tianshen

@tianshen

#3,027,2279

0x79218dc7635de1aa9d413628744e6cebdf9dbbc3

~21d· 280 markets · 2389 tradesVol: $806,6382026-08-02 05:08:49
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

9
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

41% (114/280)5.4/20
0.71x (win $6,294 / loss $8,860)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -6.3880/15
Sortino -6.3790/10
$-0.2072 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 8711 (280 markets)0/10
9/21 profitable days (43%)3.2/10
Max DD 0% of peak ($2,968 / $0)0/10

Badges

3
Lottery Player
55% entries < $0.20
Win Streak
5 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active

Categories

4
SPORTS#1,864,222$-3,243Vol: $778,868
CRYPTO#1,546,249$-240Vol: $25,706
🌤️ WEATHER#279,503$-66Vol: $2,024
💰 FINANCE#587,541$-16Vol: $40

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-3,565
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$806,638
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
280
total markets
Trades
1365B / 1024S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~21d

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
41%
114W / 166L events
Realized PnL
$-3,565
Win Rate
41%
114W / 166L
Profit Factor
0.71x
Avg Win
$55
Avg Loss
$-58

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $1,677 (0.4704248897665182% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will England vs. Ghana end in a draw?$669
Will Belgium vs. IR Iran end in a draw?$527
Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-25?$481
Algeria vs. Austria: O/U 4.5$319
Germany vs. Côte d'Ivoire: Germany O/U 1.5$225
Exact Score: Colombia 1 - 0 DR Congo?$210
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-29?$199
Will Japan vs. Sweden end in a draw?$195
Norway vs. France: O/U 4.5$193
Exact Score: England 0 - 0 Ghana?$153

Top Losers

Will IR Iran win on 2026-06-21?$-1,345
Panama vs. Croatia: Croatia O/U 1.5$-340
Scotland vs. Morocco: O/U 1.5$-324
Will Panama win on 2026-06-23?$-256
Germany vs. Côte d'Ivoire: Germany O/U 2.5$-201
Germany vs. Côte d'Ivoire: O/U 5.5$-201
Germany vs. Côte d'Ivoire: O/U 3.5$-201
England vs. Ghana: O/U 2.5$-200
Will United States win on 2026-07-06?$-200
Netherlands vs. Sweden: Sweden O/U 1.5$-161

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.326
Sortino
-0.324
HHI
121
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.207
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
6.3%
Top-5 markets
15.1%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
79.6
Very active
Markets / Day
9.3
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
21:00 UTC
Median Gap
51s
between trades
Avg Gap
34.7m
between trades
Night Trading
20%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
2.59
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
4 min
Avg Trades / Session
29.2

Bot Detection

#6
45
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
MEDIUM
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
HIGH
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
MEDIUM
Median gap 51s — normal for humanCV 2.59 — diverse sizes (human-like)20% night trades — unusual hours24/24 hours — around the clock80 trades/day — mass trading9.3 markets/day — normal57% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 21:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
8.53
Active DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)54.7%
Mid (20-55c)23.1%
High (>55c)22.2%

Sessions

#12
6/21/2026, 8:57:14 PM844 trades$499,7094 min
6/21/2026, 4:59:17 PM14 trades$3,9703 min
6/26/2026, 2:04:28 AM52 trades$2,49414 min
6/20/2026, 7:52:38 PM16 trades$1,9766 min
6/23/2026, 7:14:47 PM18 trades$1,6114 min
6/27/2026, 9:12:23 PM59 trades$1,27610 min
6/20/2026, 6:06:26 PM8 trades$1,1902 min
6/23/2026, 10:46:49 PM5 trades$1,0713 min
6/21/2026, 1:40:34 PM17 trades$1,0636 min
6/21/2026, 10:05:49 PM22 trades$82212 min
6/23/2026, 10:08:07 PM11 trades$6861 min
6/26/2026, 3:53:31 PM19 trades$6601 min
6/23/2026, 11:42:32 PM5 trades$6312 min
6/26/2026, 12:19:13 AM30 trades$6009 min
6/20/2026, 6:34:52 PM38 trades$59021 min
6/22/2026, 1:48:20 PM6 trades$5751 min
6/23/2026, 11:18:35 PM24 trades$55810 min
6/21/2026, 9:24:23 PM2 trades$5410 min
6/20/2026, 2:16:25 AM10 trades$5355 min
6/21/2026, 7:16:10 PM12 trades$49411 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
06-19
06-22
06-25
06-28
07-01
07-04
07-10

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
42.9% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 8.53/mkt
Entry Bias
LOW $
L54.7 / M23.1 / H22.2