@AvantPredictibility
#267,695690x7c0a3045f5219771bef7fc4af9e45decff46364b
~19d· 25 markets · 201 tradesVol: $42,3512026-08-02 07:55:44
SMART SCORE SYSTEM
Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.
Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.
69
Good
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard
Score Components
43% (10/23)6.7/20
2.64x (win $710 / loss $269)15/15
Annualised Sharpe 4.31215/15
Sortino 21.68410/10
$+0.1182 per $1 invested5.9/10
HHI 2747 (23 markets)0/10
7/13 profitable days (54%)6/10
Max DD 14% of peak ($68 / $499)10/10
Badges
4Profitable
PnL $+77
Lottery Player
31% entries < $0.20
Cool Head
Max DD 14%
🏗️Market Maker
73% maker orders
Categories
7⚽ SPORTS#59,965$445Vol: $20,994
📈 ECONOMICS#672,447$-343Vol: $14,220
🏛️ POLITICS#1,137,634$-5Vol: $2,433
💰 FINANCE#605,292$-29Vol: $1,954
🌤️ WEATHER#24,870$8Vol: $1,848
🎭 CULTURE#478,406$-1Vol: $800
₿ CRYPTO#363,268$2Vol: $102
Overview
#1Net PnL
$77
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$42,351
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
25
total markets
Trades
85B / 116S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~19d
Periods
#2Today
$-1
Vol: $0
Week
$-175
Vol: $0
Month
$-14
Vol: $0
All Time
$77
Vol: $42,351
PnL Analysis
#3Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology
Win Rate (events)
43%
10W / 13L events
Realized PnL
$77
Win Rate
43%
10W / 13L
Profit Factor
2.64x
Avg Win
$71
Avg Loss
$-21
Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $630 (8.13907199172806% of PnL)
Top Winners
Nebraska Cornhuskers vs. Iowa Hawkeyes$540
Will Janez Janša be the next Prime Minister of Slovenia?$45
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 84-85°F on March 9?$44
Will the highest temperature in New York City be 48°F or higher on March 7?$21
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 8°C or higher on March 10?$18
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 44-45°F on March 9?$11
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 17°C on March 7?$11
Will the highest temperature in London be 12°C on March 12?$10
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 5°C on March 7?$8
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 6, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET$2
Top Losers
Netflix (NFLX) Up or Down on March 5?$-68
Alabama Crimson Tide vs. Michigan Wolverines$-58
Akron Zips vs. Texas Tech Red Raiders$-37
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on March 13?$-32
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 82-83°F on March 9?$-19
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 12°C on March 12?$-10
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 19°C on March 12?$-10
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 6°C on March 10?$-10
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 12°C on March 12?$-10
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 18°C on March 7?$-9
Risk Metrics
#4Sharpe
0.217
Sortino
1.448
HHI
2373
Moderate
EV per $1
$0.144
Kelly %
33.6%
Half-Kelly
16.8%
Top-1 market
45.8%
Top-5 markets
75.6%
Behavior Analysis
#5Trades / Day
1.4
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.2
Active Hours
16/24
Extended
Peak Hour
15:00 UTC
Median Gap
1.9m
between trades
Avg Gap
1.5h
between trades
Night Trading
6%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
2.32
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
3.9
Bot Detection
#65
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability
7 indicators analyzed
Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
MEDIUM
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 112s — normal for humanCV 2.32 — diverse sizes (human-like)5% night trades — normal pattern16/24 hours — normal schedule1 trades/day — normal0.2 markets/day — normal73% maker — frequent liquidity provider
Timing Patterns
#7Peak hour: 15:00 UTC
0
4
8
12
16
20
DCA Analysis
#8Avg entries/market
7.13
Price Levels
#9Low (<20c)30.6%
Mid (20-55c)36.5%
High (>55c)32.9%
Sessions
#127/6/2026, 10:29:38 PM2 trades$5,0000 min
7/2/2026, 12:42:25 PM15 trades$4,6895 min
3/27/2026, 9:38:45 PM2 trades$1,1020 min
3/27/2026, 11:24:19 PM1 trades$1,0440 min
3/27/2026, 4:54:01 PM1 trades$6070 min
3/27/2026, 4:36:01 PM9 trades$60712 min
3/20/2026, 4:56:41 PM16 trades$4635 min
3/26/2026, 10:17:03 PM7 trades$4607 min
3/9/2026, 5:35:25 PM13 trades$3148 min
3/17/2026, 6:49:47 PM1 trades$2950 min
7/24/2026, 9:36:00 PM9 trades$2640 min
3/13/2026, 2:45:33 PM3 trades$1894 min
7/30/2026, 5:58:06 PM4 trades$1830 min
3/17/2026, 11:16:19 PM1 trades$1650 min
3/14/2026, 1:21:17 AM1 trades$1640 min
3/17/2026, 2:54:13 PM2 trades$1390 min
3/13/2026, 7:51:13 PM3 trades$1382 min
3/17/2026, 2:17:07 PM1 trades$1370 min
3/13/2026, 3:19:11 PM41 trades$1115 min
3/6/2026, 11:54:49 PM1 trades$1000 min
Equity Curve
#13Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
03-05
03-07
03-10
03-12
03-14
03-20
03-27
Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)
Profile
#14Specialization
MIXED
60.9% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
57.7% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 7.13/mkt
Entry Bias
MIXED
L30.6 / M36.5 / H32.9