@erwtc
#3,000,718250x80418d581b363077e2114b6090b040ccc677c749
SMART SCORE SYSTEM
Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.
Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.
25
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard
Score Components
74% (37/50)20/20
0.19x (win $522 / loss $2,757)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -3.9400/15
Sortino -3.9290/10
$-0.6689 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 4384 (50 markets)0/10
8/16 profitable days (50%)5/10
Max DD 529% of peak ($2,756 / $521)0/10
Badges
2Sniper
Win rate 74%
Win Streak
7 wins in a row
Categories
8🏛️ POLITICS#1,176,280$-6Vol: $49,611
⚽ SPORTS#1,855,702$-2,212Vol: $6,185
🎭 CULTURE#227,161$0Vol: $8
💰 FINANCE#227,634$0Vol: $5
📈 ECONOMICS#194,862$0Vol: $4
₿ CRYPTO#574,289$0Vol: $3
📢 MENTIONS#60,750$0Vol: $1
💻 TECH#95,154$0Vol: $1
Overview
#1Net PnL
$-2,217
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$55,819
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
56
total markets
Trades
116B / 33S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~26d
Periods
#2Today
$1
Vol: $0
Week
$1
Vol: $0
Month
$1
Vol: $0
All Time
$-2,217
Vol: $55,819
PnL Analysis
#3Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology
Win Rate (events)
74%
37W / 13L events
Realized PnL
$-2,217
Win Rate
74%
37W / 13L
Profit Factor
0.19x
Avg Win
$14
Avg Loss
$-459
Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $521 (0.23482685359351532% of PnL)
Top Winners
Grizzlies vs. Mavericks$520
Will Sam Soverel win the 2025 National Heads-Up Poker Championship?$0
Will Manuel Saavedra win the 2026 Santa Cruz de la Sierra mayoral election?$0
Will 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?$0
Will federal employees receive back pay after the government shutdown?$0
Will Rob Jetten become the next Prime Minister of the Netherlands?$0
Will Charlie Kirk be ranked #1 globally in Google’s Year in Search 2025 Passings?$0
Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase November 4-10?$0
Will Trump win FIFA Peace Prize?$0
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by January 31, 2026?$0
Top Losers
Hornets vs. Bulls$-2,717
Will Norway win on 2026-07-05?$-15
Will Carlos Álvarez win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$-7
Will Marisol Pérez Tello win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$-7
Will Ricardo Belmont win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$-6
Will Carlos Espá win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$-4
Risk Metrics
#4Sharpe
-0.200
Sortino
-0.126
HHI
6838
Concentrated
EV per $1
$-0.671
Kelly %
46.9%
Half-Kelly
23.5%
Top-1 market
81.3%
Top-5 markets
97.5%
Behavior Analysis
#5Trades / Day
0.6
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.2
Active Hours
14/24
Extended
Peak Hour
15:00 UTC
Median Gap
30s
between trades
Avg Gap
50.0m
between trades
Night Trading
2%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
4.96
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
36
Avg Duration
3 min
Avg Trades / Session
4.1
Bot Detection
#60
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability
7 indicators analyzed
Trade Speed
HIGH
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
MEDIUM
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 30s — normal for humanCV 4.96 — diverse sizes (human-like)2% night trades — normal pattern14/24 hours — normal schedule1 trades/day — normal0.2 markets/day — normal50% maker — normal mix
Timing Patterns
#7Peak hour: 15:00 UTC
0
4
8
12
16
20
DCA Analysis
#8Avg entries/market
2.7
Price Levels
#9Low (<20c)4.3%
Mid (20-55c)38.8%
High (>55c)56.9%
Sessions
#121/3/2026, 3:21:29 PM16 trades$1,68030 min
5/29/2026, 5:42:09 PM7 trades$1,1800 min
1/3/2026, 3:04:03 PM7 trades$5026 min
11/22/2025, 2:21:41 PM1 trades$5000 min
1/3/2026, 5:09:37 PM2 trades$1811 min
1/3/2026, 4:36:21 PM13 trades$16822 min
1/3/2026, 4:27:23 PM1 trades$1130 min
1/3/2026, 4:05:09 PM3 trades$603 min
5/24/2026, 5:21:47 PM6 trades$190 min
5/27/2026, 4:48:11 PM7 trades$180 min
11/8/2025, 7:21:25 PM11 trades$154 min
1/3/2026, 3:58:45 PM1 trades$120 min
5/25/2026, 6:20:52 PM4 trades$1010 min
7/5/2026, 11:42:50 AM2 trades$100 min
3/31/2026, 12:43:27 PM8 trades$92 min
5/27/2026, 7:47:13 PM2 trades$81 min
7/10/2026, 11:55:08 AM2 trades$80 min
3/21/2026, 11:35:53 AM6 trades$82 min
6/10/2026, 3:18:49 PM8 trades$82 min
12/7/2025, 12:15:23 PM6 trades$71 min
Equity Curve
#13Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
10-26
11-22
12-16
01-12
03-31
05-27
06-10
07-05
Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)
Max drawdown: 201 days (not recovered)
Profile
#14Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
22.1% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 2.7/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L4.3 / M38.8 / H56.9