Mmgh12

@Mmgh12

#3,038,62635

0x7a02bcc429fc3f90365d4308fd4d5b2acb4a8773

~27d· 443 markets · 11235 tradesVol: $540,2572026-08-02 06:35:32
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

35
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

79% (349/442)20/20
0.75x (win $35,411 / loss $46,904)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -2.8130/15
Sortino -3.1360/10
$-0.0605 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 133 (442 markets)10/10
14/27 profitable days (52%)5.5/10
Max DD 0% of peak ($15,432 / $0)0/10

Badges

5
Sniper
Win rate 79%
DCA Master
Avg 25.4 entries/market
Whale
$189,933 invested
High Roller
$1,338/day
Win Streak
20 wins in a row

Categories

3
CRYPTO#1,653,658$-2,585Vol: $390,048
SPORTS#1,857,145$-2,330Vol: $149,049
🏛️ POLITICS#1,325,629$-14Vol: $1,159

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-4,929
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$540,257
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
443
total markets
Trades
3614B / 7621S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~27d

Periods

#2
Week
$0
Vol: $0
All Time
$-4,929
Vol: $540,257

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
79%
349W / 93L events
Realized PnL
$-4,929
Win Rate
79%
349W / 93L
Profit Factor
0.75x
Avg Win
$101
Avg Loss
$-539

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $7,158 (1.4522522230089285% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will Egypt win on 2026-06-21?$4,007
Will Colombia win on 2026-06-23?$1,824
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-24?$1,328
Will Algeria win on 2026-06-22?$1,254
Egypt vs. IR Iran: O/U 1.5$1,095
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-19?$986
Panama vs. Croatia: Panama O/U 0.5$984
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-23?$930
Algeria vs. Austria: O/U 1.5$881
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET$745

Top Losers

Will England win on 2026-06-23?$-8,800
Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-20?$-8,272
Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-21?$-3,067
Knicks vs. Spurs$-2,406
Will Ecuador advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-2,216
Spurs vs. Knicks$-1,746
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET$-1,313
Uruguay vs. Spain: O/U 1.5$-1,200
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET$-1,068
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET$-1,021

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.144
Sortino
-0.127
HHI
101
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.060
Kelly %
6.9%
Half-Kelly
3.4%
Top-1 market
4.5%
Top-5 markets
16.1%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
79.1
Very active
Markets / Day
3.1
Active Hours
21/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
16:00 UTC
Median Gap
3s
between trades
Avg Gap
13.8m
between trades
Night Trading
23%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
4.25
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
4 min
Avg Trades / Session
53.3

Bot Detection

#6
50
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
HIGH
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
HIGH
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
43% gaps < 3s — suspicious speedCV 4.25 — diverse sizes (human-like)23% night trades — unusual hours21/24 hours — extended activity79 trades/day — mass trading3.1 markets/day — normal32% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 16:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
25.41
Heavy DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)0.5%
Mid (20-55c)2.8%
High (>55c)96.7%

Sessions

#12
6/23/2026, 6:31:01 PM4 trades$10,5624 min
6/20/2026, 1:47:55 AM4 trades$9,3011 min
6/19/2026, 2:48:14 AM2 trades$8,0000 min
6/21/2026, 10:46:25 PM2 trades$8,0000 min
6/23/2026, 2:24:14 PM11 trades$7,4691 min
6/8/2026, 9:33:27 AM121 trades$7,3034 min
6/21/2026, 11:55:37 PM2 trades$6,6670 min
6/11/2026, 1:24:36 AM135 trades$6,34111 min
6/22/2026, 12:11:59 AM2 trades$5,4150 min
6/20/2026, 11:49:17 AM2 trades$4,7540 min
6/19/2026, 9:49:56 PM3 trades$4,4810 min
6/8/2026, 11:13:49 PM167 trades$4,3799 min
6/20/2026, 2:35:55 AM2 trades$4,2560 min
6/23/2026, 9:48:34 PM2 trades$3,9290 min
6/23/2026, 3:18:50 AM7 trades$3,6680 min
6/10/2026, 9:23:45 PM128 trades$3,5281 min
6/21/2026, 1:48:32 AM5 trades$3,2370 min
6/9/2026, 1:53:22 AM85 trades$3,08814 min
7/1/2026, 2:24:04 PM7 trades$2,9380 min
6/14/2026, 3:20:00 AM4 trades$2,9181 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
02-10
06-04
06-09
06-13
06-21
06-25
06-29

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
67.8% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 25.41/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L0.5 / M2.8 / H96.7