@0x797a3862f754f39b5e6bfc45673a285f78a99cf2
30x797a3862f754f39b5e6bfc45673a285f78a99cf2
~29d· 13 markets · 216 trades2026-08-02 06:22:37
SMART SCORE SYSTEM
Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.
Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.
3
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard
Score Components
18% (2/11)0/20
0.26x (win $2,485 / loss $9,721)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -8.9780/15
Sortino -9.0140/10
$-0.3426 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 1945 (11 markets)2.8/10
2/9 profitable days (22%)0/10
Max DD 23562% of peak ($7,267 / $31)0/10
Overview
#1Net PnL
$-3,742
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$21,120
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
13
total markets
Trades
91B / 125S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~29d
PnL Analysis
#3Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology
Win Rate (events)
18%
2W / 9L events
Realized PnL
$-3,742
Win Rate
18%
2W / 9L
Profit Factor
0.26x
Avg Win
$1,243
Avg Loss
$-1,080
Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $2,485 (0.6641774888882355% of PnL)
Top Winners
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?$2,454
US forces enter Iran by December 31?$31
Top Losers
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$-3,098
US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?$-2,405
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?$-1,239
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?$-1,068
US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?$-978
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by May 31st?$-620
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by May 15?$-160
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?$-119
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?$-34
Risk Metrics
#4Sharpe
-0.443
Sortino
-0.554
HHI
1604
Moderate
EV per $1
$-0.374
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
32%
Top-5 markets
73.3%
Behavior Analysis
#5Trades / Day
1.9
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.1
Active Hours
17/24
Extended
Peak Hour
22:00 UTC
Median Gap
17.3m
between trades
Avg Gap
3.6h
between trades
Night Trading
1%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.25
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
0 min
Avg Trades / Session
3.8
Bot Detection
#60
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability
7 indicators analyzed
Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 1036s — normal for humanCV 1.26 — diverse sizes (human-like)1% night trades — normal pattern17/24 hours — normal schedule2 trades/day — normal0.1 markets/day — normal39% maker — normal mix
Timing Patterns
#7Peak hour: 22:00 UTC
0
4
8
12
16
20
DCA Analysis
#8Avg entries/market
16.64
Price Levels
#9Low (<20c)17.6%
Mid (20-55c)19.8%
High (>55c)62.6%
Sessions
#125/29/2026, 2:36:58 PM2 trades$3,4890 min
7/17/2026, 5:30:13 PM2 trades$3,3790 min
4/7/2026, 11:27:09 PM6 trades$2,7211 min
7/19/2026, 5:04:24 PM6 trades$2,6960 min
5/20/2026, 3:27:06 PM7 trades$1,7650 min
4/22/2026, 6:19:18 PM1 trades$1,0970 min
5/7/2026, 4:40:15 PM7 trades$1,0470 min
4/3/2026, 12:09:17 PM5 trades$9550 min
5/6/2026, 10:26:42 PM16 trades$8350 min
4/7/2026, 9:03:59 PM4 trades$8091 min
4/29/2026, 10:22:02 AM6 trades$7900 min
4/7/2026, 9:37:35 PM2 trades$7750 min
5/7/2026, 4:45:23 PM2 trades$6670 min
4/24/2026, 11:12:28 AM1 trades$6200 min
5/30/2026, 11:58:46 PM2 trades$6050 min
5/31/2026, 11:21:28 AM5 trades$6000 min
4/7/2026, 1:08:13 PM2 trades$5730 min
5/13/2026, 12:06:34 PM2 trades$5640 min
6/1/2026, 11:34:11 AM4 trades$5210 min
4/7/2026, 3:46:57 PM7 trades$5034 min
Equity Curve
#13Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
04-03
04-07
04-11
05-01
05-07
05-29
05-31
06-01
06-02
Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)
Max drawdown: 60 days (not recovered)
Profile
#14Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
57.9% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 16.64/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L17.6 / M19.8 / H62.6