@STEFAN888

#2,764,6470

0x8c53b233933facb91794ee5d37877e233b1d6339

~13d· 107 markets · 561 tradesVol: $47,7682026-08-02 06:38:42
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

0
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

10% (8/77)0/20
0.49x (win $453 / loss $930)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -6.3050/15
Sortino -6.2260/10
$-0.4428 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 3451 (77 markets)0/10
2/11 profitable days (18%)0/10
Max DD 468% of peak ($607 / $130)0/10

Badges

1
Lottery Player
57% entries < $0.20

Categories

5
🏛️ POLITICS#1,477,704$-58Vol: $22,680
SPORTS#1,736,822$-196Vol: $15,453
🌤️ WEATHER#259,546$-19Vol: $4,808
🎭 CULTURE#596,692$-3Vol: $2,445
📈 ECONOMICS#527,455$-2Vol: $2,382

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-279
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$47,768
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
107
total markets
Trades
179B / 382S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~13d

Periods

#2
Week
$-0
Vol: $0
Month
$0
Vol: $0
All Time
$-279
Vol: $47,768

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
10%
8W / 69L events
Realized PnL
$-279
Win Rate
10%
8W / 69L
Profit Factor
0.49x
Avg Win
$57
Avg Loss
$-16

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $322 (1.1554136471263543% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 29°C on June 10?$186
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 28°C on June 9?$71
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on June 9?$65
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on June 20?$63
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on June 10?$37
Spread: Netherlands (-3.5)$31

Top Losers

Germany vs. Côte d'Ivoire: Germany O/U 2.5$-226
Exact Score: Germany 1 - 1 Côte d'Ivoire?$-99
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on June 11?$-73
Netherlands vs. Sweden: 1st Half O/U 2.5$-72
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on June 11?$-68
Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30?$-34
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 27°C on June 9?$-26
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on June 9?$-25
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on June 9?$-24
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on June 21?$-21

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.315
Sortino
-0.313
HHI
473
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.496
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
15.2%
Top-5 markets
36.8%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
28.1
Active
Markets / Day
5.3
Active Hours
18/24
Extended
Peak Hour
17:00 UTC
Median Gap
45s
between trades
Avg Gap
53.5m
between trades
Night Trading
19%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
2.04
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
2 min
Avg Trades / Session
11.2

Bot Detection

#6
25
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
MEDIUM
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 45s — normal for humanCV 2.04 — diverse sizes (human-like)19% night trades — unusual hours18/24 hours — extended activity28 trades/day — high frequency5.3 markets/day — normal32% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 17:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
5.52
Active DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)57%
Mid (20-55c)7.3%
High (>55c)35.8%

Sessions

#12
6/21/2026, 5:41:29 AM39 trades$13,0564 min
6/20/2026, 10:24:31 AM2 trades$3,0000 min
6/25/2026, 4:20:19 PM23 trades$2,2555 min
6/20/2026, 5:06:59 PM8 trades$2,1250 min
6/19/2026, 5:07:40 PM35 trades$1,4558 min
6/19/2026, 4:14:47 PM2 trades$1,0000 min
6/20/2026, 7:38:17 AM27 trades$9364 min
6/20/2026, 7:18:41 PM28 trades$7635 min
6/10/2026, 7:53:25 AM46 trades$5518 min
6/22/2026, 2:06:53 PM14 trades$4544 min
6/20/2026, 5:39:32 PM11 trades$3299 min
6/11/2026, 5:19:07 PM25 trades$2871 min
6/20/2026, 6:54:02 PM2 trades$2830 min
6/9/2026, 4:23:40 AM30 trades$27410 min
6/11/2026, 4:35:45 AM6 trades$2410 min
6/20/2026, 9:03:43 PM2 trades$2240 min
6/20/2026, 10:01:32 PM9 trades$2221 min
6/9/2026, 12:12:07 PM17 trades$1681 min
6/20/2026, 8:35:52 PM5 trades$1510 min
6/8/2026, 6:08:07 PM13 trades$1420 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
06-09
06-10
06-11
06-12
06-13
06-19
06-20
06-21
06-22
06-25
06-27

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 17 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
38% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
68.1% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 5.52/mkt
Entry Bias
LOW $
L57 / M7.3 / H35.8