@0x885360D9DCE844ad4c8E541Bbd23BB34acCB9afE-1772304347517

#2,882,08818

0x885360d9dce844ad4c8e541bbd23bb34accb9afe

~34d· 41 markets · 479 tradesVol: $37,5712026-08-02 04:11:31
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

18
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

43% (9/21)6.4/20
0.49x (win $2,207 / loss $4,478)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -3.6470/15
Sortino -3.8700/10
$-0.1852 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 1622 (21 markets)4.4/10
9/15 profitable days (60%)7.5/10
Max DD 268% of peak ($3,681 / $1,374)0/10

Badges

1
Win Streak
5 wins in a row

Categories

8
🏛️ POLITICS#1,597,650$-528Vol: $23,543
💰 FINANCE#20,238$81Vol: $5,587
CRYPTO#987,627$-3Vol: $4,898
SPORTS#1,709,310$-138Vol: $1,517
🎭 CULTURE#773,658$-79Vol: $719
💻 TECH#221,802$-7Vol: $471
🌤️ WEATHER#205,804$-2Vol: $434
📈 ECONOMICS#102,323$1Vol: $401

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-675
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$37,571
Total Redeem
$498
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
41
total markets
Trades
131B / 348S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~34d

Periods

#2
Today
$-0
Vol: $0
Week
$-51
Vol: $0
Month
$-29
Vol: $1,684
All Time
$-675
Vol: $37,571

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
43%
9W / 12L events
Realized PnL
$-675
Win Rate
43%
9W / 12L
Profit Factor
0.49x
Avg Win
$245
Avg Loss
$-373

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $1,986 (2.9403683306685617% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,000 by end of June?$876
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?$564
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?$546
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 30, 2026?$145
Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?$37
Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?$30
Will Morgan Stanley or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?$6
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?$2
US escorts commercial ship through Hormuz by March 31?$1

Top Losers

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?$-2,666
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$-1,015
Israeli forces cross the Litani River by June 30?$-380
Thai Constitutional Court invalidates election?$-133
Taylor Swift x Travis Kelce get married by June 30?$-119
Will Waymo launch in Nashville by June 30 2026?$-72
Will the Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) win the most seats in the 2026 West Bengal Legislative Assembly election?$-52
Will Claude 5 be released by June 30, 2026?$-25
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?$-12
Iran leadership change by April 30?$-5

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.184
Sortino
-0.150
HHI
718
Moderate
EV per $1
$-0.261
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
21.4%
Top-5 markets
48.8%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
3.5
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.3
Active Hours
19/24
Extended
Peak Hour
11:00 UTC
Median Gap
2.2m
between trades
Avg Gap
1.5h
between trades
Night Trading
2%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.62
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
9.3

Bot Detection

#6
5
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 130s — normal for humanCV 1.62 — diverse sizes (human-like)1% night trades — normal pattern19/24 hours — extended activity3 trades/day — normal0.3 markets/day — normal23% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 11:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
10.14
Heavy DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)9.2%
Mid (20-55c)22.9%
High (>55c)67.9%

Sessions

#12
5/18/2026, 9:17:50 AM16 trades$3,1349 min
5/11/2026, 1:40:03 PM17 trades$1,5743 min
6/23/2026, 11:06:26 AM61 trades$1,51813 min
5/11/2026, 1:18:31 PM3 trades$1,4370 min
5/18/2026, 7:59:48 PM9 trades$1,4230 min
5/3/2026, 3:55:06 PM7 trades$1,2650 min
6/16/2026, 6:46:57 AM18 trades$1,2450 min
3/31/2026, 6:07:07 PM19 trades$1,2414 min
7/21/2026, 6:09:52 AM37 trades$1,1296 min
5/18/2026, 9:04:04 AM6 trades$1,0712 min
5/3/2026, 4:09:10 PM9 trades$9600 min
6/28/2026, 9:50:07 AM24 trades$9481 min
4/19/2026, 8:19:10 PM10 trades$8840 min
8/1/2026, 8:37:38 AM18 trades$7781 min
7/13/2026, 8:28:23 AM14 trades$7481 min
5/6/2026, 4:52:20 PM9 trades$6391 min
5/17/2026, 10:40:19 PM1 trades$6230 min
5/20/2026, 1:44:57 PM5 trades$4940 min
3/29/2026, 6:45:30 PM1 trades$4800 min
4/25/2026, 9:36:02 PM2 trades$4780 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
03-23
03-31
04-13
04-16
04-19
05-06
05-18
07-13

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 6 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
72.7% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 10.14/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L9.2 / M22.9 / H67.9