@StarfallCrescent
#2,740,637300x8852b4b8daebe9a799d077fe938fc206d3c2a235
~83d· 63 markets · 219 tradesVol: $21,6082026-08-02 07:58:47
SMART SCORE SYSTEM
Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.
Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.
30
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard
Score Components
70% (43/61)20/20
0.16x (win $117 / loss $712)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -2.4170/15
Sortino -2.4100/10
$-0.0615 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 2262 (61 markets)1.2/10
33/50 profitable days (66%)9/10
Max DD 804% of peak ($680 / $85)0/10
Badges
4Sniper
Win rate 70%
Consistent
33/50 profitable days
Win Streak
10 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active
Categories
4₿ CRYPTO#1,552,609$-263Vol: $12,882
🎭 CULTURE#151,031$1Vol: $4,004
🏛️ POLITICS#136,001$19Vol: $2,911
⚽ SPORTS#393,400$2Vol: $1,811
Overview
#1Net PnL
$-241
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$21,608
Total Redeem
$1,240
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
63
total markets
Trades
108B / 111S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~83d
Periods
#2Today
$1
Vol: $0
Week
$-5
Vol: $0
Month
$-5
Vol: $0
All Time
$-241
Vol: $21,608
PnL Analysis
#3Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology
Win Rate (events)
70%
43W / 18L events
Realized PnL
$-241
Win Rate
70%
43W / 18L
Profit Factor
0.16x
Avg Win
$3
Avg Loss
$-51
Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $96 (0.40064767914971344% of PnL)
Top Winners
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$6B one day after launch?$60
EdgeX FDV above $5B one day after launch?$25
Will Bitcoin hit $100k in 2024?$12
Will Usyk beat Fury?$7
Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?$3
Cardinals vs. Seahawks$3
Will Max Verstappen be the 2025 Drivers Champion?$1
Will Sweden win Eurovision 2025?$1
Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by March 31?$1
Will Bitcoin dip to $95K in July?$1
Top Losers
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$800M one day after launch?$-667
Will Trump visit China by April 30?$-13
Will Ethereum hit $4,500.00 by March 31?$-7
Will Solana reach $240 in October?$-7
Bitcoin all time high by March 31?$-5
Will Inter Milan win the Serie A?$-3
Will Solana dip to $180 in October?$-3
Will the Chiefs win Super Bowl 2025?$-2
Will Ethereum dip to $1,500.00 by March 31?$-1
Will Justin Herbert win NFL MVP for the 2024-25 season?$-1
Risk Metrics
#4Sharpe
-0.125
Sortino
-0.065
HHI
613
Moderate
EV per $1
$-0.108
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
12.8%
Top-5 markets
52.4%
Behavior Analysis
#5Trades / Day
0.4
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.1
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
6:00 UTC
Median Gap
5.3m
between trades
Avg Gap
2.3h
between trades
Night Trading
27%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
3.20
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
2.0
Bot Detection
#630
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability
7 indicators analyzed
Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 316s — normal for humanCV 3.20 — diverse sizes (human-like)27% night trades — never sleeps24/24 hours — around the clock0 trades/day — normal0.1 markets/day — normal53% maker — normal mix
Timing Patterns
#7Peak hour: 6:00 UTC
0
4
8
12
16
20
DCA Analysis
#8Avg entries/market
2.92
Price Levels
#9Low (<20c)7.4%
Mid (20-55c)6.5%
High (>55c)86.1%
Sessions
#124/14/2026, 10:13:51 AM8 trades$4,9161 min
4/2/2026, 7:18:01 PM1 trades$1,2400 min
3/18/2026, 4:37:41 AM1 trades$1,2150 min
2/11/2026, 8:29:05 PM1 trades$1,1640 min
2/12/2026, 1:34:19 PM1 trades$1,0980 min
12/9/2025, 5:14:04 PM1 trades$1,0800 min
2/27/2026, 10:13:53 PM1 trades$1,0710 min
4/17/2026, 11:52:48 AM4 trades$8780 min
3/7/2026, 7:36:03 AM1 trades$6040 min
2/18/2026, 6:48:12 AM2 trades$4733 min
5/29/2026, 11:09:27 AM1 trades$3690 min
3/7/2026, 8:48:51 AM13 trades$23018 min
6/19/2026, 11:10:47 AM3 trades$2290 min
4/15/2026, 4:00:26 AM1 trades$2090 min
3/7/2026, 10:30:03 AM1 trades$1400 min
2/18/2026, 8:08:16 AM2 trades$1394 min
2/17/2026, 1:47:27 PM2 trades$961 min
4/15/2026, 11:58:46 PM1 trades$880 min
2/27/2026, 6:35:07 PM1 trades$840 min
3/3/2026, 12:38:03 PM1 trades$740 min
Equity Curve
#13Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
11-04
12-19
02-25
07-30
10-08
12-10
04-14
Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)
Max drawdown: 30 days (not recovered)
Profile
#14Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
50.7% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 2.92/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L7.4 / M6.5 / H86.1