@0xCf46f45cE63f56201B8952B6B9Af2bEb572804cc-1760082884757
#74,919180x83f107cd7f190bd52d906489a7aaa950b8451936
~22d· 40 markets · 596 tradesVol: $140,2962026-08-02 04:12:38
SMART SCORE SYSTEM
Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.
Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.
18
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard
Score Components
37% (14/38)3.4/20
0.59x (win $11,017 / loss $18,649)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -4.0170/15
Sortino -4.4720/10
$-0.2281 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 665 (38 markets)9.2/10
8/16 profitable days (50%)5/10
Max DD 223% of peak ($15,237 / $6,838)0/10
Badges
2Profitable
PnL $+1,146
Win Streak
5 wins in a row
Overview
#1Net PnL
$1,146
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$140,296
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
40
total markets
Trades
107B / 489S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~22d
PnL Analysis
#3Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology
Win Rate (events)
37%
14W / 24L events
Realized PnL
$1,146
Win Rate
37%
14W / 24L
Profit Factor
0.59x
Avg Win
$787
Avg Loss
$-888
Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $6,844 (5.970132588974179% of PnL)
Top Winners
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 19, 2026?$4,078
Will Masoud Pezeshkian sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?$2,042
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-19?$724
Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?$659
Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by June 30?$567
Will Argentina win on 2026-06-22?$563
Will Croatia win on 2026-06-23?$515
Iran successfully targets shipping by July 31?$502
Will Micah Lasher be the democratic nominee for NY-12?$389
Will United States win on 2026-07-06?$338
Top Losers
Will Abbas Araghchi attend the US-Iran Signing Ceremony?$-4,738
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-2,018
Will Belgium win on 2026-06-21?$-2,000
Israeli parliament dissolved by June 30?$-1,623
Will Jordan vs. Algeria end in a draw?$-1,080
Will Colombia win on 2026-06-23?$-1,000
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $1.5T and $2.0T at market close on last trading day of IPO month?$-920
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 31?$-713
Will Israel and Lebanon hold a diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?$-642
Will Australia win on 2026-06-25?$-600
Risk Metrics
#4Sharpe
-0.204
Sortino
-0.209
HHI
722
Moderate
EV per $1
$-0.236
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
19.8%
Top-5 markets
47.9%
Behavior Analysis
#5Trades / Day
16.6
Active
Markets / Day
1.1
Active Hours
19/24
Extended
Peak Hour
17:00 UTC
Median Gap
19.8m
between trades
Avg Gap
3.0h
between trades
Night Trading
21%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.30
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
10.6
Bot Detection
#615
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability
7 indicators analyzed
Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 1185s — normal for humanCV 1.30 — diverse sizes (human-like)20% night trades — unusual hours19/24 hours — extended activity17 trades/day — very active1.1 markets/day — normal18% maker — normal mix
Timing Patterns
#7Peak hour: 17:00 UTC
0
4
8
12
16
20
DCA Analysis
#8Avg entries/market
14.68
Price Levels
#9Low (<20c)29.9%
Mid (20-55c)17.8%
High (>55c)52.3%
Sessions
#126/19/2026, 7:19:44 AM4 trades$6,6680 min
6/19/2026, 7:48:10 AM12 trades$4,8800 min
6/19/2026, 2:15:59 PM10 trades$4,2513 min
6/19/2026, 1:41:52 PM25 trades$3,3700 min
6/21/2026, 2:39:17 PM20 trades$3,0250 min
6/26/2026, 10:20:02 AM6 trades$2,9850 min
7/1/2026, 8:42:13 PM5 trades$2,9780 min
6/21/2026, 5:03:20 AM36 trades$2,9404 min
6/18/2026, 9:49:13 AM42 trades$2,3487 min
6/24/2026, 3:13:19 AM7 trades$2,1401 min
6/23/2026, 3:25:35 AM2 trades$2,0830 min
6/19/2026, 3:25:44 AM6 trades$2,0090 min
7/4/2026, 9:28:58 PM11 trades$1,9960 min
6/18/2026, 3:12:14 AM10 trades$1,9851 min
7/15/2026, 5:02:04 PM10 trades$1,9850 min
6/23/2026, 2:59:37 PM14 trades$1,8290 min
6/25/2026, 3:05:52 AM4 trades$1,8271 min
6/18/2026, 4:40:31 PM7 trades$1,7790 min
6/22/2026, 6:52:17 AM31 trades$1,6591 min
6/21/2026, 8:07:53 PM15 trades$1,5741 min
Equity Curve
#13Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
06-17
06-19
06-21
06-23
06-25
07-01
07-06
07-09
Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)
Max drawdown: 11 days (not recovered)
Profile
#14Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
82% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 14.68/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L29.9 / M17.8 / H52.3