@Efreon
#2,974,663110x789e052206267705ff69a689d318305ad8e13bb1
~74d· 168 markets · 1891 tradesVol: $262,5722026-08-02 08:01:52
SMART SCORE SYSTEM
Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.
Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.
11
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard
Score Components
33% (53/163)1.3/20
0.71x (win $6,331 / loss $8,940)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -2.3250/15
Sortino -2.6600/10
$-0.0869 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 1145 (163 markets)6.8/10
24/60 profitable days (40%)2.5/10
Max DD 3575% of peak ($2,868 / $80)0/10
Categories
8🏛️ POLITICS#1,614,719$-1,008Vol: $232,205
💻 TECH#254,242$-363Vol: $14,989
💰 FINANCE#638,109$-156Vol: $7,881
🎭 CULTURE#701,955$-13Vol: $5,022
₿ CRYPTO#1,299,198$-26Vol: $1,512
📢 MENTIONS#160,922$-77Vol: $877
📈 ECONOMICS#415,890$-0Vol: $73
⚽ SPORTS#680,415$-0Vol: $12
Overview
#1Net PnL
$-1,643
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$262,572
Total Redeem
$290
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
168
total markets
Trades
652B / 1239S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~74d
Periods
#2Today
$-0
Vol: $0
Week
$-0
Vol: $0
Month
$-0
Vol: $0
All Time
$-1,643
Vol: $262,572
PnL Analysis
#3Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology
Win Rate (events)
33%
53W / 110L events
Realized PnL
$-1,643
Win Rate
33%
53W / 110L
Profit Factor
0.71x
Avg Win
$119
Avg Loss
$-91
Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $2,885 (1.7561633328869355% of PnL)
Top Winners
Will Trump announce a Taiwan arms sales halt?$1,222
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?$952
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?$711
Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by May 31?$483
Will Elon Musk’s net worth be between $650b and $660b on April 30?$328
Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30?$257
Will Trump’s approval rating be between 39.0 and 39.4 on May 1, 2026?$249
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?$209
Starmer out by May 31, 2026?$155
Will Trump announce AI export restrictions relief for China?$138
Top Losers
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?$-1,946
Will Abbas Araghchi sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?$-597
Will Ken Paxton win the Texas Republican Senate Primary runoff by 9% or more?$-568
Will Gemini 3.2 be released on May 19?$-505
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?$-360
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?$-347
US forces enter Iran by March 31?$-288
Will Anthropic have the best Math AI model at the end of May 2026?$-275
Will the next model released by OpenAI debut at a score of at least 1480?$-220
Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 16? $-191
Risk Metrics
#4Sharpe
-0.121
Sortino
-0.117
HHI
429
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.087
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
14.9%
Top-5 markets
35.8%
Behavior Analysis
#5Trades / Day
13.4
Active
Markets / Day
1.2
Active Hours
20/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
12:00 UTC
Median Gap
5.1m
between trades
Avg Gap
1.7h
between trades
Night Trading
3%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
2.55
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
2 min
Avg Trades / Session
12.1
Bot Detection
#610
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability
7 indicators analyzed
Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 306s — normal for humanCV 2.55 — diverse sizes (human-like)3% night trades — normal pattern20/24 hours — extended activity13 trades/day — very active1.2 markets/day — normal30% maker — normal mix
Timing Patterns
#7Peak hour: 12:00 UTC
0
4
8
12
16
20
DCA Analysis
#8Avg entries/market
11.44
Price Levels
#9Low (<20c)19%
Mid (20-55c)22.2%
High (>55c)58.7%
Sessions
#124/22/2026, 10:14:22 AM4 trades$25,1011 min
4/22/2026, 4:49:18 PM2 trades$7,2600 min
4/22/2026, 12:58:58 PM34 trades$5,3905 min
4/22/2026, 12:32:02 PM24 trades$2,5483 min
4/22/2026, 1:10:24 PM10 trades$2,5445 min
4/22/2026, 5:58:50 AM5 trades$2,0800 min
4/27/2026, 4:57:40 PM21 trades$2,0504 min
4/7/2026, 11:02:11 PM6 trades$1,8551 min
4/23/2026, 9:43:28 AM13 trades$1,7151 min
4/7/2026, 10:24:31 PM4 trades$1,6820 min
5/25/2026, 1:18:00 PM10 trades$1,6710 min
4/27/2026, 4:32:18 PM15 trades$1,6410 min
4/23/2026, 7:30:56 AM23 trades$1,5551 min
5/13/2026, 9:30:18 PM16 trades$1,5327 min
4/23/2026, 11:17:56 AM19 trades$1,4342 min
4/9/2026, 2:04:33 PM19 trades$1,3851 min
6/17/2026, 8:32:52 PM7 trades$1,1360 min
4/7/2026, 11:08:31 PM4 trades$1,0250 min
5/16/2026, 9:05:35 AM17 trades$8476 min
4/3/2026, 7:28:41 PM8 trades$8130 min
Equity Curve
#13Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
02-23
04-23
05-15
06-01
06-15
06-25
Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)
Max drawdown: 53 days (not recovered)
Profile
#14Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
65.5% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 11.44/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L19 / M22.2 / H58.7