@da4c07

#6,63879

0x81ca49ad9806de2d92782b873bfa7fe051943b87

~60d· 52 markets · 567 tradesVol: $252,3152026-08-03 03:56:18
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

79
Good
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

44% (22/50)7/20
4.48x (win $42,947 / loss $9,592)15/15
Annualised Sharpe 4.47915/15
Sortino 15.71910/10
$+0.9393 per $1 invested10/10
HHI 887 (50 markets)8.1/10
15/32 profitable days (47%)4.2/10
Max DD 23% of peak ($7,630 / $33,355)9.4/10

Badges

4
Profitable
PnL $+24,240
Lottery Player
59% entries < $0.20
Cool Head
Max DD 23%
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active

Categories

4
💰 FINANCE#400$13,576Vol: $219,697
💻 TECH#182$10,664Vol: $32,614
🎭 CULTURE#253,579$0Vol: $2
🏛️ POLITICS#532,317$0Vol: $2

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$24,240
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$252,315
Total Redeem
$1
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
52
total markets
Trades
199B / 368S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~60d

Periods

#2
Today
$0
Vol: $0
Week
$0
Vol: $2
Month
$51
Vol: $2
All Time
$24,240
Vol: $252,315

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
44%
22W / 28L events
Realized PnL
$24,240
Win Rate
44%
22W / 28L
Profit Factor
4.48x
Avg Win
$1,952
Avg Loss
$-343

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $29,294 (1.2085058615948274% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will any other model be the best AI model on August 1, 2026?$15,343
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?$8,069
Will claude-opus-4-6-thinking be the best AI model on August 1, 2026?$5,883
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?$5,597
Will Google have the top AI model on August 31?$3,494
Will Anthropic have the #1 AI model at the end of February 2026?$1,563
Will Google have the #3 AI model at the end of March 2026?$1,296
Will Google have the #1 AI model at the end of February 2026?$833
Will Anthropic have the best Code Arena | WebDev AI at the end of July 2026?$234
Will xAI have the #3 AI model at the end of March 2026?$183

Top Losers

Will Z.ai have the second best AI model on October 31?$-2,140
Will Anthropic have the top AI model on October 31?$-2,102
Will Google have the top AI model on October 31?$-1,696
Will Alibaba have the best AI model on October 31?$-987
Will Google have the second best AI model on September 30?$-540
Will Z.ai have the second best Coding AI model at the end of June 2026?$-536
Will Anthropic have the second best Coding AI model at the end of June 2026?$-395
Will the next Claude Mythos model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1520?$-370
Will the next Claude Mythos model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1530?$-240
Will Google have the #2 AI model at the end of March 2026?$-184

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.231
Sortino
0.615
HHI
1000
Moderate
EV per $1
$0.939
Kelly %
30.1%
Half-Kelly
15.0%
Top-1 market
21.5%
Top-5 markets
63%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
1.1
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.1
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
4:00 UTC
Median Gap
1.0m
between trades
Avg Gap
2.2h
between trades
Night Trading
35%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
2.65
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
9.1

Bot Detection

#6
30
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
MEDIUM
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 60s — normal for humanCV 2.65 — diverse sizes (human-like)35% night trades — never sleeps24/24 hours — around the clock1 trades/day — normal0.1 markets/day — normal13% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 4:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
11.22
Heavy DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)58.8%
Mid (20-55c)19.6%
High (>55c)21.6%

Sessions

#12
7/27/2026, 4:29:27 AM91 trades$13,7640 min
10/18/2025, 1:17:03 AM24 trades$7,2881 min
2/8/2026, 9:07:43 PM1 trades$6,5970 min
8/8/2025, 2:28:55 PM4 trades$6,5563 min
10/7/2025, 9:51:04 PM8 trades$6,4180 min
10/3/2025, 3:31:47 PM4 trades$6,0000 min
8/20/2025, 9:54:40 AM1 trades$3,3000 min
8/15/2025, 4:55:12 PM1 trades$3,3000 min
7/27/2026, 6:43:16 AM13 trades$3,2083 min
6/11/2026, 12:00:49 AM50 trades$2,9004 min
2/6/2026, 6:36:07 PM7 trades$2,6290 min
6/16/2026, 5:58:49 PM43 trades$2,5650 min
6/20/2026, 4:44:16 PM18 trades$1,0200 min
8/7/2025, 5:11:25 PM1 trades$1,0000 min
6/11/2026, 12:16:07 AM6 trades$8900 min
11/19/2025, 11:21:31 PM3 trades$7001 min
8/7/2025, 5:25:29 PM1 trades$5490 min
3/16/2026, 9:05:55 PM2 trades$5240 min
6/21/2026, 10:08:17 PM28 trades$5180 min
7/27/2026, 5:57:04 PM8 trades$5020 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
02-28
09-21
11-18
12-17
02-09
04-20
06-22

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 59 days (recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
64.9% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 11.22/mkt
Entry Bias
LOW $
L58.8 / M19.6 / H21.6