@Fernal
#2,211,552180x879580c71eb39dc4a42faf0f2bcf803a896c39ed
~31d· 88 markets · 153 tradesVol: $86,2772026-08-02 04:12:51
SMART SCORE SYSTEM
Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.
Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.
18
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard
Score Components
50% (44/88)10/20
0.29x (win $30 / loss $103)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -5.7220/15
Sortino -5.5400/10
$-0.3093 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 1898 (88 markets)3/10
15/31 profitable days (48%)4.6/10
Max DD 2135% of peak ($77 / $4)0/10
Badges
1Win Streak
6 wins in a row
Overview
#1Net PnL
$-31
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$86,277
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
88
total markets
Trades
96B / 57S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~31d
PnL Analysis
#3Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology
Win Rate (events)
50%
44W / 44L events
Realized PnL
$-31
Win Rate
50%
44W / 44L
Profit Factor
0.29x
Avg Win
$1
Avg Loss
$-4
Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $12 (0.4026186579378069% of PnL)
Top Winners
Nuggets vs. Lakers$5
Timberwolves vs. Nuggets$4
Nuggets vs. Spurs$3
Lakers vs. Rockets$3
Knicks vs. Clippers$3
Hawks vs. Bucks$3
Celtics vs. Bucks$2
Magic vs. Bucks$2
Rockets vs. Spurs$1
Spurs vs. 76ers$1
Top Losers
Will Alibaba have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?$-43
Rockets vs. Heat$-4
Nets vs. Celtics$-3
Bucks vs. Heat$-3
Pelicans vs. Suns$-3
Nets vs. Heat$-3
Wizards vs. Pelicans$-3
Mavericks vs. Raptors$-3
Jazz vs. Bucks$-3
Suns vs. Celtics$-3
Risk Metrics
#4Sharpe
-0.295
Sortino
-0.226
HHI
1381
Moderate
EV per $1
$-0.309
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
36.4%
Top-5 markets
42.9%
Behavior Analysis
#5Trades / Day
1.3
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.7
Active Hours
14/24
Extended
Peak Hour
18:00 UTC
Median Gap
41.3m
between trades
Avg Gap
6.5h
between trades
Night Trading
3%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.39
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
0 min
Avg Trades / Session
3.0
Bot Detection
#60
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability
7 indicators analyzed
Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
MEDIUM
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 2478s — normal for humanCV 1.39 — diverse sizes (human-like)3% night trades — normal pattern14/24 hours — normal schedule1 trades/day — normal0.7 markets/day — normal37% maker — normal mix
Timing Patterns
#7Peak hour: 18:00 UTC
0
4
8
12
16
20
DCA Analysis
#8Avg entries/market
1.74
Price Levels
#9Low (<20c)7.3%
Mid (20-55c)22.9%
High (>55c)69.8%
Sessions
#126/24/2026, 1:28:56 PM13 trades$1295 min
6/12/2026, 6:53:07 PM20 trades$160 min
6/19/2026, 7:38:56 PM16 trades$130 min
6/16/2026, 5:07:10 PM16 trades$120 min
3/3/2026, 10:47:23 PM2 trades$80 min
6/17/2026, 8:47:22 PM10 trades$70 min
6/9/2026, 4:12:54 PM8 trades$50 min
6/7/2026, 2:51:18 PM6 trades$43 min
2/28/2026, 7:30:17 PM1 trades$40 min
3/14/2026, 9:20:49 PM1 trades$40 min
6/21/2026, 6:50:55 PM8 trades$45 min
6/22/2026, 6:18:22 PM6 trades$45 min
2/27/2026, 9:17:01 PM1 trades$30 min
3/1/2026, 8:13:11 PM1 trades$30 min
3/4/2026, 11:27:29 PM1 trades$30 min
3/12/2026, 11:10:35 PM1 trades$30 min
3/16/2026, 11:01:01 PM1 trades$30 min
3/17/2026, 10:49:41 PM2 trades$30 min
3/5/2026, 11:29:11 PM1 trades$30 min
3/6/2026, 11:49:15 PM1 trades$30 min
Equity Curve
#13Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
02-27
03-04
03-09
03-14
06-05
06-16
06-24
Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)
Max drawdown: 112 days (not recovered)
Profile
#14Specialization
MIXED
8% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
37.3% sell
DCA Style
SINGLE
avg 1.74/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L7.3 / M22.9 / H69.8