@velto92

#3,038,47719

0x86a6bcd9a1d302ef258475cf66e50f8e62e01b3e

~152d· 838 markets · 7828 tradesVol: $1,911,503 @shauld3782026-08-02 04:12:08
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

19
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

43% (349/818)6.3/20
0.71x (win $114,546 / loss $161,996)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -3.1180/15
Sortino -3.8590/10
$-0.1161 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 124 (818 markets)10/10
56/139 profitable days (40%)2.6/10
Max DD 1423% of peak ($51,036 / $3,587)0/10

Badges

4
Whale
$408,709 invested
High Roller
$2,539/day
Win Streak
7 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active

Categories

2
SPORTS#1,823,778$-962Vol: $981,947
🏛️ POLITICS#1,624,996$-2,129Vol: $811,798

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-4,914
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$1,911,503
Total Redeem
$4,940
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
838
total markets
Trades
3057B / 4771S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~152d

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
43%
349W / 469L events
Realized PnL
$-4,914
Win Rate
43%
349W / 469L
Profit Factor
0.71x
Avg Win
$328
Avg Loss
$-360

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $20,455 (4.162479675541256% of PnL)

Top Winners

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$14,004
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?$3,330
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?$3,120
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$1,857
Will United States win on 2026-06-12?$1,035
Will Colombia vs. Portugal end in a draw?$993
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-04-04?$958
Will Real Betis Balompié vs. Real Madrid CF end in a draw?$956
Will Japan win on 2026-06-21?$935
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-05-24?$918

Top Losers

Iran full airspace closure by July 31?$-13,718
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?$-7,189
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?$-4,952
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?$-3,500
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-3,464
Iran closes its airspace by May 24?$-3,431
Iran closes its airspace by May 31?$-2,361
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?$-2,194
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-2,180
Iran closes its airspace by May 8?$-1,367

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.163
Sortino
-0.181
HHI
58
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.130
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
3.1%
Top-5 markets
12.4%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
48.6
Active
Markets / Day
5.2
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
20:00 UTC
Median Gap
4.9m
between trades
Avg Gap
1.2h
between trades
Night Trading
7%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.23
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
3 min
Avg Trades / Session
16.8

Bot Detection

#6
30
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
MEDIUM
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 294s — normal for humanCV 1.22 — diverse sizes (human-like)7% night trades — normal pattern24/24 hours — around the clock49 trades/day — high frequency5.2 markets/day — normal34% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 20:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
8.28
Active DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)14.7%
Mid (20-55c)33.2%
High (>55c)52.1%

Sessions

#12
4/28/2026, 10:00:58 AM2 trades$25,0000 min
6/3/2026, 10:09:29 AM4 trades$9,0883 min
7/20/2026, 12:04:46 PM30 trades$8,1422 min
4/26/2026, 10:25:46 PM35 trades$7,3009 min
4/29/2026, 6:56:18 PM13 trades$6,8663 min
4/17/2026, 1:52:24 PM42 trades$6,6196 min
4/27/2026, 4:11:40 PM17 trades$5,9083 min
4/17/2026, 3:25:58 PM18 trades$5,7401 min
5/23/2026, 6:59:22 PM56 trades$5,4271 min
6/20/2026, 10:42:47 PM39 trades$5,0919 min
4/24/2026, 8:50:12 PM46 trades$5,01813 min
6/14/2026, 9:29:34 PM19 trades$5,00311 min
7/21/2026, 7:11:58 AM6 trades$4,9740 min
6/10/2026, 11:32:37 AM16 trades$4,5061 min
7/29/2026, 9:46:45 AM30 trades$4,0852 min
4/26/2026, 9:52:48 PM9 trades$3,9239 min
4/17/2026, 9:20:06 PM13 trades$3,8620 min
3/31/2026, 8:41:57 PM7 trades$3,8293 min
6/11/2026, 10:47:54 AM2 trades$3,8210 min
6/24/2026, 2:31:08 PM11 trades$3,8041 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
02-22
03-18
04-17
05-17
06-13
07-06
08-01

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 114 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
60.9% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 8.28/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L14.7 / M33.2 / H52.1