@orangemn

#2,469,13739

0x828e6b58c219a668df6858886f022ae0440ab258

~32d· 31 markets · 401 tradesVol: $50,4772026-08-02 06:27:27
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

39
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

90% (18/20)20/20
0.02x (win $3 / loss $182)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -4.8590/15
Sortino -4.7090/10
$-0.0037 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 743 (20 markets)8.8/10
15/16 profitable days (94%)10/10
Max DD 7074% of peak ($182 / $3)0/10

Badges

3
Sniper
Win rate 90%
Consistent
15/16 profitable days
Win Streak
13 wins in a row

Categories

4
CRYPTO#284,782$5Vol: $34,200
🏛️ POLITICS#180,660$9Vol: $16,060
📈 ECONOMICS#133,534$1Vol: $81
🎭 CULTURE#322,887$0Vol: $21

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-76
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$50,477
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
31
total markets
Trades
92B / 309S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~32d

Periods

#2
Today
$1
Vol: $0
Week
$1
Vol: $0
Month
$1
Vol: $0
All Time
$-76
Vol: $50,477

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
90%
18W / 2L events
Realized PnL
$-76
Win Rate
90%
18W / 2L
Profit Factor
0.02x
Avg Win
$0
Avg Loss
$-182

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $1 (0.01845066736456425% of PnL)

Top Winners

No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?$1
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by March 31? $0
Will Bitcoin reach $105,000 in April?$0
Will Bitcoin dip to $20,000 in April?$0
Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 in April?$0
Will the price of Solana be between $140 and $150 on January 18?$0
Will Bitcoin dip to $20,000 in March?$0
Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 in February?$0
Katana FDV above $800M one day after launch?$0
Katana FDV above $1B one day after launch?$0

Top Losers

Will Valve add Cache to the Map Pool by June 30, 2026?$-182

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.246
Sortino
-11201.250
HHI
1
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.123
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
0.4%
Top-5 markets
1.5%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
2.3
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.2
Active Hours
20/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
11:00 UTC
Median Gap
16.4m
between trades
Avg Gap
2.8h
between trades
Night Trading
2%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
2.31
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
7.4

Bot Detection

#6
5
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 981s — normal for humanCV 2.31 — diverse sizes (human-like)1% night trades — normal pattern20/24 hours — extended activity2 trades/day — normal0.2 markets/day — normal23% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 11:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
2.6
Moderate DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)1.1%
Mid (20-55c)0%
High (>55c)98.9%

Sessions

#12
6/28/2026, 11:46:35 AM220 trades$11,8814 min
6/25/2026, 12:58:14 PM36 trades$8,9203 min
7/2/2026, 7:59:20 PM2 trades$7,8990 min
7/13/2026, 3:51:50 AM1 trades$7,8600 min
7/2/2026, 7:38:11 PM21 trades$6,8347 min
6/28/2026, 12:20:25 PM18 trades$5,6382 min
7/1/2026, 9:28:17 PM1 trades$2,1670 min
7/1/2026, 7:13:01 PM1 trades$1,9940 min
6/28/2026, 12:42:14 PM2 trades$1,8020 min
6/25/2026, 12:36:29 PM4 trades$1,4850 min
6/28/2026, 12:10:37 PM2 trades$1,4020 min
4/25/2026, 10:13:08 AM5 trades$2822 min
6/28/2026, 9:51:31 AM1 trades$2610 min
6/25/2026, 1:26:43 PM3 trades$2360 min
6/28/2026, 12:03:22 PM2 trades$2240 min
7/2/2026, 9:46:13 AM1 trades$2000 min
4/22/2026, 11:42:02 AM2 trades$1820 min
4/19/2026, 6:02:06 PM3 trades$1810 min
7/6/2026, 9:30:01 AM2 trades$1690 min
6/26/2026, 11:24:02 AM2 trades$1180 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
01-18
01-20
01-22
01-25
02-12
02-26
03-15
04-21

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 4 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
77.1% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 2.6/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L1.1 / M0 / H98.9