@cripes3

#3,070,10855

0x8454f39e7fa6957dfbf1ecc574820ada1c92331a

~206d· 2354 markets · 22612 tradesVol: $23,054,2092026-08-02 07:41:57
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

55
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

80% (1796/2236)20/20
1.07x (win $423,332 / loss $394,698)3.4/15
Annualised Sharpe 0.3556.7/15
Sortino 0.5955.9/10
$+0.0026 per $1 invested0.1/10
HHI 53 (2236 markets)10/10
125/189 profitable days (66%)9/10
Max DD 272% of peak ($102,371 / $37,581)0/10

Badges

8
Sniper
Win rate 80%
DCA Master
Avg 9.6 entries/market
Whale
$11,181,465 invested
Consistent
125/189 profitable days
High Roller
$46,981/day
Win Streak
22 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active
🏗️Market Maker
83% maker orders

Categories

9
🏛️ POLITICS#1,641,991$-57,747Vol: $11,901,995
⚽ SPORTS#1,881,140$-47,785Vol: $6,821,728
💰 FINANCE#656,671$-5,493Vol: $1,474,789
₿ CRYPTO#8,649$5,585Vol: $688,903
📈 ECONOMICS#678,738$-1,219Vol: $617,828
🎭 CULTURE#7,120$590Vol: $374,724
💻 TECH#255,872$-688Vol: $124,685
📢 MENTIONS#2,527$411Vol: $120,152
🌤️ WEATHER#10,647$47Vol: $44,042

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-109,750
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$23,054,209
Total Redeem
$168,245
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
2354
total markets
Trades
15279B / 7333S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~206d

Periods

#2
Today
$711
Vol: $0
Week
$2,101
Vol: $0
Month
$1,302
Vol: $9,000
All Time
$-109,750
Vol: $23,054,209

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
80%
1796W / 440L events
Realized PnL
$-109,750
Win Rate
80%
1796W / 440L
Profit Factor
1.07x
Avg Win
$236
Avg Loss
$-1,009

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $117,494 (1.0705665313465322% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$79,337
Will United States win on 2026-06-25?$20,595
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?$17,563
Akron Zips vs. Texas Tech Red Raiders$12,500
SMU Mustangs vs. Miami (OH) RedHawks: O/U 164.5$12,152
Will US or Israel strike Iran first?$10,021
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?$9,678
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in June?$9,121
Paraguay vs. Australia: O/U 0.5$7,150
Howard Bison vs. UMBC Retrievers: O/U 140.5$6,298

Top Losers

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?$-39,526
Pistons vs. Magic$-38,861
US strikes Iraq by February 28?$-19,145
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?$-12,550
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?$-11,178
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?$-11,013
Algeria vs. Austria: O/U 4.5$-10,468
Will FC Augsburg win on 2026-01-24?$-9,704
Iran strike on Qatar by February 28, 2026?$-9,464
Will Israel or the US target Tehran?$-9,162

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.019
Sortino
0.021
HHI
38
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.003
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
2.1%
Top-5 markets
7.7%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
95.0
Very active
Markets / Day
9.9
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
21:00 UTC
Median Gap
1.5m
between trades
Avg Gap
14.6m
between trades
Night Trading
25%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
3.43
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
25 min
Avg Trades / Session
43.5

Bot Detection

#6
50
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
HIGH
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
MEDIUM
Median gap 88s — normal for humanCV 3.43 — diverse sizes (human-like)25% night trades — unusual hours24/24 hours — around the clock95 trades/day — mass trading9.9 markets/day — normal83% maker — frequent liquidity provider

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 21:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
9.56
Active DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)5.7%
Mid (20-55c)10.6%
High (>55c)83.7%

Sessions

#12
4/28/2026, 1:06:10 PM15 trades$203,3876 min
4/8/2026, 7:55:43 PM21 trades$189,6357 min
2/3/2026, 10:55:28 PM12 trades$160,7857 min
2/3/2026, 4:42:44 PM6 trades$156,8536 min
4/28/2026, 2:29:06 PM13 trades$120,6231 min
3/19/2026, 5:38:45 PM23 trades$118,30422 min
3/21/2026, 12:22:41 AM13 trades$113,71011 min
2/14/2026, 3:56:19 PM183 trades$106,851157 min
3/19/2026, 7:48:39 AM4 trades$104,0103 min
3/20/2026, 2:21:57 PM7 trades$103,2123 min
3/4/2026, 10:06:59 PM9 trades$102,9356 min
2/11/2026, 9:40:43 PM33 trades$91,81224 min
3/19/2026, 4:27:41 AM7 trades$89,12115 min
3/4/2026, 12:45:59 AM33 trades$86,66927 min
4/6/2026, 4:47:11 PM158 trades$84,1109 min
3/18/2026, 4:53:37 PM6 trades$81,1213 min
2/15/2026, 4:07:47 PM165 trades$78,967124 min
2/1/2026, 7:27:06 PM23 trades$78,62919 min
2/1/2026, 9:52:14 AM26 trades$73,97315 min
2/1/2026, 10:24:24 AM28 trades$72,86231 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
12-07
02-06
03-09
04-09
05-12
06-12
07-26

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 72 days (recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
32.4% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 9.56/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L5.7 / M10.6 / H83.7