Ativista

@Ativista

#2,972,0423

0x7b59c2fccc1d9365c321d42129a97ad080f4dd43

~21d· 15 markets · 981 tradesVol: $365,9262026-08-02 05:10:21
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

3
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

36% (5/14)2.9/20
0.07x (win $191 / loss $2,707)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -12.7410/15
Sortino -10.6470/10
$-0.4363 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 4864 (14 markets)0/10
2/8 profitable days (25%)0/10
Max DD 1803% of peak ($2,663 / $148)0/10

Badges

4
Lottery Player
90% entries < $0.20
Diamond Hands
9% sells
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active
🏗️Market Maker
87% maker orders

Categories

2
🏛️ POLITICS#19,382$888Vol: $315,946
SPORTS#1,855,031$-2,158Vol: $43,074

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-1,599
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$365,926
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
15
total markets
Trades
890B / 91S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~21d

Periods

#2
Week
$-0
Vol: $0
All Time
$-1,599
Vol: $365,926

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
36%
5W / 9L events
Realized PnL
$-1,599
Win Rate
36%
5W / 9L
Profit Factor
0.07x
Avg Win
$38
Avg Loss
$-338

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $169 (0.10590236519868419% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will Pierbattista Pizzaballa be the next pope?$139
Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs Heroic (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 3 Playoffs$16
Athletics vs. Chicago White Sox$14
Counter-Strike: Wildcard vs Gentle Mates (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 3 Playoffs$14
Will Jose Tolentino de Mendonca be the next pope?$8

Top Losers

Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-1,364
Will Fridolin Ambongo Besungu be the next pope?$-650
Argentina vs. Switzerland: Team to Advance$-480
Rangers vs. Yankees$-102
Athens Open: Qinwen Zheng vs Jessica Bouzas Maneiro$-35
Cleveland Guardians vs. Miami Marlins$-34
Counter-Strike: K27 vs Wildcard (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 3 Playoffs$-26
Counter-Strike: NIP vs Gentle Mates (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 3 Playoffs$-16

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.624
Sortino
-0.608
HHI
461
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.956
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
15.9%
Top-5 markets
41.1%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
2.2
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.0
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
11:00 UTC
Median Gap
3.4m
between trades
Avg Gap
27.5m
between trades
Night Trading
17%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
3.69
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
4 min
Avg Trades / Session
8.0

Bot Detection

#6
35
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 205s — normal for humanCV 3.69 — diverse sizes (human-like)17% night trades — unusual hours24/24 hours — around the clock2 trades/day — normal0.0 markets/day — normal87% maker — systematic market making

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 11:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
11
Heavy DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)90.1%
Mid (20-55c)0.6%
High (>55c)9.3%

Sessions

#12
7/11/2026, 10:19:07 PM18 trades$8,9824 min
7/9/2026, 10:32:41 AM10 trades$2,2890 min
7/12/2026, 1:41:58 AM2 trades$2,0000 min
7/8/2026, 1:08:50 PM30 trades$1,27610 min
7/10/2026, 2:43:53 PM6 trades$7830 min
7/12/2026, 4:35:01 PM17 trades$4900 min
5/6/2025, 5:25:58 PM8 trades$3326 min
7/12/2026, 4:22:23 PM9 trades$3090 min
6/15/2026, 2:06:04 PM7 trades$2810 min
6/13/2026, 8:17:06 PM6 trades$2630 min
5/6/2025, 2:44:06 PM8 trades$26216 min
7/9/2026, 3:30:52 PM9 trades$2500 min
4/30/2025, 6:54:46 PM10 trades$23214 min
5/6/2025, 4:48:30 PM7 trades$18510 min
5/2/2025, 1:33:13 PM2 trades$1801 min
5/6/2025, 3:34:08 PM23 trades$1668 min
7/15/2026, 5:43:52 PM2 trades$1600 min
7/7/2026, 11:59:28 PM7 trades$1570 min
7/12/2026, 4:28:43 PM4 trades$1470 min
5/6/2025, 2:20:52 PM10 trades$10918 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
05-06
05-07
05-22
07-11
07-12
07-13
07-15
07-16

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 436 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
HOLD
9.3% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 11/mkt
Entry Bias
LOW $
L90.1 / M0.6 / H9.3