@fjohnston
#2,088,710420x817902418511b0f51afe7f8c01ba36931d5c0750
~26d· 38 markets · 71 tradesVol: $27,9612026-08-02 05:25:12
SMART SCORE SYSTEM
Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.
Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.
42
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard
Score Components
45% (15/33)7.7/20
1.19x (win $36 / loss $31)4.8/15
Annualised Sharpe 1.09015/15
Sortino 2.15610/10
$+0.0002 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 5386 (33 markets)0/10
11/23 profitable days (48%)4.5/10
Max DD 213% of peak ($12 / $6)0/10
Badges
1Win Streak
5 wins in a row
Categories
6🏛️ POLITICS#1,278,296$-10Vol: $13,413
🎭 CULTURE#620,569$-4Vol: $5,751
💻 TECH#207,023$-3Vol: $5,718
⚽ SPORTS#1,054,199$-2Vol: $3,019
₿ CRYPTO#915,381$-2Vol: $34
💰 FINANCE#248,505$0Vol: $5
Overview
#1Net PnL
$-21
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$27,961
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
38
total markets
Trades
46B / 25S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~26d
Periods
#2Today
$-0
Vol: $0
Week
$-0
Vol: $0
Month
$-0
Vol: $0
All Time
$-21
Vol: $27,961
PnL Analysis
#3Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology
Win Rate (events)
45%
15W / 18L events
Realized PnL
$-21
Win Rate
45%
15W / 18L
Profit Factor
1.19x
Avg Win
$2
Avg Loss
$-2
Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $25 (1.2086575875486383% of PnL)
Top Winners
Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?$17
Bitcoin Up or Down on May 16?$4
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - ESL Pro League Playoffs$3
Will Fenerbahçe SK win on 2025-10-23?$3
Will Olympique de Marseille win on 2026-01-31?$2
Will Parma Calcio 1913 vs. ACF Fiorentina end in a draw?$2
Will Espanyol win on 2025-12-07?$2
FC Utrecht vs. KRC Genk: O/U 3.5$1
Will US Boulogne Côte d'Opale win on 2026-01-03?$1
Will GNX (Kendrick Lamar) win Album of the Year at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?$0
Top Losers
Will Villarreal CF win on 2025-12-10?$-5
Counter-Strike: Legacy vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - ESL Pro League Playoffs$-4
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$-4
Ripple above $2.10 on April 25?$-3
Bitcoin Up or Down on April 22?$-3
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?$-2
Toulouse FC vs. Racing Club de Lens: O/U 1.5$-2
Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-01-10?$-2
Will Benfica win the 2025–26 Champions League?$-1
Will “Running Point: Season 1” be the top global Netflix show this week?$-1
Risk Metrics
#4Sharpe
0.056
Sortino
0.108
HHI
597
Moderate
EV per $1
$0.001
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
23.7%
Top-5 markets
29.8%
Behavior Analysis
#5Trades / Day
0.1
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.1
Active Hours
21/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
13:00 UTC
Median Gap
27.6m
between trades
Avg Gap
46.4m
between trades
Night Trading
16%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.94
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
39
Avg Duration
0 min
Avg Trades / Session
1.8
Bot Detection
#610
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability
7 indicators analyzed
Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 1655s — normal for humanCV 1.94 — diverse sizes (human-like)15% night trades — unusual hours21/24 hours — extended activity0 trades/day — normal0.1 markets/day — normal31% maker — normal mix
Timing Patterns
#7Peak hour: 13:00 UTC
0
4
8
12
16
20
DCA Analysis
#8Avg entries/market
1.52
Price Levels
#9Low (<20c)4.3%
Mid (20-55c)23.9%
High (>55c)71.7%
Sessions
#122/23/2026, 5:05:40 AM2 trades$2,9592 min
7/1/2026, 5:16:37 PM2 trades$2,8590 min
7/1/2026, 5:58:41 PM3 trades$2,8590 min
7/19/2026, 10:52:36 AM2 trades$2,5710 min
7/19/2026, 11:45:12 AM2 trades$2,5710 min
7/19/2026, 12:21:57 PM2 trades$2,5680 min
7/19/2026, 1:02:52 PM2 trades$2,5680 min
7/19/2026, 1:54:54 PM2 trades$2,5650 min
7/19/2026, 2:32:04 PM2 trades$2,5650 min
2/23/2026, 4:20:48 AM1 trades$1,4810 min
2/23/2026, 6:15:44 AM1 trades$1,4780 min
5/28/2026, 11:04:20 PM4 trades$531 min
7/1/2026, 1:30:22 PM3 trades$330 min
4/10/2026, 11:59:23 AM4 trades$91 min
3/12/2026, 9:46:53 PM2 trades$92 min
4/23/2026, 6:45:24 PM4 trades$81 min
5/13/2026, 9:55:05 AM4 trades$72 min
6/3/2026, 11:19:31 PM4 trades$53 min
12/30/2025, 8:46:55 PM2 trades$54 min
12/10/2025, 8:40:28 AM1 trades$50 min
Equity Curve
#13Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
03-24
04-19
10-23
12-24
01-17
02-23
05-13
06-03
Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)
Max drawdown: 138 days (recovered)
Profile
#14Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
35.2% sell
DCA Style
SINGLE
avg 1.52/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L4.3 / M23.9 / H71.7