@0x865e664335bc15618921eba69f392ce21e409534

36

0x865e664335bc15618921eba69f392ce21e409534

~10d· 16 markets · 192 trades2026-08-02 06:34:49
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

36
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

40% (6/15)5/20
1.13x (win $24 / loss $21)4.1/15
Annualised Sharpe 1.44315/15
Sortino 2.90810/10
$+0.0168 per $1 invested0.8/10
HHI 2613 (15 markets)0/10
3/9 profitable days (33%)0.8/10
Max DD 158% of peak ($9 / $6)0/10

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-19
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$165
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
16
total markets
Trades
96B / 96S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~10d

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
40%
6W / 9L events
Realized PnL
$-19
Win Rate
40%
6W / 9L
Profit Factor
1.13x
Avg Win
$4
Avg Loss
$-3

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $18 (0.9787910922587487% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$9
XRP Up or Down - July 29, 9AM ET$6
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 16, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET$4
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 10, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET$3
Will France win on 2026-07-09?$2
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 14, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET$1

Top Losers

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 10, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET$-4
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 16, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET$-4
Will Harry Kane be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-3
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 16, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET$-3
New York Liberty vs. Las Vegas Aces$-3
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 14, 9AM ET$-2
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 3, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET$-2

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.071
Sortino
0.362
HHI
2669
Concentrated
EV per $1
$0.017
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
46.8%
Top-5 markets
82.2%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
6.9
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.6
Active Hours
16/24
Extended
Peak Hour
12:00 UTC
Median Gap
2.4m
between trades
Avg Gap
1.4h
between trades
Night Trading
3%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
0.39
Moderate
Session Statistics
Sessions
41
Avg Duration
2 min
Avg Trades / Session
4.7

Bot Detection

#6
10
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
MEDIUM
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
MEDIUM
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 142s — normal for humanCV 0.39 — uniform order sizes3% night trades — normal pattern16/24 hours — normal schedule7 trades/day — normal0.6 markets/day — normal50% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 12:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
12.4
Heavy DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)4.2%
Mid (20-55c)36.5%
High (>55c)59.4%

Sessions

#12
7/29/2026, 1:09:20 PM12 trades$284 min
7/17/2026, 12:21:16 PM16 trades$247 min
7/14/2026, 8:26:07 AM8 trades$236 min
7/17/2026, 11:08:01 AM14 trades$204 min
7/13/2026, 3:50:19 PM3 trades$200 min
7/16/2026, 6:25:02 AM10 trades$2014 min
7/16/2026, 11:28:20 AM6 trades$193 min
7/10/2026, 4:17:44 PM8 trades$182 min
7/12/2026, 6:58:28 PM6 trades$152 min
7/17/2026, 12:08:51 PM6 trades$122 min
7/16/2026, 6:08:11 AM6 trades$106 min
7/16/2026, 1:51:40 PM4 trades$101 min
7/16/2026, 10:31:35 AM4 trades$103 min
7/16/2026, 8:49:44 AM4 trades$93 min
7/16/2026, 9:56:44 AM4 trades$91 min
7/16/2026, 6:56:38 AM4 trades$91 min
7/16/2026, 2:10:22 PM4 trades$81 min
7/16/2026, 6:00:40 AM4 trades$82 min
7/10/2026, 11:31:55 AM4 trades$80 min
7/16/2026, 12:30:40 PM4 trades$71 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
07-03
07-09
07-10
07-13
07-14
07-16
07-17
07-29
07-30

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 7 days (recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
50% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 12.4/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L4.2 / M36.5 / H59.4