@0x864669913a04d249f41770221bfc62c10812ed78

63

0x864669913a04d249f41770221bfc62c10812ed78

~166d· 6578 markets · 93881 trades2026-08-02 07:05:42
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

63
Good
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

50% (3116/6270)9.8/20
1.19x (win $9,856 / loss $8,266)4.9/15
Annualised Sharpe 1.10515/15
Sortino 5.08310/10
$+0.0649 per $1 invested3.2/10
HHI 25 (6270 markets)10/10
63/149 profitable days (42%)3.1/10
Max DD 36% of peak ($664 / $1,855)6.8/10

Badges

5
Lottery Player
100% entries < $0.20
DCA Master
Avg 13.8 entries/market
Win Streak
10 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active
🏗️Market Maker
99% maker orders

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-210
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$24,509
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
6578
total markets
Trades
70844B / 23037S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~166d

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
50%
3116W / 3154L events
Realized PnL
$-210
Win Rate
50%
3116W / 3154L
Profit Factor
1.19x
Avg Win
$3
Avg Loss
$-3

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $3,197 (15.19802262572488% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will Baidu have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?$1,988
Katana FDV above $100M one day after launch?$999
Over $20M committed to the Trove public sale?$210
US forces enter Iran by February 28?$20
Will the Minnesota Timberwolves win the 2026 NBA Finals?$19
Will MrBeast's next video get between 50 and 55 million views on day 1?$18
Will NVIDIA be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?$16
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?$16
Infinex FDV above $100M one day after launch?$16
Will China invade Taiwan by March 31, 2026?$14

Top Losers

Will Tōkyō Verdy win on 2026-04-18?$-354
Will four or more people dissent the April Fed decision?$-33
Will Darren Jones be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?$-29
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?$-24
Will no listed leader be out before 2027?$-24
Harris Dickinson announced as next James Bond?$-23
Will Learner Tien win the 2026 Men's French Open?$-19
Will Moonshot have the best AI model for coding on March 31?$-18
Will Tommy Paul be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?$-15
Will Roma win the 2025–26 Serie A league?$-14

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.058
Sortino
0.252
HHI
67
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.070
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
8%
Top-5 markets
9.2%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
194.4
Very active
Markets / Day
13.6
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
16:00 UTC
Median Gap
1.0m
between trades
Avg Gap
3.6m
between trades
Night Trading
22%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
21.49
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
69 min
Avg Trades / Session
168.1

Bot Detection

#6
75
BOT (automated trading)HIGH probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
MEDIUM
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
HIGH
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
MEDIUM
Median gap 60s — normal for humanCV 21.49 — diverse sizes (human-like)22% night trades — unusual hours24/24 hours — around the clock194 trades/day — automation14 markets/day — mass coverage99% maker — systematic market making

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 16:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
13.83
Heavy DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)99.6%
Mid (20-55c)0%
High (>55c)0.4%

Sessions

#12
4/21/2026, 3:43:46 PM7 trades$1,9950 min
6/14/2026, 11:51:46 PM99 trades$45612 min
1/11/2026, 5:19:26 PM2 trades$2145 min
2/28/2026, 7:11:27 AM274 trades$150119 min
4/2/2026, 4:31:15 AM3 trades$1190 min
1/13/2026, 6:17:31 PM447 trades$118213 min
3/14/2026, 1:26:45 AM795 trades$113204 min
1/22/2026, 2:27:22 PM168 trades$112104 min
1/31/2026, 4:39:10 PM124 trades$11281 min
3/2/2026, 2:04:17 AM710 trades$110167 min
3/2/2026, 8:30:23 AM234 trades$108136 min
3/13/2026, 6:09:19 AM328 trades$103131 min
4/4/2026, 7:58:35 PM17 trades$9614 min
3/1/2026, 8:00:41 AM115 trades$93103 min
1/14/2026, 5:09:52 PM260 trades$92127 min
3/1/2026, 12:38:13 PM242 trades$92134 min
4/10/2026, 11:43:33 AM9 trades$850 min
5/21/2026, 3:51:13 AM23 trades$761 min
4/28/2026, 3:57:14 PM45 trades$7413 min
3/8/2026, 8:49:47 PM292 trades$7475 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
12-29
01-22
02-15
03-11
04-04
04-29
06-15

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 18 days (recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
24.5% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 13.83/mkt
Entry Bias
LOW $
L99.6 / M0 / H0.4