@nofear763

#196,90037

0x7af9ea44e02130f69fa136f4ae7e6df5ad59d415

~90d· 41 markets · 419 tradesVol: $39,7772026-08-02 07:35:57
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

37
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

30% (8/27)0/20
1.20x (win $477 / loss $398)5/15
Annualised Sharpe 1.13215/15
Sortino 2.26110/10
$+0.0172 per $1 invested0.9/10
HHI 1470 (27 markets)5.2/10
8/23 profitable days (35%)1.2/10
Max DD 70% of peak ($180 / $259)0.1/10

Badges

3
Profitable
PnL $+150
Lottery Player
31% entries < $0.20
🦉Night Owl
23/24 hours active

Categories

5
🏛️ POLITICS#43,249$212Vol: $36,623
📈 ECONOMICS#36,069$13Vol: $1,822
💰 FINANCE#592,363$-19Vol: $567
SPORTS#1,492,091$-25Vol: $258
CRYPTO#1,198,941$-14Vol: $70

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$150
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$39,777
Total Redeem
$100
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
41
total markets
Trades
220B / 199S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~90d

Periods

#2
Today
$-5
Vol: $0
Week
$-82
Vol: $0
Month
$-37
Vol: $0
All Time
$150
Vol: $39,777

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
30%
8W / 19L events
Realized PnL
$150
Win Rate
30%
8W / 19L
Profit Factor
1.2x
Avg Win
$60
Avg Loss
$-21

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $378 (2.5169474595458485% of PnL)

Top Winners

US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?$192
US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30?$98
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in April?$88
Masoud Pezeshkian out by March 31?$38
No change in the Selic rate after Bank of Brazil's March 2026 meeting?$31
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of March?$18
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March?$11
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?$1

Top Losers

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $75 by end of June?$-71
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of June?$-56
Will Morocco win Group C in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-50
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in April?$-36
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $1.5T and $2.0T at market close on IPO day?$-25
Will Neymar play in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-25
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?$-24
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-19?$-24
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?$-20
No change in the Selic rate after Bank of Brazil's January 2026 meeting?$-19

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.058
Sortino
0.139
HHI
200
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.046
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
11.4%
Top-5 markets
26%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
1.6
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.2
Active Hours
23/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
0:00 UTC
Median Gap
21.9m
between trades
Avg Gap
3.3h
between trades
Night Trading
19%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.55
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
3.7

Bot Detection

#6
20
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 1314s — normal for humanCV 1.55 — diverse sizes (human-like)19% night trades — unusual hours23/24 hours — around the clock2 trades/day — normal0.2 markets/day — normal57% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 0:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
4.85
Moderate DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)30.9%
Mid (20-55c)32.3%
High (>55c)36.8%

Sessions

#12
6/27/2026, 12:30:44 AM11 trades$6990 min
1/4/2026, 2:18:29 AM2 trades$4224 min
6/22/2026, 10:41:56 PM2 trades$3050 min
7/1/2026, 11:35:05 PM6 trades$3050 min
1/28/2026, 8:55:30 PM3 trades$2331 min
6/24/2026, 11:55:49 PM6 trades$2315 min
6/8/2026, 11:58:18 PM10 trades$2272 min
1/7/2026, 3:50:37 PM1 trades$2230 min
6/23/2026, 12:59:07 PM9 trades$2220 min
6/30/2026, 10:35:10 PM10 trades$2160 min
4/4/2026, 7:21:33 PM3 trades$2000 min
4/11/2026, 8:54:09 PM4 trades$2001 min
1/25/2026, 1:59:58 AM1 trades$1800 min
1/28/2026, 2:15:29 AM3 trades$1751 min
6/27/2026, 8:25:19 PM5 trades$1740 min
6/24/2026, 4:58:11 PM2 trades$1500 min
6/24/2026, 7:21:56 PM6 trades$1501 min
3/7/2026, 1:19:21 PM2 trades$1400 min
1/26/2026, 8:07:23 PM1 trades$1300 min
5/29/2026, 3:16:03 PM5 trades$1220 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
10-29
01-28
02-28
03-08
03-15
04-13
05-29
06-19

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 26 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
47.5% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 4.85/mkt
Entry Bias
MIXED
L30.9 / M32.3 / H36.8