@tony912
#2,655180x82ba1b3913ddf383db52eb06e0e225e95257afea
~20d· 76 markets · 2448 tradesVol: $6,199,2972026-08-02 08:02:08
SMART SCORE SYSTEM
Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.
Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.
18
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard
Score Components
38% (29/76)4.1/20
0.69x (win $708,476 / loss $1,029,323)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -4.0820/15
Sortino -4.5780/10
$-0.2014 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 436 (76 markets)10/10
8/18 profitable days (44%)3.6/10
Max DD 282% of peak ($497,532 / $176,685)0/10
Badges
4Profitable
PnL $+69,523
Whale
$1,593,277 invested
High Roller
$56,903/day
Win Streak
6 wins in a row
Categories
2⚽ SPORTS#1,069$69,499Vol: $6,199,173
₿ CRYPTO#170,660$23Vol: $123
Overview
#1Net PnL
$69,523
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$6,199,297
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
76
total markets
Trades
355B / 2093S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~20d
PnL Analysis
#3Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology
Win Rate (events)
38%
29W / 47L events
Realized PnL
$69,523
Win Rate
38%
29W / 47L
Profit Factor
0.69x
Avg Win
$24,430
Avg Loss
$-23,394
Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $265,039 (3.8122588108953726% of PnL)
Top Winners
Will Spain win on 2026-06-26?$105,846
Will Norway win on 2026-06-22?$88,364
Will Japan win on 2026-06-21?$70,829
Will Croatia win on 2026-06-27?$69,964
Will France win on 2026-06-26?$66,867
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-25?$45,112
Will Argentina win on 2026-06-22?$41,328
Exact Score: France 2 - 0 Morocco?$31,847
Tunisia vs. Japan: O/U 2.5$23,702
Spread: France (-2.5)$21,030
Top Losers
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-27?$-241,825
Will Japan win on 2026-06-25?$-124,769
Will Austria win on 2026-06-27?$-102,096
Will United States win on 2026-06-25?$-80,851
Will Egypt win on 2026-06-26?$-74,730
Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-06-26?$-63,094
Will Spain win on 2026-07-10?$-42,607
Will Belgium win on 2026-06-21?$-32,127
Will Canada win on 2026-06-24?$-30,000
Will Australia win on 2026-06-25?$-29,035
Risk Metrics
#4Sharpe
-0.208
Sortino
-0.224
HHI
499
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.201
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
10.6%
Top-5 markets
42.1%
Behavior Analysis
#5Trades / Day
87.4
Very active
Markets / Day
2.7
Active Hours
17/24
Extended
Peak Hour
1:00 UTC
Median Gap
47s
between trades
Avg Gap
1.2h
between trades
Night Trading
54%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
2.06
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
3 min
Avg Trades / Session
43.3
Bot Detection
#640
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability
7 indicators analyzed
Trade Speed
MEDIUM
Night Activity
MEDIUM
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
HIGH
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 47s — normal for humanCV 2.06 — diverse sizes (human-like)54% night trades — never sleeps17/24 hours — normal schedule87 trades/day — mass trading2.7 markets/day — normal15% maker — normal mix
Timing Patterns
#7Peak hour: 1:00 UTC
0
4
8
12
16
20
DCA Analysis
#8Avg entries/market
32.21
Price Levels
#9Low (<20c)11%
Mid (20-55c)27.9%
High (>55c)61.1%
Sessions
#126/21/2026, 5:59:23 AM74 trades$378,25212 min
6/27/2026, 11:21:34 PM19 trades$313,8168 min
6/28/2026, 1:57:22 AM90 trades$200,1961 min
6/26/2026, 9:26:37 PM55 trades$185,8371 min
6/23/2026, 9:34:35 PM182 trades$168,1615 min
6/27/2026, 2:39:17 AM80 trades$167,7886 min
6/26/2026, 1:05:22 AM82 trades$118,3267 min
6/27/2026, 5:52:52 AM81 trades$85,4457 min
6/20/2026, 11:00:04 AM94 trades$79,9555 min
6/22/2026, 7:24:29 PM37 trades$74,2025 min
6/23/2026, 3:16:41 AM71 trades$73,86211 min
6/26/2026, 1:32:20 AM24 trades$66,0691 min
7/9/2026, 7:47:55 PM8 trades$63,7933 min
6/22/2026, 12:06:49 AM65 trades$62,4482 min
7/4/2026, 8:05:47 PM43 trades$62,4173 min
6/21/2026, 6:44:47 AM56 trades$61,6612 min
6/20/2026, 11:35:10 PM49 trades$57,6641 min
6/24/2026, 1:27:46 AM71 trades$53,8361 min
6/25/2026, 10:54:35 PM27 trades$53,8104 min
6/22/2026, 2:43:25 AM13 trades$53,3335 min
Equity Curve
#13Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
06-20
06-23
06-27
06-30
07-05
07-09
Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)
Max drawdown: 25 days (not recovered)
Profile
#14Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
85.5% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 32.21/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L11 / M27.9 / H61.1