WrongManyTimes

@WrongManyTimes

#91,37636

0x8090ba84e74f8d2c4d1807ec4a21b942533f42c1

~141d· 726 markets · 1696 tradesVol: $696,1472026-08-02 04:13:35
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

36
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

67% (484/722)18.5/20
0.84x (win $55,028 / loss $65,133)0.6/15
Annualised Sharpe -0.8450/15
Sortino -0.8880/10
$-0.0367 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 276 (722 markets)10/10
63/109 profitable days (58%)6.9/10
Max DD 190% of peak ($22,378 / $11,805)0/10

Badges

5
Sniper
Win rate 67%
Profitable
PnL $+801
Whale
$275,211 invested
Win Streak
18 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
22/24 hours active

Categories

3
SPORTS#10,018$4,576Vol: $497,173
🏛️ POLITICS#1,630,318$-3,610Vol: $192,230
CRYPTO#1,516,716$-165Vol: $6,744

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$801
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$696,147
Total Redeem
$4,901
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
726
total markets
Trades
1115B / 581S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~141d

Periods

#2
Week
$-640
Vol: $0
Month
$-360
Vol: $28,000
All Time
$801
Vol: $696,147

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
67%
484W / 238L events
Realized PnL
$801
Win Rate
67%
484W / 238L
Profit Factor
0.84x
Avg Win
$114
Avg Loss
$-280

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $8,547 (10.673234934192452% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will Alexander Zverev win the 2026 Men's French Open?$4,763
Spread: Netherlands (-1.5)$2,069
Scotland vs. Brazil: O/U 1.5$1,715
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?$1,634
Will Cruzeiro EC win on 2026-05-28?$1,590
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?$1,430
Will SE Palmeiras win on 2026-05-28?$1,306
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?$1,142
Will Mette Frederiksen be the next prime minister of Denmark after the 2026 parliamentary elections?$926
Will SE Palmeiras win on 2026-05-31?$865

Top Losers

Will Spain win on 2026-06-15?$-17,049
Will Belgium win on 2026-06-15?$-3,179
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-3,118
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-2,202
Spread: Netherlands (-3.5)$-1,278
Will France win on 2026-06-04?$-1,198
Spread: Aston Villa FC (-1.5)$-1,184
Portugal vs. Spain: O/U 1.5$-1,076
Set Handicap: Zakharova (-1.5) vs Bondar (+1.5)$-956
Will Sporting CP win on 2026-04-26?$-822

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.044
Sortino
-0.030
HHI
131
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.043
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
6.9%
Top-5 markets
19.5%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
5.4
Moderate
Markets / Day
2.3
Active Hours
22/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
11:00 UTC
Median Gap
1.1m
between trades
Avg Gap
1.9h
between trades
Night Trading
23%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
2.46
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
2 min
Avg Trades / Session
8.4

Bot Detection

#6
20
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
MEDIUM
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 68s — normal for humanCV 2.46 — diverse sizes (human-like)23% night trades — unusual hours22/24 hours — around the clock5 trades/day — normal2.3 markets/day — normal20% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 11:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
2.12
Moderate DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)11.3%
Mid (20-55c)23.1%
High (>55c)65.6%

Sessions

#12
7/9/2026, 2:18:52 PM18 trades$22,5292 min
8/1/2026, 1:00:35 PM68 trades$20,7690 min
6/14/2026, 11:35:33 AM4 trades$13,0191 min
5/28/2026, 11:31:00 PM13 trades$11,1597 min
7/19/2026, 9:50:49 PM2 trades$10,3510 min
6/15/2026, 5:51:39 PM3 trades$7,4780 min
6/14/2026, 10:22:28 PM3 trades$7,4740 min
7/19/2026, 11:38:52 AM2 trades$6,4310 min
5/8/2026, 7:20:50 PM7 trades$6,3350 min
5/8/2026, 7:36:32 PM4 trades$6,2392 min
5/28/2026, 1:44:15 PM6 trades$6,1620 min
6/12/2026, 3:26:42 PM9 trades$5,9762 min
6/23/2026, 5:24:49 PM2 trades$5,7920 min
6/2/2026, 8:03:00 PM11 trades$5,7366 min
6/25/2026, 5:24:49 PM12 trades$5,5330 min
6/20/2026, 7:01:22 PM11 trades$5,1641 min
6/7/2026, 9:11:28 PM4 trades$5,0631 min
6/23/2026, 2:50:46 PM2 trades$5,0120 min
5/29/2026, 1:39:44 AM17 trades$4,9721 min
3/5/2026, 8:36:29 PM9 trades$4,8618 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
09-22
12-29
03-06
03-24
04-20
06-16
07-19

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 35 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
34.3% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 2.12/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L11.3 / M23.1 / H65.6