@Oldcastle
#416,888660x8277dee85a0afc1dce148e916d2269d1f02b6cdf
~6d· 11 markets · 52 tradesVol: $13,6762026-08-02 07:38:26
SMART SCORE SYSTEM
Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.
Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.
66
Good
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard
Score Components
67% (4/6)18.3/20
6.69x (win $2,846 / loss $426)15/15
Annualised Sharpe 0.0000/15
Sortino 0.0000/10
$+0.3999 per $1 invested10/10
HHI 1897 (6 markets)3/10
3/4 profitable days (75%)10/10
Max DD 6% of peak ($138 / $2,488)10/10
Badges
6Sniper
Win rate 67%
Profitable
PnL $+20
Lottery Player
31% entries < $0.20
DCA Master
Avg 5.5 entries/market
Consistent
3/4 profitable days
Cool Head
Max DD 6%
Overview
#1Net PnL
$20
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$13,676
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
11
total markets
Trades
32B / 20S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~6d
PnL Analysis
#3Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology
Win Rate (events)
67%
4W / 2L events
Realized PnL
$20
Win Rate
67%
4W / 2L
Profit Factor
6.69x
Avg Win
$711
Avg Loss
$-213
Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $2,801 (140.73869346733667% of PnL)
Top Winners
Will Russia enter Krasnoiarske by July 31?$2,681
Will Russia capture all of Huliaipole by June 30?$70
Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by June 30, 2026?$50
Exact Score: Canada 0 - 1 Bosnia-Herzegovina?$45
Top Losers
Will Egypt sign the US x Iran memorandum of understanding?$-288
Will Russia capture all of Rodynske again by June 30?$-138
Risk Metrics
#4Sharpe
0.506
Sortino
inf
HHI
347
Diversified
EV per $1
$1.118
Kelly %
33.1%
Half-Kelly
16.6%
Top-1 market
15.3%
Top-5 markets
34.3%
Behavior Analysis
#5Trades / Day
1.2
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.3
Active Hours
8/24
Normal
Peak Hour
6:00 UTC
Median Gap
2.9m
between trades
Avg Gap
42.8m
between trades
Night Trading
54%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.07
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
17
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
3.1
Bot Detection
#615
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability
7 indicators analyzed
Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
MEDIUM
Active Hours
LOW
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 176s — normal for humanCV 1.07 — diverse sizes (human-like)54% night trades — never sleeps8/24 hours — normal schedule1 trades/day — normal0.3 markets/day — normal62% maker — normal mix
Timing Patterns
#7Peak hour: 6:00 UTC
0
4
8
12
16
20
DCA Analysis
#8Avg entries/market
5.5
Price Levels
#9Low (<20c)31.2%
Mid (20-55c)0%
High (>55c)68.8%
Sessions
#126/19/2026, 3:54:44 AM6 trades$1,0715 min
6/19/2026, 6:27:40 AM3 trades$9820 min
6/25/2026, 9:55:02 AM3 trades$9640 min
6/25/2026, 8:30:14 AM5 trades$9523 min
6/28/2026, 4:55:44 AM3 trades$9512 min
7/24/2026, 3:14:31 AM2 trades$5900 min
6/12/2026, 3:29:58 AM3 trades$5433 min
7/24/2026, 5:52:06 AM1 trades$5370 min
6/28/2026, 1:53:26 AM2 trades$4900 min
6/30/2026, 5:11:10 AM2 trades$4740 min
6/30/2026, 3:51:37 AM2 trades$4700 min
6/28/2026, 6:22:58 AM3 trades$4620 min
6/30/2026, 5:05:29 AM3 trades$4430 min
6/30/2026, 6:25:25 AM1 trades$4430 min
6/12/2026, 2:37:48 AM2 trades$2800 min
6/25/2026, 6:30:53 AM9 trades$1723 min
6/19/2026, 2:38:22 AM2 trades$900 min
Equity Curve
#13Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
06-12
06-19
06-25
06-28
Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)
Max drawdown: 6 days (not recovered)
Profile
#14Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
38.5% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 5.5/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L31.2 / M0 / H68.8