@john-snows-knight
00x80c617192887178f052428da220b3f1126963e50
~33d· 20 markets · 2835 trades2026-08-02 04:14:36
SMART SCORE SYSTEM
Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.
Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.
0
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard
Score Components
27% (4/15)0/20
0.36x (win $46,170 / loss $127,619)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -5.1170/15
Sortino -5.3950/10
$-0.5642 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 3950 (15 markets)0/10
2/9 profitable days (22%)0/10
Max DD 296% of peak ($122,998 / $41,548)0/10
Badges
3Lottery Player
59% entries < $0.20
Whale
$144,355 invested
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active
Overview
#1Net PnL
$-34,325
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$144,355
Total Redeem
$5,593
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
20
total markets
Trades
659B / 2176S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~33d
PnL Analysis
#3Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology
Win Rate (events)
27%
4W / 11L events
Realized PnL
$-34,325
Win Rate
27%
4W / 11L
Profit Factor
0.36x
Avg Win
$11,542
Avg Loss
$-11,602
Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $46,169 (1.3450555091526664% of PnL)
Top Winners
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?$42,087
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?$4,072
SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 4?$10
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET$1
Top Losers
Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire extended by April 26, 2026?$-91,276
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?$-30,178
Trump renames Strait of Hormuz to "Strait of Trump" by May 31?$-4,611
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in May?$-510
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in May?$-287
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?$-243
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?$-220
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $730 in May?$-188
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in May?$-100
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?$-6
Risk Metrics
#4Sharpe
-0.253
Sortino
-0.264
HHI
2143
Moderate
EV per $1
$-0.645
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
36.8%
Top-5 markets
86.5%
Behavior Analysis
#5Trades / Day
15.8
Active
Markets / Day
0.1
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
15:00 UTC
Median Gap
1.0m
between trades
Avg Gap
55.1m
between trades
Night Trading
26%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
3.51
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
4 min
Avg Trades / Session
41.2
Bot Detection
#635
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability
7 indicators analyzed
Trade Speed
MEDIUM
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 60s — normal for humanCV 3.51 — diverse sizes (human-like)26% night trades — never sleeps24/24 hours — around the clock16 trades/day — very active0.1 markets/day — normal19% maker — normal mix
Timing Patterns
#7Peak hour: 15:00 UTC
0
4
8
12
16
20
DCA Analysis
#8Avg entries/market
181.13
Price Levels
#9Low (<20c)58.7%
Mid (20-55c)13.2%
High (>55c)28.1%
Sessions
#124/25/2026, 2:54:26 PM228 trades$152,91017 min
6/3/2026, 8:20:43 PM2 trades$56,7670 min
6/28/2026, 1:33:34 AM148 trades$52,7407 min
4/22/2026, 12:41:46 PM177 trades$44,92121 min
6/23/2026, 5:45:52 AM197 trades$44,00737 min
6/10/2026, 11:27:37 AM43 trades$41,2101 min
6/23/2026, 4:57:55 AM74 trades$27,4423 min
6/29/2026, 2:29:11 PM51 trades$27,3486 min
4/18/2026, 11:09:18 AM40 trades$20,0200 min
6/29/2026, 12:50:55 AM104 trades$17,52226 min
6/12/2026, 10:17:22 AM43 trades$16,4060 min
6/24/2026, 5:53:01 PM46 trades$15,4990 min
4/22/2026, 10:58:50 AM93 trades$14,22412 min
4/21/2026, 1:05:24 PM43 trades$13,3276 min
6/9/2026, 2:02:39 PM33 trades$11,6391 min
6/15/2026, 3:37:19 PM49 trades$11,5352 min
4/18/2026, 12:27:10 AM29 trades$10,6602 min
6/29/2026, 3:36:38 PM17 trades$10,0920 min
4/18/2026, 5:53:50 PM14 trades$9,3177 min
6/29/2026, 12:32:32 AM26 trades$7,8623 min
Equity Curve
#13Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
04-22
04-25
04-27
05-03
05-04
05-13
05-26
06-28
06-29
Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)
Max drawdown: 65 days (not recovered)
Profile
#14Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
76.8% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 181.13/mkt
Entry Bias
LOW $
L58.7 / M13.2 / H28.1