@trashtier

79

0x7df61ca342c9b53ba9b4c60745718ed48a77ac3b

~590d· 4415 markets · 51997 trades2026-08-02 05:12:19
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

79
Good
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

63% (2631/4190)16.4/20
1.41x (win $146,198 / loss $104,020)7.6/15
Annualised Sharpe 2.33015/15
Sortino 4.28010/10
$+0.0257 per $1 invested1.3/10
HHI 23 (4190 markets)10/10
318/500 profitable days (64%)8.4/10
Max DD 15% of peak ($6,269 / $41,982)10/10

Badges

10
Sniper
Win rate 63%
Profitable
PnL $+30,085
DCA Master
Avg 11.4 entries/market
Whale
$1,638,599 invested
Consistent
318/500 profitable days
High Roller
$2,449/day
Cool Head
Max DD 15%
Win Streak
18 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active
🏗️Market Maker
81% maker orders

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$30,085
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$1,638,599
Total Redeem
$24,751
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
4415
total markets
Trades
32352B / 19645S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~590d

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
63%
2631W / 1559L events
Realized PnL
$30,085
Win Rate
63%
2631W / 1559L
Profit Factor
1.41x
Avg Win
$56
Avg Loss
$-73

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $15,088 (0.5015170370843106% of PnL)

Top Winners

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$5,560
Will Lionel Messi win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$5,075
Will a player representing France be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$4,453
Will Dplus Kia win the EWC League of Legends Tournament$2,751
UFC 328: Sean Strickland vs. Khamzat Chimaev (Middleweight, Main Card)$1,953
Will FalleN retire by June 1? $1,890
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?$1,888
Will Argentina reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?$1,871
Will Rodri win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1,817
Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?$1,686

Top Losers

US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?$-4,319
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?$-4,022
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?$-2,687
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-2,017
Will Bilibili Gaming win MSI 2026?$-2,006
Iran closes its airspace by June 8?$-1,749
Israel closes its airspace by June 15?$-1,660
Iran closes its airspace by May 24?$-1,660
Iran closes its airspace by May 31?$-1,593
Will Spain reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-1,589

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.122
Sortino
0.149
HHI
16
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.029
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
1%
Top-5 markets
4.3%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
77.7
Very active
Markets / Day
6.6
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
13:00 UTC
Median Gap
3.0m
between trades
Avg Gap
18.3m
between trades
Night Trading
22%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.92
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
37 min
Avg Trades / Session
57.2

Bot Detection

#6
50
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
HIGH
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 180s — normal for humanCV 1.92 — diverse sizes (human-like)22% night trades — unusual hours24/24 hours — around the clock78 trades/day — mass trading6.6 markets/day — normal81% maker — frequent liquidity provider

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 13:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
11.35
Heavy DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)20%
Mid (20-55c)24.1%
High (>55c)56%

Sessions

#12
7/14/2026, 8:48:40 PM126 trades$18,47238 min
4/7/2026, 10:54:29 PM40 trades$10,37619 min
5/6/2026, 8:50:16 AM156 trades$8,033115 min
7/12/2025, 12:02:42 AM13 trades$7,7279 min
2/28/2026, 5:57:31 AM110 trades$7,61075 min
2/25/2026, 2:34:54 AM110 trades$7,17694 min
5/7/2026, 8:17:09 PM87 trades$6,89354 min
1/5/2026, 5:19:21 PM103 trades$6,421116 min
2/28/2026, 2:14:23 PM74 trades$5,94570 min
1/22/2026, 2:39:32 AM34 trades$5,64038 min
5/7/2026, 6:39:44 PM82 trades$5,49655 min
2/28/2026, 1:26:51 PM47 trades$5,44726 min
7/19/2026, 10:43:33 PM108 trades$5,40161 min
5/8/2026, 6:45:12 PM90 trades$5,33540 min
11/5/2025, 1:53:59 AM80 trades$5,33092 min
2/2/2026, 6:20:36 AM5 trades$4,9953 min
7/19/2026, 10:07:22 PM96 trades$4,88030 min
2/26/2026, 6:49:16 AM102 trades$4,87760 min
4/28/2026, 1:16:20 PM41 trades$4,75821 min
7/4/2026, 12:42:01 AM30 trades$4,6463 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
02-06
05-18
08-12
11-09
02-06
05-03
07-31

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 14 days (recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
37.8% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 11.35/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L20 / M24.1 / H56