OneBadBet

@OneBadBet

#3,057,64240

0x84f820558e744c1debe52f499a919c115c3b0ff2

~478d· 1420 markets · 10025 tradesVol: $1,589,7822026-08-02 05:20:50
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

40
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

70% (948/1361)19.8/20
0.86x (win $54,099 / loss $63,033)0.7/15
Annualised Sharpe -0.3260/15
Sortino -0.3460/10
$-0.0118 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 40 (1361 markets)10/10
234/348 profitable days (67%)9.3/10
Max DD 2522% of peak ($32,731 / $1,298)0/10

Badges

7
Sniper
Win rate 70%
DCA Master
Avg 6.6 entries/market
Whale
$755,955 invested
Consistent
234/348 profitable days
High Roller
$1,152/day
Win Streak
15 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active

Categories

9
🏛️ POLITICS#1,638,236$-10,127Vol: $871,078
⚽ SPORTS#12,894$3,447Vol: $352,164
🎭 CULTURE#814,513$-3,538Vol: $134,387
📈 ECONOMICS#5,634$375Vol: $71,674
💻 TECH#256,456$-977Vol: $47,973
₿ CRYPTO#38,166$643Vol: $44,335
💰 FINANCE#8,143$393Vol: $34,218
📢 MENTIONS#175,892$-2,300Vol: $12,219
🌤️ WEATHER#9,921$54Vol: $11,697

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-11,843
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$1,589,782
Total Redeem
$14,468
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
1420
total markets
Trades
6429B / 3596S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~478d

Periods

#2
Today
$142
Vol: $0
Week
$300
Vol: $0
Month
$140
Vol: $0
All Time
$-11,843
Vol: $1,589,782

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
70%
948W / 413L events
Realized PnL
$-11,843
Win Rate
70%
948W / 413L
Profit Factor
0.86x
Avg Win
$57
Avg Loss
$-160

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $11,209 (0.946435251054416% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will Biden issue more pardons than Trump?$8,257
Will Elon Musk be a member of the Trump administration? $1,987
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the NBA Western Conference Finals?$964
Will US or Israel strike Iran first?$880
Will Donald Trump be named in Epstein files?$819
Lily Phillips sex event cancelled?$703
OKC breaks NBA single-season wins record?$692
Will the New York Knicks win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?$690
Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$610
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?$602

Top Losers

Will Biden pardon Fauci?$-16,036
Will Biden pardon Liz Cheney?$-8,941
Will Biden issue a preemptive pardon?$-4,730
Will David Sacks be a member of the Trump administration? $-3,090
Will Biden say "Hunter" during farewell address? $-2,502
Ukraine agrees to Trump mineral deal before April?$-1,468
U.S. arms embargo on Israel in 2024?$-1,265
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 15, 2026?$-1,012
UFC 328: Sean Strickland vs. Khamzat Chimaev (Middleweight, Main Card)$-834
Gemini 3.5 released by May 31?$-637

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.017
Sortino
-0.011
HHI
34
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.013
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
2.1%
Top-5 markets
7.9%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
15.3
Active
Markets / Day
2.2
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
21:00 UTC
Median Gap
4.8m
between trades
Avg Gap
1.1h
between trades
Night Trading
13%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
2.27
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
15 min
Avg Trades / Session
24.0

Bot Detection

#6
20
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 290s — normal for humanCV 2.27 — diverse sizes (human-like)13% night trades — normal pattern24/24 hours — around the clock15 trades/day — very active2.2 markets/day — normal60% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 21:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
6.65
Active DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)15%
Mid (20-55c)13.8%
High (>55c)71.2%

Sessions

#12
6/26/2026, 6:29:13 PM119 trades$18,88553 min
1/31/2025, 2:05:02 AM11 trades$8,66311 min
1/20/2025, 5:19:29 PM1 trades$7,5880 min
3/25/2025, 12:15:44 PM3 trades$7,1512 min
6/6/2026, 12:00:07 PM30 trades$6,68317 min
6/26/2026, 5:19:58 PM4 trades$6,6343 min
3/3/2026, 9:37:29 AM57 trades$6,60852 min
2/3/2025, 10:36:16 PM6 trades$6,41612 min
5/3/2026, 8:50:08 PM32 trades$6,14319 min
5/15/2026, 9:03:22 PM51 trades$6,14129 min
4/26/2026, 8:08:32 PM30 trades$6,11816 min
1/27/2025, 5:31:29 PM4 trades$5,2275 min
2/1/2025, 1:52:25 AM1 trades$5,0950 min
2/5/2025, 1:41:35 PM5 trades$5,0035 min
6/26/2026, 7:39:10 PM17 trades$5,00010 min
1/20/2025, 2:33:55 PM2 trades$4,9224 min
3/16/2026, 5:17:25 PM82 trades$4,84375 min
4/18/2026, 10:28:52 PM45 trades$4,41522 min
7/3/2025, 7:25:17 AM1 trades$4,3820 min
4/9/2026, 10:21:23 PM75 trades$4,35124 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
10-13
03-01
06-09
10-22
01-06
04-15

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 71 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
35.9% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 6.65/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L15 / M13.8 / H71.2