@Chestnutbay
#2,570,302720x850e3d705084b7c03e987e060a71fa0c64b85c8e
~55d· 104 markets · 493 tradesVol: $46,9662026-08-02 08:56:25
SMART SCORE SYSTEM
Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.
Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.
72
Good
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard
Score Components
41% (40/97)5.6/20
1.78x (win $623 / loss $351)12.2/15
Annualised Sharpe 2.83015/15
Sortino 8.57910/10
$+0.2273 per $1 invested10/10
HHI 469 (97 markets)10/10
17/42 profitable days (40%)2.6/10
Max DD 38% of peak ($119 / $317)6.5/10
Badges
2Contrarian
55% entries < $0.55
🦉Night Owl
23/24 hours active
Categories
7⚽ SPORTS#1,644,247$-77Vol: $45,525
₿ CRYPTO#960,182$-3Vol: $684
💰 FINANCE#589,004$-17Vol: $380
🌤️ WEATHER#239,467$-8Vol: $183
📈 ECONOMICS#453,719$-1Vol: $77
📢 MENTIONS#99,176$-2Vol: $73
🏛️ POLITICS#299,668$1Vol: $45
Overview
#1Net PnL
$-106
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$46,966
Total Redeem
$36
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
104
total markets
Trades
201B / 292S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~55d
Periods
#2Today
$1
Vol: $0
Week
$8
Vol: $0
Month
$1
Vol: $845
All Time
$-106
Vol: $46,966
PnL Analysis
#3Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology
Win Rate (events)
41%
40W / 57L events
Realized PnL
$-106
Win Rate
41%
40W / 57L
Profit Factor
1.78x
Avg Win
$16
Avg Loss
$-7
Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $410 (3.879594543387647% of PnL)
Top Winners
Will Argentina reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?$225
Spurs vs. Knicks$113
Knicks vs. Spurs$72
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $1.5T and $2.0T at market close on IPO day?$33
Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$29
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $2.5T and $3.0T at market close on IPO day?$21
Grass Court Championships: Elina Svitolina vs Alexandra Eala$20
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?$16
Tunisia vs. Netherlands: O/U 3.5$16
Lakers vs. Rockets$10
Top Losers
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.5T at market close on IPO day?$-111
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-20
Will Mikel Oyarzabal be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-17
Will England win on 2026-07-11?$-16
Will Harry Kane be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-13
Set Handicap: Swiatek (-1.5) vs Townsend (+1.5)$-13
Will Alexander Zverev be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?$-11
Will SpaceX acquire Cursor?$-10
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET$-10
Spread: FC Seoul (-1.5)$-10
Risk Metrics
#4Sharpe
0.146
Sortino
0.408
HHI
453
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.247
Kelly %
2.8%
Half-Kelly
1.4%
Top-1 market
14.6%
Top-5 markets
38%
Behavior Analysis
#5Trades / Day
4.3
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.9
Active Hours
23/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
23:00 UTC
Median Gap
14.5m
between trades
Avg Gap
3.4h
between trades
Night Trading
46%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.68
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
4.8
Bot Detection
#630
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability
7 indicators analyzed
Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
MEDIUM
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 870s — normal for humanCV 1.68 — diverse sizes (human-like)46% night trades — never sleeps23/24 hours — around the clock4 trades/day — normal0.9 markets/day — normal43% maker — normal mix
Timing Patterns
#7Peak hour: 23:00 UTC
0
4
8
12
16
20
DCA Analysis
#8Avg entries/market
4.6
Price Levels
#9Low (<20c)24.9%
Mid (20-55c)30.3%
High (>55c)44.8%
Sessions
#128/1/2026, 12:02:54 AM17 trades$6820 min
6/27/2026, 7:41:50 AM2 trades$2780 min
7/5/2026, 3:08:46 AM5 trades$2620 min
4/28/2026, 3:19:00 AM6 trades$2232 min
6/4/2026, 11:28:30 PM11 trades$1540 min
6/25/2026, 11:00:34 PM11 trades$1531 min
5/25/2026, 5:54:43 AM6 trades$1271 min
7/1/2026, 5:53:26 AM6 trades$1220 min
6/20/2026, 6:40:04 PM9 trades$1150 min
6/27/2026, 11:38:26 PM2 trades$1100 min
6/18/2026, 7:38:07 AM2 trades$1000 min
6/13/2026, 1:05:27 AM2 trades$1000 min
5/1/2026, 8:23:46 AM23 trades$933 min
7/9/2026, 4:23:28 AM10 trades$921 min
7/3/2026, 11:50:20 PM4 trades$870 min
6/28/2026, 5:37:28 AM11 trades$783 min
6/1/2026, 10:29:35 PM5 trades$730 min
4/26/2026, 2:39:22 AM3 trades$700 min
6/11/2026, 3:20:33 AM7 trades$673 min
5/30/2026, 5:43:24 PM2 trades$620 min
Equity Curve
#13Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
04-10
04-30
05-25
06-11
06-19
06-30
Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)
Max drawdown: 38 days (recovered)
Profile
#14Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
59.2% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 4.6/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L24.9 / M30.3 / H44.8