@0x7b57c1e4a41d10ef9b7519bffe9b82e0ac8b6ba9
460x7b57c1e4a41d10ef9b7519bffe9b82e0ac8b6ba9
~30d· 39 markets · 359 trades2026-08-02 08:57:12
SMART SCORE SYSTEM
Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.
Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.
46
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard
Score Components
26% (9/35)0/20
1.40x (win $1,482 / loss $1,058)7.5/15
Annualised Sharpe 1.96515/15
Sortino 3.82210/10
$+0.0953 per $1 invested4.8/10
HHI 1422 (35 markets)5.4/10
8/18 profitable days (44%)3.6/10
Max DD 133% of peak ($700 / $527)0/10
Badges
2Profitable
PnL $+9
Lottery Player
47% entries < $0.20
Overview
#1Net PnL
$9
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$4,455
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
39
total markets
Trades
60B / 299S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~30d
PnL Analysis
#3Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology
Win Rate (events)
26%
9W / 26L events
Realized PnL
$9
Win Rate
26%
9W / 26L
Profit Factor
1.4x
Avg Win
$165
Avg Loss
$-59
Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $1,278 (134.68598524762908% of PnL)
Top Winners
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$916
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?$205
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?$158
Will Belgium vs. IR Iran end in a draw?$80
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?$77
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on March 12?$18
Will Spain win on 2026-06-26?$14
Military action against Iran ends by March 31, 2026?$7
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 26°C or higher on March 14?$7
Top Losers
Will Trump visit China by May 15?$-398
Will Israel win Eurovision 2026?$-252
Will Israel and Lebanon hold a diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?$-157
Will Saudi Arabia win on 2026-06-21?$-40
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14?$-30
Will Israel annex any territory by June 30?$-26
Will Qatar win on 2026-06-13?$-20
Will Iraq win on 2026-06-16?$-20
Will Iraq vs. Norway end in a draw?$-20
Will Brazil vs. Norway end in a draw?$-20
Risk Metrics
#4Sharpe
0.100
Sortino
0.165
HHI
1408
Moderate
EV per $1
$0.112
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
31.7%
Top-5 markets
64.6%
Behavior Analysis
#5Trades / Day
2.4
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.3
Active Hours
15/24
Extended
Peak Hour
11:00 UTC
Median Gap
2.4m
between trades
Avg Gap
4.1h
between trades
Night Trading
4%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.96
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
40
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
9.0
Bot Detection
#60
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability
7 indicators analyzed
Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
MEDIUM
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 142s — normal for humanCV 1.96 — diverse sizes (human-like)4% night trades — normal pattern15/24 hours — normal schedule2 trades/day — normal0.3 markets/day — normal14% maker — normal mix
Timing Patterns
#7Peak hour: 11:00 UTC
0
4
8
12
16
20
DCA Analysis
#8Avg entries/market
3.54
Price Levels
#9Low (<20c)46.7%
Mid (20-55c)35%
High (>55c)18.3%
Sessions
#127/4/2026, 11:49:56 AM112 trades$6,7116 min
7/5/2026, 7:36:26 PM102 trades$4,2560 min
6/16/2026, 4:04:58 AM15 trades$2,4732 min
5/16/2026, 7:37:46 PM8 trades$1,7293 min
4/15/2026, 12:17:38 PM2 trades$7690 min
6/20/2026, 1:29:41 PM7 trades$6900 min
6/16/2026, 10:04:07 PM9 trades$6863 min
4/18/2026, 8:25:02 AM3 trades$6400 min
7/2/2026, 8:00:07 AM2 trades$6000 min
4/18/2026, 8:40:02 AM2 trades$5160 min
4/18/2026, 8:56:24 AM2 trades$5160 min
7/31/2026, 6:41:18 AM6 trades$3950 min
4/20/2026, 5:42:00 PM3 trades$3550 min
4/30/2026, 9:28:12 PM6 trades$3250 min
5/1/2026, 10:33:08 AM2 trades$3110 min
4/20/2026, 4:56:10 PM3 trades$2890 min
5/6/2026, 6:50:56 AM2 trades$2850 min
3/22/2026, 12:42:43 PM1 trades$2420 min
7/30/2026, 11:11:26 AM4 trades$2040 min
6/13/2026, 2:15:00 PM5 trades$1841 min
Equity Curve
#13Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
03-07
03-22
04-20
06-14
06-21
07-04
Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)
Max drawdown: 57 days (recovered)
Profile
#14Specialization
MIXED
5.7% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
83.3% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 3.54/mkt
Entry Bias
LOW $
L46.7 / M35 / H18.3