
Top-5 markets
54.6%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
3.4
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.3
Active Hours
19/24
Extended
Peak Hour
13:00 UTC
Median Gap
48s
between trades
Avg Gap
2.1h
between trades
Night Trading
2%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.80
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
7.2

Bot Detection

#6
5
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
MEDIUM
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 48s — normal for humanCV 1.80 — diverse sizes (human-like)2% night trades — normal pattern19/24 hours — extended activity3 trades/day — normal0.3 markets/day — normal51% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 13:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
15.92
Heavy DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)91.3%
Mid (20-55c)3.4%
High (>55c)5.3%

Sessions

#12
4/7/2026, 1:39:07 PM3 trades$7,1430 min
6/26/2026, 1:39:06 PM18 trades$2,1671 min
6/19/2026, 1:39:07 PM21 trades$1,8441 min
6/24/2026, 1:39:07 PM25 trades$1,6351 min
6/23/2026, 1:39:05 PM22 trades$1,1961 min
6/18/2026, 1:39:05 PM29 trades$1,1421 min
6/22/2026, 1:39:07 PM23 trades$1,1061 min
6/25/2026, 1:39:05 PM31 trades$9431 min
6/17/2026, 1:39:13 PM15 trades$5391 min
6/16/2026, 1:39:07 PM26 trades$3877 min
6/15/2026, 1:39:19 PM21 trades$3431 min
6/29/2026, 1:39:07 PM21 trades$2431 min
6/10/2026, 1:39:36 PM14 trades$1922 min
6/12/2026, 1:39:12 PM19 trades$12313 min
4/21/2026, 1:39:08 PM5 trades$930 min
6/30/2026, 1:39:07 PM9 trades$551 min
7/30/2026, 1:39:06 PM5 trades$490 min
6/12/2026, 2:04:52 PM3 trades$267 min
6/18/2026, 4:31:10 PM1 trades$250 min
4/7/2026, 8:19:53 PM1 trades$250 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
04-07
04-22
06-10
06-12
06-24
06-29

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
48.3% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 15.92/mkt
Entry Bias
LOW $
L91.3 / M3.4 / H5.3