noemiarajas

@noemiarajas

#2,533,3816

0x7939a033cd502040ac30cd039ca058bd518533fb

~33d· 44 markets · 135 tradesVol: $16,6922026-08-02 05:27:31
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

6
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

25% (7/28)0/20
0.61x (win $211 / loss $348)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -2.0980/15
Sortino -2.5960/10
$-0.0122 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 1247 (28 markets)6.3/10
7/27 profitable days (26%)0/10
Max DD 322% of peak ($199 / $62)0/10

Categories

4
🏛️ POLITICS#130,011$21Vol: $11,084
SPORTS#1,695,940$-119Vol: $5,584
CRYPTO#736,695$-0Vol: $13
🎭 CULTURE#367,500$-0Vol: $11

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-97
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$16,692
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
44
total markets
Trades
66B / 69S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~33d

Periods

#2
Today
$-0
Vol: $0
Week
$-0
Vol: $0
Month
$-0
Vol: $0
All Time
$-97
Vol: $16,692

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
25%
7W / 21L events
Realized PnL
$-10,445
Win Rate
25%
7W / 21L
Profit Factor
0.61x
Avg Win
$30
Avg Loss
$-17

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $190 (0.018145663154911673% of PnL)

Top Winners

Spurs vs. Bulls$138
Dolphins vs. Patriots$35
Who will speak more at VP Debate?$17
Kamala Silver Bulletin odds >55% Friday?$10
Mariners vs. Twins$6
Reds vs. Nationals$5
Will XRP reach $4.0 in June?$0

Top Losers

Trail Blazers vs. Pelicans$-142
Predators vs. Canucks$-105
WNBA: Lynx vs. Sun Series Winner$-77
Rangers vs. Blue Jays$-19
Will another person win the 2024 World Blitz Championship?$-1
Will the New York Islanders win the 2025 President’s Trophy?$-1
Will Heidi Reichinnek be the next Chancellor of Germany?$-1
Will Kim Boo-kyum be elected the next president of South Korea?$-1
Will the Boston Celtics win the 2025 NBA Finals?$-0
Will Lee Jae-myung be elected the next president of South Korea?$-0

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.108
Sortino
-0.122
HHI
4
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.231
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
1.3%
Top-5 markets
4.2%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
0.2
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.1
Active Hours
17/24
Extended
Peak Hour
14:00 UTC
Median Gap
9.3m
between trades
Avg Gap
4.7h
between trades
Night Trading
3%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
0.94
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
2.6

Bot Detection

#6
0
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 555s — normal for humanCV 0.94 — diverse sizes (human-like)3% night trades — normal pattern17/24 hours — normal schedule0 trades/day — normal0.1 markets/day — normal27% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 14:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
1.61
Single entry

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)9.1%
Mid (20-55c)19.7%
High (>55c)71.2%

Sessions

#12
7/16/2026, 5:57:19 PM24 trades$2,0844 min
7/15/2026, 2:50:20 PM12 trades$1,7884 min
7/16/2026, 11:38:44 PM12 trades$1,7846 min
7/16/2026, 10:43:13 AM8 trades$1,0853 min
7/16/2026, 1:58:19 PM10 trades$9135 min
7/15/2026, 12:31:05 PM7 trades$8942 min
7/16/2026, 1:49:13 PM6 trades$8931 min
7/17/2026, 8:41:57 AM6 trades$8930 min
7/16/2026, 10:55:07 AM5 trades$7031 min
1/7/2025, 6:48:17 PM1 trades$1420 min
1/3/2025, 10:19:33 AM1 trades$1050 min
1/6/2025, 1:59:23 AM1 trades$1040 min
10/7/2024, 6:35:35 AM1 trades$770 min
10/6/2024, 2:51:53 PM1 trades$410 min
10/2/2024, 1:40:50 PM1 trades$270 min
8/15/2025, 10:47:44 AM1 trades$190 min
10/1/2024, 10:02:02 AM1 trades$110 min
6/24/2025, 1:13:01 PM1 trades$60 min
7/23/2025, 1:49:11 PM1 trades$60 min
5/7/2025, 6:34:24 AM1 trades$50 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
10-01
01-03
03-13
04-16
05-02
05-08
06-24

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 313 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
51.1% sell
DCA Style
SINGLE
avg 1.61/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L9.1 / M19.7 / H71.2