@HoldenBloodfeast
#2,977,880620x8204c2803f9b69e6a623ac70c92a049699ed56ea
~72d· 91 markets · 1486 tradesVol: $1,236,9222026-08-02 06:27:35
SMART SCORE SYSTEM
Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.
Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.
62
Good
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard
Score Components
63% (42/67)16.3/20
1.17x (win $55,378 / loss $47,312)4.6/15
Annualised Sharpe 0.92815/15
Sortino 1.59110/10
$+0.0337 per $1 invested1.7/10
HHI 551 (67 markets)9.7/10
16/33 profitable days (48%)4.6/10
Max DD 346% of peak ($27,891 / $8,066)0/10
Badges
6Sniper
Win rate 63%
Contrarian
67% entries < $0.55
DCA Master
Avg 13.1 entries/market
Whale
$239,441 invested
Win Streak
6 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active
Categories
4🏛️ POLITICS#1,628,539$-2,977Vol: $1,210,779
📈 ECONOMICS#2,402$1,472Vol: $24,032
⚽ SPORTS#1,742,464$-210Vol: $911
₿ CRYPTO#808,756$-1Vol: $100
Overview
#1Net PnL
$-1,705
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$1,236,922
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
91
total markets
Trades
839B / 647S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~72d
Periods
#2Today
$994
Vol: $28,225
Week
$482
Vol: $28,225
Month
$1,223
Vol: $29,225
All Time
$-1,705
Vol: $1,236,922
PnL Analysis
#3Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology
Win Rate (events)
63%
42W / 25L events
Realized PnL
$-1,705
Win Rate
63%
42W / 25L
Profit Factor
1.17x
Avg Win
$1,319
Avg Loss
$-1,892
Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $35,947 (21.085362849299642% of PnL)
Top Winners
Maduro out by January 31, 2026?$17,100
US x Venezuela military engagement by January 15, 2026?$14,647
US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?$4,200
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by May 15?$3,097
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?$2,107
Israel strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?$2,000
Israel strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?$1,890
US x Iran ceasefire by June 30?$1,825
US x Iran ceasefire by May 31?$1,342
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?$1,276
Top Losers
Maduro out in 2025?$-12,095
Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by January 31?$-7,649
US x Venezuela military engagement by December 31?$-6,601
Maduro out by November 30, 2025?$-3,851
US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?$-3,428
US x Venezuela military engagement by November 30?$-3,085
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?$-2,600
US x Venezuela military engagement by December 15?$-1,867
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15?$-1,108
Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by March 31?$-1,040
Risk Metrics
#4Sharpe
0.048
Sortino
0.072
HHI
219
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.049
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
8.3%
Top-5 markets
26.8%
Behavior Analysis
#5Trades / Day
4.8
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.3
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
21:00 UTC
Median Gap
2.7m
between trades
Avg Gap
39.4m
between trades
Night Trading
24%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
3.09
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
4 min
Avg Trades / Session
11.7
Bot Detection
#620
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability
7 indicators analyzed
Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 164s — normal for humanCV 3.09 — diverse sizes (human-like)23% night trades — unusual hours24/24 hours — around the clock5 trades/day — normal0.3 markets/day — normal67% maker — normal mix
Timing Patterns
#7Peak hour: 21:00 UTC
0
4
8
12
16
20
DCA Analysis
#8Avg entries/market
13.13
Price Levels
#9Low (<20c)26.5%
Mid (20-55c)40%
High (>55c)33.5%
Sessions
#124/17/2026, 6:38:56 PM61 trades$43,3475 min
4/11/2026, 3:39:33 PM13 trades$19,7520 min
2/6/2026, 1:05:33 AM3 trades$13,5793 min
7/14/2026, 7:34:28 PM85 trades$13,0871 min
1/15/2026, 2:14:14 AM7 trades$9,3840 min
1/15/2026, 1:54:06 AM1 trades$9,2840 min
8/2/2026, 3:59:39 AM16 trades$8,9786 min
4/12/2026, 9:26:23 PM24 trades$7,7293 min
3/15/2026, 4:28:47 AM11 trades$7,71712 min
4/9/2026, 10:54:45 PM16 trades$6,8593 min
4/14/2026, 12:18:03 AM3 trades$6,6000 min
1/9/2026, 10:17:20 PM13 trades$6,1228 min
1/12/2026, 1:32:00 AM11 trades$5,9973 min
3/23/2026, 8:28:59 PM10 trades$5,9813 min
7/16/2026, 9:38:50 PM37 trades$5,9071 min
11/24/2025, 2:01:51 AM3 trades$5,6865 min
7/20/2026, 11:20:40 PM16 trades$5,1793 min
1/12/2026, 1:15:42 AM3 trades$5,1782 min
3/27/2026, 4:07:09 AM4 trades$5,1066 min
4/7/2026, 11:18:51 PM1 trades$4,9750 min
Equity Curve
#13Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
09-29
12-01
01-03
01-15
03-15
03-21
04-09
Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)
Profile
#14Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
43.5% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 13.13/mkt
Entry Bias
MIXED
L26.5 / M40 / H33.5