@Lstone16

#215,99912

0x8b42c0b1e49b2d0f734edd25b2306f3ec272405a

~86d· 532 markets · 5006 tradesVol: $302,6922026-08-02 06:38:47
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

12
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

32% (169/525)1.1/20
0.84x (win $5,499 / loss $6,574)0.5/15
Annualised Sharpe -1.0820/15
Sortino -1.3600/10
$-0.0648 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 503 (525 markets)10/10
20/71 profitable days (28%)0/10
Max DD 214% of peak ($2,431 / $1,135)0/10

Badges

4
Profitable
PnL $+122
Lottery Player
42% entries < $0.20
Win Streak
5 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active

Categories

7
🏛️ POLITICS#51,294$154Vol: $129,079
🌤️ WEATHER#2,799$445Vol: $118,119
⚽ SPORTS#1,517,540$-29Vol: $23,500
₿ CRYPTO#1,538,743$-216Vol: $8,200
💰 FINANCE#641,480$-208Vol: $7,181
📈 ECONOMICS#43,827$9Vol: $4,305
🎭 CULTURE#732,870$-24Vol: $3,307

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$122
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$302,692
Total Redeem
$100
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
532
total markets
Trades
2192B / 2814S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~86d

Periods

#2
Today
$70
Vol: $2,455
Week
$330
Vol: $2,455
Month
$48
Vol: $4,852
All Time
$122
Vol: $302,692

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
32%
169W / 356L events
Realized PnL
$122
Win Rate
32%
169W / 356L
Profit Factor
0.84x
Avg Win
$33
Avg Loss
$-20

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $1,706 (14.016596828526827% of PnL)

Top Winners

Iran closes its airspace by June 8?$701
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 15, 2026?$681
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 18°C on June 4?$324
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?$319
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?$306
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 11°C on June 16?$212
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on June 17?$206
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on June 8?$204
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 13°C on July 28?$184
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on June 20?$178

Top Losers

Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on June 21?$-720
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on June 19?$-415
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 17°C on June 21?$-283
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?$-282
Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?$-237
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$-190
Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?$-167
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on June 17?$-161
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T?$-157
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?$-150

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.056
Sortino
-0.063
HHI
187
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.066
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
7.9%
Top-5 markets
22.6%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
49.6
Active
Markets / Day
5.3
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
6:00 UTC
Median Gap
2.7m
between trades
Avg Gap
47.3m
between trades
Night Trading
33%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
3.33
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
2 min
Avg Trades / Session
8.2

Bot Detection

#6
45
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
MEDIUM
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 162s — normal for humanCV 3.33 — diverse sizes (human-like)33% night trades — never sleeps24/24 hours — around the clock50 trades/day — high frequency5.3 markets/day — normal44% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 6:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
9.32
Active DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)42.1%
Mid (20-55c)17.1%
High (>55c)40.8%

Sessions

#12
5/6/2026, 2:03:18 AM6 trades$5,0338 min
5/28/2026, 1:57:05 AM2 trades$5,0000 min
4/28/2026, 7:47:12 AM2 trades$3,3330 min
4/28/2026, 7:22:24 PM4 trades$3,3334 min
4/29/2026, 12:52:32 AM3 trades$3,3330 min
5/8/2026, 12:30:04 AM4 trades$3,1254 min
6/4/2026, 11:54:51 AM22 trades$2,6775 min
6/5/2026, 9:56:42 AM2 trades$2,5000 min
4/28/2026, 5:53:28 AM2 trades$2,3330 min
6/7/2026, 8:02:19 PM19 trades$2,0992 min
6/14/2026, 6:12:31 AM4 trades$2,0003 min
5/28/2026, 2:57:31 AM2 trades$2,0000 min
5/28/2026, 3:39:17 AM2 trades$2,0000 min
5/29/2026, 8:17:45 PM2 trades$2,0000 min
4/28/2026, 9:53:40 PM29 trades$1,79512 min
4/28/2026, 8:05:34 PM12 trades$1,6954 min
4/28/2026, 6:11:26 AM2 trades$1,3330 min
4/29/2026, 6:07:24 AM2 trades$1,2500 min
4/29/2026, 1:42:08 AM16 trades$1,2258 min
5/11/2026, 10:58:27 PM15 trades$1,0817 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
04-24
05-08
05-21
06-06
06-17
07-01
07-22

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 8 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
54% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
56.2% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 9.32/mkt
Entry Bias
LOW $
L42.1 / M17.1 / H40.8