@SimpleAlex

#2,938,6554

0x79916228fddb8bb8d07f42cbfdca0cbfd4fc24ad

~38d· 131 markets · 317 tradesVol: $331,033 @Alexander0006102026-08-02 05:08:58
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

4
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

12% (15/128)0/20
0.11x (win $159 / loss $1,460)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -8.7210/15
Sortino -7.9660/10
$-0.1515 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 1714 (128 markets)3.9/10
5/36 profitable days (14%)0/10
Max DD 0% of peak ($1,301 / $0)0/10

Badges

1
Lottery Player
69% entries < $0.20

Categories

5
SPORTS#1,805,278$-616Vol: $187,706
🎭 CULTURE#795,095$-211Vol: $106,787
CRYPTO#1,544,576$-234Vol: $26,092
📈 ECONOMICS#589,870$-8Vol: $8,271
🏛️ POLITICS#1,483,652$-62Vol: $1,164

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-1,134
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$331,033
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
131
total markets
Trades
178B / 139S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~38d

Periods

#2
Week
$-4
Vol: $0
Month
$-1
Vol: $0
All Time
$-1,134
Vol: $331,033

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
12%
15W / 113L events
Realized PnL
$-1,134
Win Rate
12%
15W / 113L
Profit Factor
0.11x
Avg Win
$11
Avg Loss
$-20

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $114 (0.10014374277979134% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will Norway win on 2026-06-22?$81
Will France win on 2026-06-16?$17
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?$16
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 17, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET$9
Will CD Guadalajara win on 2026-03-18?$9
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from February 10 to February 17, 2026?$9
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-20?$6
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 17, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET$4
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?$3

Top Losers

Will England win on 2026-07-11?$-324
Will Eleven die in "Stranger Things: Season 5"?$-206
Norway vs. England: Team to Advance$-95
Will South Africa win on 2026-06-11?$-80
Will Grigor Dimitrov win the 2026 Australian Open?$-77
Will Mexico vs. South Africa end in a draw?$-68
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET$-50
Will Solana reach $200 in January?$-40
Will Belgium win on 2026-06-15?$-40
Will Egypt win on 2026-06-15?$-40

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.450
Sortino
-0.421
HHI
1462
Moderate
EV per $1
$-0.153
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
26.4%
Top-5 markets
79.6%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
1.7
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.7
Active Hours
19/24
Extended
Peak Hour
22:00 UTC
Median Gap
1.3m
between trades
Avg Gap
1.8h
between trades
Night Trading
16%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
3.45
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
2 min
Avg Trades / Session
5.4

Bot Detection

#6
10
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 78s — normal for humanCV 3.45 — diverse sizes (human-like)16% night trades — unusual hours19/24 hours — extended activity2 trades/day — normal0.7 markets/day — normal26% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 22:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
2.45
Moderate DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)68.5%
Mid (20-55c)16.9%
High (>55c)14.6%

Sessions

#12
7/1/2026, 10:45:02 PM2 trades$10,0000 min
6/23/2026, 1:56:55 AM4 trades$2,9962 min
6/23/2026, 5:33:37 PM14 trades$2,7808 min
6/23/2026, 5:47:10 PM3 trades$1,5093 min
6/24/2026, 11:43:23 PM2 trades$1,2510 min
6/16/2026, 8:58:59 PM5 trades$1,1260 min
6/20/2026, 6:36:16 PM3 trades$1,0910 min
6/11/2026, 7:18:58 PM4 trades$1,0000 min
6/23/2026, 1:28:43 AM2 trades$8110 min
6/24/2026, 11:26:26 PM4 trades$7260 min
6/22/2026, 10:26:49 PM91 trades$5969 min
6/11/2026, 8:23:03 PM2 trades$5670 min
7/11/2026, 9:39:32 PM5 trades$4893 min
6/2/2026, 10:48:25 PM2 trades$4170 min
6/15/2026, 8:42:43 PM8 trades$3113 min
6/20/2026, 2:01:53 AM10 trades$2464 min
7/11/2026, 10:17:05 PM6 trades$2033 min
3/18/2026, 2:31:55 AM2 trades$1751 min
7/11/2026, 10:54:58 PM6 trades$1682 min
2/17/2026, 5:58:39 AM13 trades$13413 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
01-03
01-20
02-16
03-17
06-11
06-23

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
43.8% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 2.45/mkt
Entry Bias
LOW $
L68.5 / M16.9 / H14.6