@RJW1

#26564

0x85f031d069de300055900c4055c1baeb6bde3f67

~81d· 95 markets · 27245 tradesVol: $26,154,6432026-08-02 07:23:18
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

64
Good
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

50% (47/94)10/20
1.28x (win $4,403,994 / loss $3,445,249)6/15
Annualised Sharpe 1.90215/15
Sortino 3.45910/10
$+0.1524 per $1 invested7.6/10
HHI 288 (94 markets)10/10
24/47 profitable days (51%)5.3/10
Max DD 81% of peak ($820,908 / $1,019,459)0/10

Badges

8
Profitable
PnL $+731,266
Contrarian
81% entries < $0.55
DCA Master
Avg 285.0 entries/market
Whale
$6,289,227 invested
High Roller
$51,551/day
Win Streak
6 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active
🏗️Market Maker
88% maker orders

Categories

1
SPORTS#161$731,266Vol: $26,154,643

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$731,266
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$26,154,643
Total Redeem
$739,525
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
95
total markets
Trades
24331B / 2914S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~81d

Periods

#2
Today
$17
Vol: $3,407
Week
$487
Vol: $3,407
Month
$451
Vol: $90,170
All Time
$731,266
Vol: $26,154,643

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
50%
47W / 47L events
Realized PnL
$731,266
Win Rate
50%
47W / 47L
Profit Factor
1.28x
Avg Win
$93,702
Avg Loss
$-73,303

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $1,684,465 (2.303490681388202% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?$786,155
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$703,986
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-08?$194,323
Will Norway win on 2026-06-22?$178,840
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-27?$175,832
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-05-06?$160,501
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14?$135,534
Rockets vs. Warriors$133,901
Real Madrid CF vs. FC Bayern München: O/U 3.5$130,931
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-04-07?$130,537

Top Losers

Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-407,495
Will Japan win on 2026-06-25?$-170,205
Spain vs. Belgium: O/U 2.5$-155,472
Will Brazil win on 2026-07-05?$-147,592
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-04-13?$-147,262
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5$-136,613
Spread: Spain (-2.5)$-135,820
Lakers vs. Mavericks$-128,257
Spurs vs. Nuggets$-127,326
Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-04-12?$-124,624

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.099
Sortino
0.188
HHI
389
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.154
Kelly %
0.6%
Half-Kelly
0.3%
Top-1 market
15.3%
Top-5 markets
30.6%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
223.3
Very active
Markets / Day
0.8
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
16:00 UTC
Median Gap
36s
between trades
Avg Gap
4.8m
between trades
Night Trading
21%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
7.41
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
44 min
Avg Trades / Session
141.7

Bot Detection

#6
65
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
HIGH
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
HIGH
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 36s — normal for humanCV 7.41 — diverse sizes (human-like)21% night trades — unusual hours24/24 hours — around the clock223 trades/day — automation0.8 markets/day — normal88% maker — systematic market making

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 16:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
285.01
Heavy DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)18.5%
Mid (20-55c)62.5%
High (>55c)19%

Sessions

#12
4/5/2026, 2:01:47 PM355 trades$225,98114 min
7/14/2026, 9:44:38 PM312 trades$207,232112 min
6/23/2026, 9:00:46 PM2 trades$200,0000 min
4/3/2026, 12:44:49 PM215 trades$186,7769 min
4/8/2026, 7:51:51 PM96 trades$176,3445 min
7/15/2026, 10:08:25 PM939 trades$173,251354 min
4/6/2026, 12:40:03 PM321 trades$157,37221 min
7/14/2026, 11:43:37 PM398 trades$154,210256 min
4/12/2026, 4:28:01 PM50 trades$148,0393 min
4/5/2026, 4:36:23 AM159 trades$124,0983 min
7/15/2026, 9:12:04 PM144 trades$123,56117 min
4/12/2026, 9:13:59 AM78 trades$117,4273 min
4/4/2026, 2:36:09 AM152 trades$116,80729 min
7/9/2026, 7:37:13 AM3 trades$115,2770 min
4/7/2026, 1:48:45 AM4 trades$103,9080 min
4/11/2026, 10:51:09 PM63 trades$94,4775 min
4/4/2026, 6:22:35 AM111 trades$90,4855 min
7/16/2026, 4:08:53 AM492 trades$88,710366 min
6/26/2026, 3:26:32 AM208 trades$86,636161 min
4/7/2026, 6:16:29 PM17 trades$77,9272 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
04-03
04-12
04-29
05-08
06-09
06-24
07-02

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 18 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
HOLD
10.7% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 285.01/mkt
Entry Bias
MIXED
L18.5 / M62.5 / H19