Winningtoomuch

@Winningtoomuch

#78,52971

0x79dec022bc0be1c90a2e9efc91491cd8039edb49

~97d· 153 markets · 2180 tradesVol: $53,3592026-08-02 05:27:28
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

71
Good
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

32% (37/116)0.9/20
5.92x (win $3,824 / loss $647)15/15
Annualised Sharpe 5.06715/15
Sortino 64.56210/10
$+0.2525 per $1 invested10/10
HHI 1180 (116 markets)6.6/10
21/50 profitable days (42%)3/10
Max DD 4% of peak ($121 / $3,178)10/10

Badges

4
Profitable
PnL $+1,053
Lottery Player
32% entries < $0.20
Cool Head
Max DD 4%
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active

Categories

4
SPORTS#93,035$176Vol: $44,810
CRYPTO#990,763$-3Vol: $544
🏛️ POLITICS#402,952$0Vol: $117
📈 ECONOMICS#430,246$-1Vol: $22

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$1,055
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$53,359
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
153
total markets
Trades
986B / 1194S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~97d

Periods

#2
Today
$5
Vol: $0
Week
$-49
Vol: $0
Month
$11
Vol: $27
All Time
$1,055
Vol: $53,359

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
32%
37W / 79L events
Realized PnL
$1,053
Win Rate
32%
37W / 79L
Profit Factor
5.92x
Avg Win
$103
Avg Loss
$-12

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $2,767 (2.628553787698884% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will Rodri win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1,209
Will knight Win MSI Finals MVP$937
Will T1 win the EWC League of Legends Tournament$621
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$408
Will France be eliminated in the Semifinals of the World Cup?$88
Will Mexico be eliminated in the Round of 16 of the World Cup?$84
Will Argentina be eliminated in the Final of the World Cup?$75
Will Mikel Oyarzabal be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$68
Will Spain be eliminated in the Semifinals of the World Cup?$53
Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$44

Top Losers

Will Spain be eliminated in the Round of 16 of the World Cup?$-83
Will Spain reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-53
Will Spain reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-46
Spain vs. Argentina: Argentina O/U 1.5$-39
Will Argentina be eliminated in the Semifinals of the World Cup?$-30
Will Neymar play in the World Cup?$-28
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-27
Will Tottenham be relegated from the English Premier League after the 2025–26 season?$-20
Will Lamine Yamal win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-19
Will Japan win on 2026-06-25?$-18

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.263
Sortino
3.104
HHI
634
Moderate
EV per $1
$0.372
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
21.5%
Top-5 markets
41.9%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
17.2
Active
Markets / Day
1.2
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
13:00 UTC
Median Gap
7.5m
between trades
Avg Gap
1.8h
between trades
Night Trading
22%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
4.68
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
2 min
Avg Trades / Session
8.6

Bot Detection

#6
25
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 447s — normal for humanCV 4.68 — diverse sizes (human-like)22% night trades — unusual hours24/24 hours — around the clock17 trades/day — very active1.2 markets/day — normal45% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 13:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
13.33
Heavy DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)31.9%
Mid (20-55c)12.7%
High (>55c)55.4%

Sessions

#12
7/12/2026, 1:21:22 PM123 trades$3,2480 min
7/13/2026, 2:16:19 AM12 trades$1,8271 min
7/11/2026, 7:45:44 AM8 trades$1,5702 min
7/19/2026, 10:20:40 PM3 trades$4280 min
7/15/2026, 3:45:22 AM7 trades$3770 min
7/16/2026, 4:12:34 AM8 trades$3706 min
7/20/2026, 7:19:45 PM2 trades$3450 min
7/28/2026, 11:25:08 AM5 trades$3210 min
7/6/2026, 3:07:20 AM2 trades$3150 min
7/16/2026, 10:23:55 AM2 trades$2700 min
6/7/2026, 2:17:01 AM7 trades$2683 min
7/20/2026, 6:22:42 AM7 trades$2473 min
7/15/2026, 9:16:07 PM12 trades$24410 min
7/19/2026, 11:19:06 PM2 trades$2300 min
7/22/2026, 12:27:39 PM4 trades$2282 min
7/21/2026, 6:37:31 AM2 trades$2190 min
7/15/2026, 11:08:02 PM8 trades$2186 min
6/5/2026, 5:20:10 AM2 trades$2130 min
7/19/2026, 8:10:04 PM9 trades$1919 min
6/20/2026, 10:00:58 PM19 trades$1903 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
04-18
05-28
06-17
06-25
07-03
07-11
07-19

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 76 days (recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
54.8% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 13.33/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L31.9 / M12.7 / H55.4