@casper7
#3,064,595750x7efe92e2c13d1d6ddc402484f85d5014957e2e32
~21d· 47 markets · 1515 tradesVol: $5,116,3252026-08-02 07:37:12
SMART SCORE SYSTEM
Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.
Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.
75
Good
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard
Score Components
83% (39/47)20/20
1.44x (win $126,695 / loss $88,099)8/15
Annualised Sharpe 3.47015/15
Sortino 6.41510/10
$+0.0398 per $1 invested2/10
HHI 857 (47 markets)8.2/10
15/19 profitable days (79%)10/10
Max DD 61% of peak ($23,524 / $38,596)1.8/10
Badges
6Sniper
Win rate 83%
DCA Master
Avg 32.2 entries/market
Whale
$970,763 invested
Consistent
15/19 profitable days
High Roller
$46,227/day
Win Streak
12 wins in a row
Categories
2⚽ SPORTS#1,879,544$-22,607Vol: $5,107,226
₿ CRYPTO#1,629,758$-1,404Vol: $9,099
Overview
#1Net PnL
$-24,012
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$5,116,325
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
47
total markets
Trades
476B / 1039S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~21d
PnL Analysis
#3Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology
Win Rate (events)
83%
39W / 8L events
Realized PnL
$-24,012
Win Rate
83%
39W / 8L
Profit Factor
1.44x
Avg Win
$3,249
Avg Loss
$-11,012
Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $87,211 (3.6319849307863152% of PnL)
Top Winners
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$78,260
Will France win on 2026-07-04?$5,802
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-19?$3,148
Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-06-21?$2,738
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-19?$2,626
Uruguay vs. Cabo Verde: O/U 4.5$2,319
Will Curaçao win on 2026-06-20?$2,304
Goiás EC vs. Ceará SC: O/U 3.5$2,043
Will France win on 2026-06-22?$2,039
Will DR Congo win on 2026-06-23?$1,984
Top Losers
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-24,092
France vs. Senegal: O/U 3.5$-23,415
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-20,444
Wimbledon WTA: Yulia Starodubtseva vs Anna Blinkova$-11,988
Norway vs. Senegal: O/U 4.5$-6,262
England vs. Croatia: Croatia O/U 1.5$-1,621
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-265
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-11
Risk Metrics
#4Sharpe
0.177
Sortino
0.189
HHI
551
Moderate
EV per $1
$0.040
Kelly %
55.5%
Half-Kelly
27.8%
Top-1 market
13.6%
Top-5 markets
43.2%
Behavior Analysis
#5Trades / Day
72.1
Very active
Markets / Day
2.2
Active Hours
17/24
Extended
Peak Hour
19:00 UTC
Median Gap
42s
between trades
Avg Gap
1.1h
between trades
Night Trading
27%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.65
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
2 min
Avg Trades / Session
19.9
Bot Detection
#640
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability
7 indicators analyzed
Trade Speed
HIGH
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
HIGH
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 42s — normal for humanCV 1.65 — diverse sizes (human-like)27% night trades — never sleeps17/24 hours — normal schedule72 trades/day — mass trading2.2 markets/day — normal31% maker — normal mix
Timing Patterns
#7Peak hour: 19:00 UTC
0
4
8
12
16
20
DCA Analysis
#8Avg entries/market
32.23
Price Levels
#9Low (<20c)13.7%
Mid (20-55c)3.6%
High (>55c)82.8%
Sessions
#126/15/2026, 2:06:57 PM31 trades$61,6331 min
6/19/2026, 9:07:08 PM4 trades$51,6461 min
7/4/2026, 12:24:07 AM50 trades$48,83919 min
6/24/2026, 3:49:50 AM36 trades$45,68610 min
7/4/2026, 4:38:38 PM82 trades$43,9538 min
6/21/2026, 1:58:46 AM15 trades$42,8275 min
7/4/2026, 9:22:53 PM30 trades$41,2910 min
6/26/2026, 7:19:02 PM64 trades$36,3767 min
6/24/2026, 2:11:11 AM10 trades$35,1490 min
6/26/2026, 6:44:31 PM68 trades$34,6434 min
6/28/2026, 10:31:35 PM9 trades$32,7971 min
7/4/2026, 7:34:25 PM3 trades$31,5760 min
6/30/2026, 4:44:53 PM15 trades$31,5700 min
6/27/2026, 8:18:56 PM22 trades$31,2721 min
7/3/2026, 6:32:19 PM22 trades$31,2174 min
6/21/2026, 4:04:19 PM5 trades$30,3251 min
6/20/2026, 7:15:32 PM11 trades$29,6913 min
6/21/2026, 7:39:58 PM13 trades$28,7593 min
6/16/2026, 8:29:11 PM90 trades$25,8504 min
6/23/2026, 7:53:41 PM26 trades$25,0541 min
Equity Curve
#13Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
06-16
06-19
06-22
06-25
06-28
07-01
07-05
Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)
Profile
#14Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
68.6% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 32.23/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L13.7 / M3.6 / H82.8