@buffetw
#78,236770x7a22aeec347920a2b0ce2b900aa1d5097467fca9
~124d· 252 markets · 1486 tradesVol: $241,6582026-08-02 06:21:53
SMART SCORE SYSTEM
Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.
Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.
77
Good
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard
Score Components
56% (131/234)13/20
1.46x (win $8,752 / loss $5,988)8.3/15
Annualised Sharpe 3.16115/15
Sortino 7.06110/10
$+0.1025 per $1 invested5.1/10
HHI 130 (234 markets)10/10
50/82 profitable days (61%)7.7/10
Max DD 32% of peak ($987 / $3,082)7.6/10
Badges
7Profitable
PnL $+1,062
Contrarian
53% entries < $0.55
DCA Master
Avg 5.5 entries/market
Consistent
50/82 profitable days
Win Streak
5 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active
🏗️Market Maker
79% maker orders
Categories
8🏛️ POLITICS#35,112$313Vol: $108,001
🎭 CULTURE#89,798$5Vol: $1,455
📈 ECONOMICS#12,647$98Vol: $1,311
💰 FINANCE#15,790$129Vol: $1,140
📢 MENTIONS#159,996$-70Vol: $900
🌤️ WEATHER#219,493$-4Vol: $700
⚽ SPORTS#239,796$17Vol: $439
💻 TECH#7,439$66Vol: $203
Overview
#1Net PnL
$1,062
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$241,658
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
252
total markets
Trades
939B / 547S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~124d
Periods
#2Today
$29
Vol: $0
Week
$62
Vol: $0
Month
$101
Vol: $410
All Time
$1,062
Vol: $241,658
PnL Analysis
#3Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology
Win Rate (events)
56%
131W / 103L events
Realized PnL
$1,062
Win Rate
56%
131W / 103L
Profit Factor
1.46x
Avg Win
$67
Avg Loss
$-60
Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $1,769 (1.665583589975419% of PnL)
Top Winners
Iran closes its airspace by May 24?$1,103
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$364
Will a Team win MSI Without Dropping a Series?$302
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 15, 2026?$264
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T?$244
Will Iran strike Israel on March 4?$190
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$186
LoL: Fnatic vs Natus Vincere - Game 1 Winner$165
LoL: Movistar KOI vs Karmine Corp - Game 3 Winner$139
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.4T?$136
Top Losers
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$-274
LoL: Karmine Corp vs G2 Esports - Game 3 Winner$-252
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?$-250
Will Bilibili Gaming win MSI 2026?$-247
LoL: Karmine Corp vs G2 Esports - Game 1 Winner$-221
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Invictus Gaming - Game 2 Winner$-174
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?$-173
LoL: Gen.G vs T1 (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2$-151
Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 21?$-134
Houthi strike on Israel by March 31, 2026?$-130
Risk Metrics
#4Sharpe
0.164
Sortino
0.321
HHI
73
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.111
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
3.5%
Top-5 markets
10.2%
Behavior Analysis
#5Trades / Day
8.0
Moderate
Markets / Day
1.4
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
17:00 UTC
Median Gap
9.7m
between trades
Avg Gap
2.0h
between trades
Night Trading
8%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.29
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
3 min
Avg Trades / Session
5.5
Bot Detection
#620
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability
7 indicators analyzed
Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 580s — normal for humanCV 1.29 — diverse sizes (human-like)8% night trades — normal pattern24/24 hours — around the clock8 trades/day — normal1.4 markets/day — normal79% maker — frequent liquidity provider
Timing Patterns
#7Peak hour: 17:00 UTC
0
4
8
12
16
20
DCA Analysis
#8Avg entries/market
5.54
Price Levels
#9Low (<20c)27.9%
Mid (20-55c)24.6%
High (>55c)47.5%
Sessions
#126/7/2026, 10:24:46 PM2 trades$1,2000 min
6/10/2026, 10:02:25 PM15 trades$1,0131 min
5/14/2026, 10:31:32 AM4 trades$1,0033 min
4/23/2026, 6:01:22 PM2 trades$1,0000 min
6/10/2026, 10:20:16 PM14 trades$1,0000 min
6/11/2026, 6:14:31 PM16 trades$9135 min
4/21/2026, 8:40:48 AM3 trades$9070 min
5/22/2026, 11:49:26 PM3 trades$8665 min
6/14/2026, 12:51:09 PM4 trades$5940 min
3/28/2026, 3:57:29 PM15 trades$50012 min
5/23/2026, 9:59:05 AM15 trades$4471 min
5/30/2026, 12:58:24 AM8 trades$4473 min
6/21/2026, 5:31:05 PM4 trades$4143 min
5/26/2026, 7:37:30 PM2 trades$4000 min
7/11/2026, 12:00:25 PM14 trades$3656 min
5/22/2026, 11:30:51 PM8 trades$3576 min
7/25/2026, 5:38:04 PM14 trades$35011 min
6/6/2026, 3:30:03 PM5 trades$3486 min
3/21/2026, 5:11:45 PM2 trades$3400 min
5/14/2026, 9:27:55 AM2 trades$3000 min
Equity Curve
#13Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
02-27
03-14
04-05
05-07
05-30
06-27
07-26
Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)
Max drawdown: 28 days (recovered)
Profile
#14Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
36.8% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 5.54/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L27.9 / M24.6 / H47.5