@cottonwithsky

#7,25571

0x7b7f9de63fe91c402c7083b33f869d7dcd48d56c

~31d· 831 markets · 8759 tradesVol: $1,831,7162026-08-02 06:34:56
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

71
Good
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

43% (358/831)6.5/20
1.38x (win $81,105 / loss $58,608)7.3/15
Annualised Sharpe 5.45015/15
Sortino 25.62010/10
$+0.1110 per $1 invested5.5/10
HHI 81 (831 markets)10/10
17/31 profitable days (55%)6.2/10
Max DD 11% of peak ($2,482 / $22,498)10/10

Badges

6
Profitable
PnL $+21,723
Whale
$202,733 invested
High Roller
$6,335/day
Cool Head
Max DD 11%
Win Streak
7 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active

Categories

2
SPORTS#2,608$21,816Vol: $1,828,002
CRYPTO#1,478,386$-108Vol: $2,975

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$21,723
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$1,831,716
Total Redeem
$184
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
831
total markets
Trades
3781B / 4978S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~31d

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
43%
358W / 473L events
Realized PnL
$21,723
Win Rate
43%
358W / 473L
Profit Factor
1.38x
Avg Win
$227
Avg Loss
$-175

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $23,615 (1.0871243299580344% of PnL)

Top Winners

Spain to score first vs. Argentina?$13,739
Colombia vs. Portugal: O/U 0.5$5,956
Paraguay vs. Australia: Neither team to score first?$3,920
Portugal vs. Spain: Will the Match Go to Extra Time?$2,978
Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: 2nd Half O/U 1.5$2,391
Will Paraguay vs. France end in a draw?$2,062
Will Brazil win on 2026-07-05?$1,613
Will IR Iran win on 2026-06-26?$1,505
England vs. Ghana: 2nd Half O/U 1.5$1,379
Colombia vs. Portugal: 2nd Half O/U 1.5$1,298

Top Losers

Exact Score: Paraguay 0 - 0 Australia?$-6,918
Colombia vs. Portugal: Neither team to score first?$-5,484
Portugal vs. Spain: O/U 1.5$-4,018
Will France win on 2026-07-04?$-3,382
Exact Score: Belgium 0 - 0 IR Iran?$-1,381
Colombia vs. Portugal: O/U 1.5$-1,238
England vs. Ghana: O/U 1.5$-1,218
France vs. Morocco: Morocco O/U 0.5$-1,142
Will Brazil vs. Japan end in a draw?$-1,019
Will Norway win on 2026-07-05?$-1,003

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.281
Sortino
1.282
HHI
91
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.111
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
2.9%
Top-5 markets
12.5%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
273.7
Very active
Markets / Day
26.0
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
20:00 UTC
Median Gap
14s
between trades
Avg Gap
16.6m
between trades
Night Trading
31%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
2.34
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
7 min
Avg Trades / Session
60.7

Bot Detection

#6
75
BOT (automated trading)HIGH probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
HIGH
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
HIGH
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
HIGH
Median gap 14s — suspiciously fastCV 2.34 — diverse sizes (human-like)31% night trades — never sleeps24/24 hours — around the clock274 trades/day — automation26 markets/day — mass coverage43% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 20:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
10.54
Heavy DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)23.2%
Mid (20-55c)24.5%
High (>55c)52.3%

Sessions

#12
7/4/2026, 10:24:52 PM272 trades$27,05410 min
7/1/2026, 9:48:25 PM110 trades$23,5994 min
6/28/2026, 3:22:55 AM136 trades$21,6328 min
6/27/2026, 4:56:53 AM93 trades$17,6597 min
7/15/2026, 8:46:05 PM84 trades$15,16412 min
7/19/2026, 7:07:42 PM317 trades$13,38053 min
7/11/2026, 9:45:08 PM69 trades$13,0006 min
6/28/2026, 3:36:25 AM77 trades$10,92524 min
7/9/2026, 9:11:53 PM123 trades$10,69919 min
7/2/2026, 2:01:35 AM28 trades$9,6745 min
6/24/2026, 8:28:37 PM57 trades$9,5322 min
6/28/2026, 12:44:31 AM96 trades$9,27219 min
6/24/2026, 11:42:38 PM50 trades$8,9602 min
7/6/2026, 8:45:58 PM88 trades$8,7359 min
6/21/2026, 8:24:56 PM126 trades$8,20319 min
6/26/2026, 4:23:56 AM30 trades$5,4891 min
7/5/2026, 8:10:25 PM54 trades$5,3018 min
6/27/2026, 8:13:22 PM36 trades$5,2023 min
6/25/2026, 5:41:52 PM18 trades$5,1820 min
6/27/2026, 10:34:23 PM67 trades$5,16020 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
06-18
06-23
06-28
07-03
07-09
07-14
07-19

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 2 days (recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
56.8% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 10.54/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L23.2 / M24.5 / H52.3