@tradingdecs

#3,064,4864

0x7fc6e183e48e2f7658cd825ff4f40e44e9327306

~93d· 376 markets · 3704 tradesVol: $1,988,1242026-08-02 07:19:40
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

4
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

8% (27/339)0/20
0.25x (win $11,727 / loss $46,731)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -6.1090/15
Sortino -6.0800/10
$-0.5117 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 1653 (339 markets)4.2/10
12/71 profitable days (17%)0/10
Max DD 1926% of peak ($36,921 / $1,917)0/10

Badges

4
Lottery Player
78% entries < $0.20
Whale
$68,403 invested
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active
🏗️Market Maker
76% maker orders

Categories

9
📢 MENTIONS#176,036$-2,784Vol: $1,238,238
🏛️ POLITICS#1,632,252$-3,780Vol: $252,365
CRYPTO#1,666,434$-6,297Vol: $204,279
🌤️ WEATHER#298,563$-5,233Vol: $113,311
📈 ECONOMICS#681,124$-4,409Vol: $86,829
SPORTS#1,817,518$-816Vol: $51,400
💰 FINANCE#6,016$588Vol: $22,713
🎭 CULTURE#787,199$-133Vol: $1,700
💻 TECH#250,869$-152Vol: $200

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-23,552
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$1,988,124
Total Redeem
$8,515
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
376
total markets
Trades
2880B / 824S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~93d

Periods

#2
Today
$-22
Vol: $0
Week
$-1,777
Vol: $0
Month
$-56
Vol: $0
All Time
$-23,552
Vol: $1,988,124

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
8%
27W / 312L events
Realized PnL
$-23,553
Win Rate
8%
27W / 312L
Profit Factor
0.25x
Avg Win
$434
Avg Loss
$-156

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $6,679 (0.28359351515491177% of PnL)

Top Winners

US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?$3,785
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?$2,037
Will there be between 20 and 40 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on June 30?$858
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$591
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$560
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 30, 2026?$532
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15?$512
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$440
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?$363
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?$297

Top Losers

Will Trump say "Nuclear" during events with Xi Jinping?$-8,775
Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?$-4,049
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?$-4,002
Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?$-1,901
Iran coup attempt by June 30?$-1,749
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?$-1,594
Will Brazil win on 2026-07-05?$-1,398
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?$-1,266
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?$-1,251
US forces enter Iran by March 14?$-988

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.318
Sortino
-0.318
HHI
313
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.586
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
11.6%
Top-5 markets
31%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
26.5
Active
Markets / Day
2.7
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
18:00 UTC
Median Gap
2.1m
between trades
Avg Gap
43.8m
between trades
Night Trading
27%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
3.66
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
6 min
Avg Trades / Session
16.9

Bot Detection

#6
50
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 126s — normal for humanCV 3.66 — diverse sizes (human-like)27% night trades — never sleeps24/24 hours — around the clock26 trades/day — high frequency2.7 markets/day — normal76% maker — frequent liquidity provider

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 18:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
9.97
Active DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)78.2%
Mid (20-55c)11.9%
High (>55c)9.9%

Sessions

#12
5/15/2026, 5:42:38 PM6 trades$35,0001 min
5/15/2026, 6:00:41 PM17 trades$26,8714 min
5/17/2026, 9:30:21 PM6 trades$21,6840 min
5/18/2026, 9:03:09 PM19 trades$16,8386 min
5/21/2026, 3:18:37 AM18 trades$14,8444 min
5/16/2026, 10:54:18 PM10 trades$14,6681 min
5/15/2026, 6:48:17 PM14 trades$13,6666 min
5/17/2026, 8:16:00 PM15 trades$13,0821 min
5/18/2026, 1:37:00 AM24 trades$12,34611 min
5/15/2026, 7:01:06 PM12 trades$11,7796 min
5/18/2026, 8:42:16 PM34 trades$11,46712 min
5/19/2026, 12:17:08 AM5 trades$11,0020 min
5/15/2026, 7:30:03 PM50 trades$10,45323 min
7/22/2026, 5:22:01 PM4 trades$10,1251 min
5/18/2026, 1:54:25 AM33 trades$9,80827 min
5/17/2026, 8:42:31 PM11 trades$8,7530 min
4/27/2026, 12:39:08 AM11 trades$8,3280 min
5/18/2026, 9:54:39 PM13 trades$7,9663 min
5/19/2026, 12:49:53 AM3 trades$6,5560 min
5/1/2026, 7:07:32 PM42 trades$6,06816 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
03-15
04-21
05-04
05-18
06-03
06-19
07-19

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 126 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
22.2% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 9.97/mkt
Entry Bias
LOW $
L78.2 / M11.9 / H9.9