@Margo078

#2,901,32454

0x82fba97adf313263afcd6e09aa8366efb499bed6

~83d· 589 markets · 4294 tradesVol: $78,6622026-08-02 06:30:23
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

54
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

46% (103/222)8.2/20
1.22x (win $1,999 / loss $1,634)5.3/15
Annualised Sharpe 1.89115/15
Sortino 2.61710/10
$+0.0117 per $1 invested0.6/10
HHI 108 (222 markets)10/10
31/60 profitable days (52%)5.4/10
Max DD 83% of peak ($336 / $403)0/10

Badges

3
DCA Master
Avg 6.0 entries/market
Win Streak
7 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active

Categories

8
🏛️ POLITICS#1,569,555$-240Vol: $29,421
⚽ SPORTS#1,727,933$-175Vol: $27,743
💰 FINANCE#635,634$-129Vol: $7,110
₿ CRYPTO#1,488,842$-118Vol: $4,855
💻 TECH#244,931$-61Vol: $3,204
📈 ECONOMICS#645,457$-47Vol: $2,578
🎭 CULTURE#741,157$-29Vol: $2,384
🌤️ WEATHER#247,898$-11Vol: $160

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-814
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$78,662
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
589
total markets
Trades
2609B / 1685S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~83d

Periods

#2
Today
$-1
Vol: $0
Week
$-75
Vol: $0
Month
$-7
Vol: $615
All Time
$-814
Vol: $78,662

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
46%
103W / 119L events
Realized PnL
$-814
Win Rate
46%
103W / 119L
Profit Factor
1.22x
Avg Win
$19
Avg Loss
$-14

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $344 (0.42207425243863483% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will LeBron's next contract average $4M-$10M per year?$165
Will the Starship for SpaceX Starship Flight Test 13 achieve a successful splashdown?$94
Will South Korea finish second in Group A in the 2026 FIFA World Cup Group Stage?$85
Will South Korea be eliminated in the Round of 32 of the World Cup?$74
Will Secret Whales win LCP 2026 Split 2?$71
Will Messi and Ronaldo Shake Hands During World Cup?$69
Will France be the highest-scoring team in Group I during the Group Stage of the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$66
Will Bukayo Saka score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$59
Will the next GPT model released by OpenAI debut at a score of at least 1490 by December 31, 2026?$55
Another critical Cloudflare incident by June 30, 2026?$50

Top Losers

Will Argentina reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?$-113
Will Egypt be eliminated in the Round of 32 of the World Cup?$-80
I'll read the skill first to apply the correct format.Will Lionel Messi's national team advance the furthest at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-60
Will Ed Miliband be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026?$-60
Will Rodri score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-53
Will England reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-50
Will the next GPT model released by OpenAI debut at a score of at least 1480 by December 31, 2026?$-48
Will Germany reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-46
Will Panama finish last in Group L in the 2026 FIFA World Cup Group Stage?$-46
Will Colombia be eliminated in the Round of 16 of the World Cup?$-44

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.098
Sortino
0.108
HHI
12
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.036
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
1.2%
Top-5 markets
4.5%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
51.7
Very active
Markets / Day
7.1
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
19:00 UTC
Median Gap
14s
between trades
Avg Gap
44.7m
between trades
Night Trading
25%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
0.95
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
6.6

Bot Detection

#6
50
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
HIGH
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
MEDIUM
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 14s — suspiciously fastCV 0.95 — diverse sizes (human-like)25% night trades — unusual hours24/24 hours — around the clock52 trades/day — mass trading7.1 markets/day — normal61% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 19:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
6
Active DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)6.3%
Mid (20-55c)24%
High (>55c)69.8%

Sessions

#12
7/10/2026, 1:51:35 AM10 trades$3888 min
7/31/2026, 1:52:38 AM24 trades$3416 min
7/19/2026, 12:32:43 AM18 trades$2393 min
6/27/2026, 8:30:19 AM7 trades$2204 min
6/27/2026, 7:05:35 AM10 trades$2164 min
7/13/2026, 12:57:14 AM7 trades$2100 min
7/11/2026, 8:48:50 PM5 trades$2080 min
7/10/2026, 2:47:34 AM8 trades$2050 min
7/13/2026, 12:20:29 PM6 trades$1880 min
7/12/2026, 12:48:19 AM6 trades$1860 min
6/25/2026, 2:59:38 PM10 trades$1856 min
5/31/2026, 9:40:05 AM7 trades$1851 min
7/10/2026, 4:37:31 AM5 trades$1840 min
7/13/2026, 5:32:32 PM5 trades$1790 min
7/20/2026, 9:12:03 PM4 trades$1780 min
5/29/2026, 9:10:54 PM8 trades$1744 min
7/18/2026, 7:47:12 AM4 trades$1730 min
7/22/2026, 7:19:28 AM3 trades$1710 min
7/18/2026, 8:26:49 PM3 trades$1690 min
6/16/2026, 5:44:34 PM6 trades$1634 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
05-11
05-25
06-05
06-16
06-26
07-09

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 18 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
39.2% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 6/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L6.3 / M24 / H69.8