@liuruijin
#83,909300x88b3426bf74d59d838406de3e25872c7537bbad4
~116d· 490 markets · 3685 tradesVol: $204,2572026-08-02 05:20:06
SMART SCORE SYSTEM
Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.
Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.
30
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard
Score Components
56% (170/301)13.2/20
0.82x (win $14,512 / loss $17,788)0.2/15
Annualised Sharpe -0.5760/15
Sortino -0.6160/10
$-0.0266 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 405 (301 markets)10/10
44/78 profitable days (56%)6.6/10
Max DD 1522% of peak ($12,172 / $800)0/10
Badges
5Profitable
PnL $+948
DCA Master
Avg 8.7 entries/market
Whale
$123,137 invested
Win Streak
8 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active
Categories
8🏛️ POLITICS#26,134$538Vol: $172,088
📈 ECONOMICS#4,850$479Vol: $18,902
⚽ SPORTS#194,069$33Vol: $8,019
📢 MENTIONS#166,953$-149Vol: $2,975
₿ CRYPTO#143,864$37Vol: $1,267
💰 FINANCE#35,522$26Vol: $910
💻 TECH#34,680$2Vol: $30
🎭 CULTURE#708,029$-15Vol: $27
Overview
#1Net PnL
$948
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$204,257
Total Redeem
$199
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
490
total markets
Trades
1570B / 2115S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~116d
Periods
#2Today
$-14
Vol: $0
Week
$-71
Vol: $0
Month
$-7
Vol: $310
All Time
$948
Vol: $204,257
PnL Analysis
#3Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology
Win Rate (events)
56%
170W / 131L events
Realized PnL
$948
Win Rate
56%
170W / 131L
Profit Factor
0.82x
Avg Win
$85
Avg Loss
$-178
Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $5,951 (6.275217748908619% of PnL)
Top Winners
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 13?$2,381
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30?$2,167
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?$1,403
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$1,253
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?$852
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?$796
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026?$417
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by July 31?$406
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$373
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 12?$300
Top Losers
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$-8,973
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 15, 2026?$-2,430
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?$-1,226
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?$-802
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$-566
Will Trump say "Taiwan" or "Tibet" during events with Xi Jinping?$-499
Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?$-379
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 18, 2026?$-233
Will China GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 4.6% and 4.9%?$-193
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 16, 2026?$-134
Risk Metrics
#4Sharpe
-0.030
Sortino
-0.020
HHI
423
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.028
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
10.4%
Top-5 markets
38.2%
Behavior Analysis
#5Trades / Day
26.5
Active
Markets / Day
3.5
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
12:00 UTC
Median Gap
2.4m
between trades
Avg Gap
1.4h
between trades
Night Trading
29%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
3.60
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
5 min
Avg Trades / Session
13.1
Bot Detection
#645
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability
7 indicators analyzed
Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 143s — normal for humanCV 3.61 — diverse sizes (human-like)29% night trades — never sleeps24/24 hours — around the clock27 trades/day — high frequency3.5 markets/day — normal40% maker — normal mix
Timing Patterns
#7Peak hour: 12:00 UTC
0
4
8
12
16
20
DCA Analysis
#8Avg entries/market
8.75
Price Levels
#9Low (<20c)7.8%
Mid (20-55c)18%
High (>55c)74.2%
Sessions
#126/13/2026, 12:11:10 PM16 trades$8,3381 min
6/19/2026, 4:35:05 AM7 trades$8,0000 min
6/12/2026, 8:01:51 PM18 trades$6,1257 min
6/15/2026, 4:41:54 AM3 trades$5,0000 min
6/13/2026, 5:45:15 PM14 trades$4,4002 min
6/13/2026, 6:52:45 AM3 trades$4,2200 min
6/9/2026, 2:34:37 PM17 trades$4,15811 min
6/25/2026, 12:45:01 PM3 trades$4,1310 min
6/4/2026, 6:58:30 AM18 trades$3,27913 min
6/8/2026, 8:50:07 PM28 trades$3,2408 min
6/9/2026, 2:51:22 PM36 trades$3,16122 min
6/10/2026, 8:48:21 PM16 trades$3,1434 min
5/29/2026, 1:07:53 AM5 trades$2,9923 min
6/18/2026, 12:44:07 AM56 trades$2,8729 min
6/19/2026, 4:45:59 AM3 trades$2,6660 min
6/16/2026, 5:19:25 AM13 trades$2,5435 min
6/12/2026, 5:21:10 AM16 trades$2,3756 min
6/18/2026, 10:14:29 PM18 trades$2,25410 min
6/11/2026, 6:24:19 AM4 trades$2,1580 min
6/15/2026, 12:26:39 AM25 trades$2,02012 min
Equity Curve
#13Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
03-17
04-11
05-13
06-03
06-18
07-04
Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)
Max drawdown: 5 days (not recovered)
Profile
#14Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
57.4% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 8.75/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L7.8 / M18 / H74.2