@daniel.sousa.me

#3,062,46018

0x8936214e1dab02e74e5469d76b4c55cfe99cd010

~228d· 3212 markets · 52351 tradesVol: $2,678,4302026-08-02 07:59:45
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

18
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

45% (1426/3172)7.5/20
0.68x (win $27,803 / loss $40,716)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -3.0360/15
Sortino -4.8170/10
$-0.0299 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 25 (3172 markets)10/10
54/169 profitable days (32%)0.5/10
Max DD 0% of peak ($18,204 / $0)0/10

Badges

5
Lottery Player
33% entries < $0.20
Whale
$431,754 invested
Win Streak
8 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active
🏗️Market Maker
74% maker orders

Categories

8
💰 FINANCE#657,239$-13,762Vol: $2,026,882
🏛️ POLITICS#1,620,618$-1,386Vol: $324,267
🌤️ WEATHER#297,576$-1,347Vol: $117,098
🎭 CULTURE#806,809$-614Vol: $67,321
⚽ SPORTS#1,589,706$-50Vol: $53,224
💻 TECH#256,587$-1,006Vol: $36,342
📈 ECONOMICS#662,203$-122Vol: $27,494
₿ CRYPTO#1,399,717$-55Vol: $24,441

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-18,343
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$2,678,430
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
3212
total markets
Trades
30098B / 22253S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~228d

Periods

#2
Today
$-0
Vol: $0
Week
$0
Vol: $0
Month
$-0
Vol: $0
All Time
$-18,343
Vol: $2,678,430

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
45%
1426W / 1746L events
Realized PnL
$-18,343
Win Rate
45%
1426W / 1746L
Profit Factor
0.68x
Avg Win
$20
Avg Loss
$-24

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $5,959 (0.32488894801000506% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 30, 2026?$4,310
Will turnout in the second round of the 2026 Portuguese presidential election be between 50% and 52%?$998
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close at $190–195 in 2025?$651
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close at $180–185 in 2025?$543
Will Tesla (TSLA) close at $450–475 in 2025?$535
Will Tesla (TSLA) close at $475–500 in 2025?$493
Will Tesla (TSLA) close at >$500 in 2025?$484
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 15, 2026?$377
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close at $195–200 in 2025?$342
Will Silver (SI) settle at >$115 in June?$308

Top Losers

Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close at $185–190 in 2025?$-2,130
Will Tesla (TSLA) close at $425–450 in 2025?$-1,580
Will Silver (SI) settle at $50-$60 in June?$-899
Google (GOOGL) Up or Down on January 30?$-654
Will Apple (AAPL) close at $270–275 in 2025?$-653
Will Tesla (TSLA) close above $420 on February 3?$-604
Will Meta (META) close at $620-$630 on the final day of trading of the week of Jan 12 – Jan 16?$-476
Will Google (GOOGL) close at $310–325 in 2025?$-413
Will Microsoft (MSFT) close at $480–500 in 2025?$-387
Will Gemini 3.0 be released on November 18 2025?$-332

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.158
Sortino
-0.241
HHI
23
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.030
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
1.6%
Top-5 markets
4.9%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
72.9
Very active
Markets / Day
4.5
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
15:00 UTC
Median Gap
54s
between trades
Avg Gap
5.5m
between trades
Night Trading
19%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.63
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
143 min
Avg Trades / Session
270.2

Bot Detection

#6
50
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
MEDIUM
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
HIGH
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 54s — normal for humanCV 1.63 — diverse sizes (human-like)19% night trades — unusual hours24/24 hours — around the clock73 trades/day — mass trading4.5 markets/day — normal74% maker — frequent liquidity provider

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 15:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
16.41
Heavy DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)33%
Mid (20-55c)38.1%
High (>55c)28.8%

Sessions

#12
1/30/2026, 2:05:56 PM1657 trades$32,791424 min
1/29/2026, 3:25:16 PM942 trades$15,304463 min
2/12/2026, 1:54:17 PM630 trades$12,736279 min
1/21/2026, 3:06:10 PM517 trades$11,449188 min
2/20/2026, 3:11:00 PM331 trades$9,52393 min
2/17/2026, 3:00:49 PM334 trades$8,978106 min
2/11/2026, 2:24:19 PM372 trades$7,375115 min
2/2/2026, 1:52:44 PM313 trades$7,097134 min
2/5/2026, 1:45:39 PM339 trades$7,080204 min
1/28/2026, 6:01:40 PM379 trades$6,328271 min
2/3/2026, 6:25:20 PM138 trades$5,458117 min
1/16/2026, 2:15:04 PM386 trades$5,340150 min
2/10/2026, 2:21:43 PM307 trades$5,21291 min
1/26/2026, 1:54:35 PM203 trades$5,094151 min
2/4/2026, 2:47:44 PM234 trades$5,039143 min
1/16/2026, 4:50:32 PM346 trades$4,980151 min
2/13/2026, 6:07:51 PM224 trades$4,713201 min
1/28/2026, 2:11:39 PM274 trades$4,604225 min
1/30/2026, 7:58:16 AM286 trades$4,458250 min
1/26/2026, 4:31:25 PM228 trades$4,450203 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
08-12
06-23
11-24
12-23
01-22
02-19
07-23

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
4% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
42.5% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 16.41/mkt
Entry Bias
MIXED
L33 / M38.1 / H28.8