@ATaleOf2Outcomes
#23,918630x813bcab6cbc1a214ab0f7920574966e130090127
~6d· 153 markets · 1754 tradesVol: $1,442,9522026-08-02 04:07:17
SMART SCORE SYSTEM
Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.
Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.
63
Good
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard
Score Components
99% (151/153)20/20
947.36x (win $8,900 / loss $9)15/15
Annualised Sharpe 0.0000/15
Sortino 0.0000/10
$+0.0065 per $1 invested0.3/10
HHI 993 (153 markets)7.5/10
6/6 profitable days (100%)10/10
Max DD 0% of peak ($0 / $8,890)10/10
Badges
8Sniper
Win rate 99%
Profitable
PnL $+5,341
DCA Master
Avg 11.5 entries/market
Whale
$1,377,818 invested
Consistent
6/6 profitable days
High Roller
$22,223/day
Cool Head
Max DD 0%
Win Streak
107 wins in a row
Categories
5⚽ SPORTS#10,547$4,301Vol: $1,420,953
🎭 CULTURE#3,089$2,012Vol: $9,899
💰 FINANCE#652,625$-976Vol: $9,589
🏛️ POLITICS#279,361$2Vol: $1,503
₿ CRYPTO#364,039$2Vol: $1,009
Overview
#1Net PnL
$5,341
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$1,442,952
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
153
total markets
Trades
1146B / 608S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~6d
PnL Analysis
#3Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology
Win Rate (events)
99%
151W / 2L events
Realized PnL
$5,341
Win Rate
99%
151W / 2L
Profit Factor
947.81x
Avg Win
$59
Avg Loss
$-9
Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $5,330 (0.9979686593151479% of PnL)
Top Winners
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on June 21, 2026?$3,467
Will Portugal vs. Uzbekistan end in a draw?$1,191
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-24?$673
Will Panama win on 2026-06-23?$667
Will Ghana win on 2026-06-23?$487
Portugal vs. Uzbekistan: O/U 2.5$400
Will Canada win on 2026-06-24?$335
Will DR Congo win on 2026-06-23?$197
Will Jordan reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$194
Portugal vs. Uzbekistan: O/U 4.5$135
Top Losers
Will Uzbekistan win on 2026-06-23?$-9
Risk Metrics
#4Sharpe
0.603
Sortino
inf
HHI
1023
Moderate
EV per $1
$0.006
Kelly %
98.7%
Half-Kelly
49.3%
Top-1 market
24.8%
Top-5 markets
54.3%
Behavior Analysis
#5Trades / Day
28.3
Active
Markets / Day
2.5
Active Hours
16/24
Extended
Peak Hour
0:00 UTC
Median Gap
8s
between trades
Avg Gap
2.9m
between trades
Night Trading
38%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
8.63
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
44
Avg Duration
10 min
Avg Trades / Session
39.9
Bot Detection
#640
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability
7 indicators analyzed
Trade Speed
HIGH
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
MEDIUM
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
54% gaps < 10s — regular intervalsCV 8.63 — diverse sizes (human-like)38% night trades — never sleeps16/24 hours — normal schedule28 trades/day — high frequency2.5 markets/day — normal65% maker — normal mix
Timing Patterns
#7Peak hour: 0:00 UTC
0
4
8
12
16
20
DCA Analysis
#8Avg entries/market
11.46
Price Levels
#9Low (<20c)0%
Mid (20-55c)0%
High (>55c)100%
Sessions
#126/23/2026, 5:44:58 PM86 trades$384,79654 min
6/24/2026, 11:11:22 PM42 trades$275,02717 min
6/24/2026, 11:34:38 PM355 trades$187,00354 min
6/23/2026, 6:46:29 PM374 trades$131,23430 min
6/24/2026, 10:15:44 PM17 trades$120,49714 min
6/23/2026, 5:17:47 PM63 trades$86,09912 min
6/24/2026, 8:30:23 PM51 trades$83,65415 min
6/24/2026, 3:38:05 AM87 trades$72,97530 min
6/24/2026, 10:39:17 PM54 trades$70,99927 min
6/23/2026, 4:45:41 AM110 trades$20,54917 min
6/24/2026, 7:31:20 PM64 trades$16,89826 min
6/24/2026, 12:15:50 AM108 trades$13,55924 min
6/23/2026, 9:44:49 PM26 trades$10,76413 min
6/23/2026, 5:06:34 PM7 trades$9,6121 min
6/24/2026, 12:50:40 AM55 trades$6,71219 min
6/24/2026, 8:18:16 AM36 trades$6,2716 min
6/23/2026, 3:48:01 AM30 trades$4,9716 min
6/23/2026, 8:48:31 PM11 trades$4,0112 min
6/24/2026, 7:23:59 AM16 trades$3,4064 min
6/24/2026, 8:04:44 PM26 trades$2,32216 min
Equity Curve
#13Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
05-02
06-02
06-23
06-24
06-25
07-02
Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)
Profile
#14Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
34.7% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 11.46/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L0 / M0 / H100