@miskulinac

#3,055,58874

0x8390808cefaf138f02b7fb0beff93148ce0809f1

~53d· 196 markets · 2251 tradesVol: $936,3192026-08-02 06:21:28
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

74
Good
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

42% (74/176)6/20
1.64x (win $77,200 / loss $46,935)10.6/15
Annualised Sharpe 2.50615/15
Sortino 7.47010/10
$+0.0794 per $1 invested4/10
HHI 351 (176 markets)10/10
28/40 profitable days (70%)10/10
Max DD 30% of peak ($11,747 / $39,735)8.1/10

Badges

7
Whale
$381,153 invested
Consistent
28/40 profitable days
High Roller
$6,806/day
Cool Head
Max DD 30%
Win Streak
6 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active
🏗️Market Maker
83% maker orders

Categories

6
🏛️ POLITICS#1,594,060$-479Vol: $551,346
📈 ECONOMICS#681,958$-12,907Vol: $182,117
⚽ SPORTS#21,743$2,006Vol: $175,708
💰 FINANCE#3,665$1,192Vol: $17,608
🎭 CULTURE#799,313$-290Vol: $7,540
₿ CRYPTO#66,892$190Vol: $2,000

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-10,288
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$936,319
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
196
total markets
Trades
1860B / 391S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~53d

Periods

#2
Today
$2,067
Vol: $8,342
Week
$-3,665
Vol: $8,342
Month
$131
Vol: $27,098
All Time
$-10,288
Vol: $936,319

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
42%
74W / 102L events
Realized PnL
$-10,613
Win Rate
42%
74W / 102L
Profit Factor
1.64x
Avg Win
$1,043
Avg Loss
$-469

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $43,485 (4.097261049693824% of PnL)

Top Winners

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$32,955
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$5,400
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$5,130
Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?$3,557
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?$3,493
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?$2,291
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$1,987
Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?$1,352
Iran full airspace closure by July 31?$1,330
US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?$1,244

Top Losers

Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$-6,337
Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?$-6,222
Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by July 31?$-3,863
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 14$-3,700
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24?$-2,991
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-2,535
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 15?$-2,313
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-2,210
Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30?$-1,860
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026?$-1,353

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.130
Sortino
0.270
HHI
179
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.117
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
7.8%
Top-5 markets
22.6%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
40.2
Active
Markets / Day
3.5
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
14:00 UTC
Median Gap
3.2m
between trades
Avg Gap
43.7m
between trades
Night Trading
24%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
2.30
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
4 min
Avg Trades / Session
8.5

Bot Detection

#6
40
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
MEDIUM
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 193s — normal for humanCV 2.30 — diverse sizes (human-like)24% night trades — unusual hours24/24 hours — around the clock40 trades/day — high frequency3.5 markets/day — normal83% maker — frequent liquidity provider

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 14:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
9.61
Active DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)15.7%
Mid (20-55c)16.8%
High (>55c)67.5%

Sessions

#12
6/17/2026, 5:10:49 AM10 trades$9,5414 min
6/25/2026, 1:51:05 PM39 trades$8,34820 min
6/17/2026, 5:21:43 AM10 trades$8,1616 min
6/10/2026, 3:20:55 PM3 trades$7,8121 min
8/2/2026, 3:03:50 AM12 trades$7,7640 min
6/14/2026, 9:16:46 PM16 trades$7,6093 min
6/14/2026, 10:57:10 PM4 trades$6,7733 min
6/9/2026, 2:35:57 PM15 trades$5,9103 min
6/13/2026, 2:53:37 PM10 trades$5,7103 min
6/9/2026, 3:20:51 PM8 trades$5,6341 min
6/24/2026, 6:04:58 PM18 trades$5,6226 min
6/14/2026, 2:14:27 PM16 trades$5,5973 min
7/11/2026, 11:58:17 PM11 trades$5,5310 min
7/11/2026, 10:11:19 PM5 trades$5,47213 min
6/15/2026, 3:37:27 PM5 trades$5,3335 min
6/24/2026, 4:35:52 PM7 trades$4,9990 min
6/26/2026, 11:11:02 AM9 trades$4,9830 min
6/24/2026, 4:45:16 PM10 trades$4,7502 min
6/11/2026, 4:49:48 AM7 trades$4,5445 min
6/19/2026, 6:19:11 PM17 trades$4,51112 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
06-09
06-17
06-23
06-30
07-07
07-15
07-26

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 10 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
17.4% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 9.61/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L15.7 / M16.8 / H67.5