TheOpportunist

@TheOpportunist

#1,03156

0x7d2f82da7ae8c910bd1e89475be705d313daef1a

~270d· 780 markets · 11281 tradesVol: $8,060,650 @0xMso2026-08-02 08:57:07
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

56
Good
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

49% (381/776)9.5/20
1.16x (win $1,107,836 / loss $953,718)4.5/15
Annualised Sharpe 0.80015/15
Sortino 1.48110/10
$+0.0545 per $1 invested2.7/10
HHI 68 (776 markets)10/10
123/265 profitable days (46%)4.1/10
Max DD 131% of peak ($207,837 / $158,797)0/10

Badges

7
Profitable
PnL $+199,459
DCA Master
Avg 14.4 entries/market
Whale
$2,829,933 invested
High Roller
$7,389/day
Win Streak
8 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active
🏗️Market Maker
92% maker orders

Categories

6
SPORTS#477$199,492Vol: $7,954,013
🏛️ POLITICS#1,513,782$-97Vol: $10,054
💰 FINANCE#593,778$-20Vol: $1,433
🎭 CULTURE#586,830$-2Vol: $300
CRYPTO#188,683$18Vol: $176
💻 TECH#200,408$-2Vol: $150

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$199,459
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$8,060,650
Total Redeem
$182,811
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
780
total markets
Trades
9861B / 1420S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~270d

Periods

#2
Today
$21,934
Vol: $57,720
Week
$25,848
Vol: $57,720
Month
$21,934
Vol: $57,720
All Time
$199,459
Vol: $8,060,650

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
49%
381W / 395L events
Realized PnL
$199,459
Win Rate
49%
381W / 395L
Profit Factor
1.16x
Avg Win
$2,908
Avg Loss
$-2,550

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $200,403 (1.0047349110119796% of PnL)

Top Winners

Portugal vs. Spain: O/U 1.5$80,775
United States vs. Belgium: O/U 4.5$69,838
Spread: Spain (-1.5)$49,791
Norway vs. England: Norway O/U 1.5$35,270
Will Germany win on 2026-06-25?$33,751
Will Brazil win on 2026-07-05?$31,280
France vs. Morocco: Morocco O/U 0.5$30,210
Canadiens vs. Flyers$24,276
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-27?$21,075
Will Japan win on 2026-06-25?$19,935

Top Losers

Chicago White Sox vs. San Diego Padres$-35,670
Will Uruguay vs. Cabo Verde end in a draw?$-35,340
Will Portugal vs. DR Congo end in a draw?$-26,560
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-05-24?$-26,407
Will Saudi Arabia vs. Uruguay end in a draw?$-24,320
Spread: Portugal (-2.5)$-23,940
Will Croatia win on 2026-06-27?$-21,360
Spread: Spain (-2.5)$-20,700
New York Mets vs. Cincinnati Reds$-19,760
Devils vs. Red Wings$-19,688

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.042
Sortino
0.063
HHI
69
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.055
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
2.7%
Top-5 markets
11.3%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
29.5
Active
Markets / Day
2.0
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
22:00 UTC
Median Gap
20s
between trades
Avg Gap
30.0m
between trades
Night Trading
15%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
5.26
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
6 min
Avg Trades / Session
42.9

Bot Detection

#6
45
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
HIGH
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 20s — normal for humanCV 5.26 — diverse sizes (human-like)15% night trades — normal pattern24/24 hours — around the clock29 trades/day — high frequency2.0 markets/day — normal92% maker — systematic market making

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 22:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
14.4
Heavy DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)1%
Mid (20-55c)46.1%
High (>55c)52.9%

Sessions

#12
6/22/2026, 12:57:23 AM2 trades$76,3600 min
5/19/2026, 9:34:14 PM2 trades$60,9390 min
6/14/2026, 3:15:27 PM138 trades$60,25411 min
5/11/2026, 9:38:19 PM3 trades$55,9440 min
6/25/2026, 9:45:04 PM16 trades$49,3011 min
4/26/2026, 6:13:54 PM2 trades$47,4050 min
6/20/2026, 10:12:13 PM4 trades$42,5250 min
4/13/2026, 9:23:03 PM2 trades$39,7100 min
4/26/2026, 3:52:52 PM45 trades$38,91614 min
6/22/2026, 12:22:08 AM1 trades$38,6400 min
6/26/2026, 5:37:07 PM52 trades$38,2805 min
7/11/2026, 11:39:29 AM35 trades$37,3730 min
4/24/2026, 10:52:24 PM5 trades$37,2200 min
5/3/2026, 12:37:38 AM76 trades$35,6706 min
4/10/2026, 12:21:41 AM5 trades$35,3640 min
6/21/2026, 9:07:34 PM60 trades$35,3403 min
7/11/2026, 11:16:58 AM1 trades$34,9800 min
6/20/2026, 4:17:50 PM183 trades$34,19919 min
4/28/2026, 8:55:30 PM7 trades$30,3301 min
6/18/2026, 6:04:58 PM331 trades$30,18017 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
07-04
10-10
12-16
01-29
03-19
05-16
07-19

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 40 days (recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
HOLD
12.6% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 14.4/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L1 / M46.1 / H52.9