@guiloufarm2

#2,844,03325

0x8c8f0e0b7666194dc5f4050c0355f27bddcdb385

~13d· 141 markets · 582 tradesVol: $26,1912026-08-02 07:44:41
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

25
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

33% (15/46)1.3/20
1.07x (win $332 / loss $310)3.4/15
Annualised Sharpe 0.3827.2/15
Sortino 0.6176.2/10
$+0.0046 per $1 invested0.2/10
HHI 1482 (46 markets)5.1/10
11/30 profitable days (37%)1.7/10
Max DD 84% of peak ($109 / $131)0/10

Categories

9
🏛️ POLITICS#1,528,342$-108Vol: $8,651
💰 FINANCE#637,939$-154Vol: $7,253
SPORTS#1,661,917$-90Vol: $3,791
CRYPTO#1,404,203$-57Vol: $3,154
🎭 CULTURE#734,425$-25Vol: $1,638
🌤️ WEATHER#272,844$-41Vol: $1,217
📈 ECONOMICS#590,894$-9Vol: $244
💻 TECH#178,840$-1Vol: $105
📢 MENTIONS#129,622$-10Vol: $100

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-495
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$26,191
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
141
total markets
Trades
304B / 278S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~13d

Periods

#2
Today
$-1
Vol: $0
Week
$-18
Vol: $0
Month
$-1
Vol: $0
All Time
$-495
Vol: $26,191

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
33%
15W / 31L events
Realized PnL
$-495
Win Rate
33%
15W / 31L
Profit Factor
1.07x
Avg Win
$22
Avg Loss
$-11

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $243 (0.4909960834982033% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in July?$140
Microsoft (MSFT) Up or Down on July 24?$75
Will the Ornn B200 Index be at least $7.00 on July 31, 2026?$28
Will any AI model reach 1550 Math Arena Score by December 31, 2026?$24
Will Yvette Cooper be in the Burnham cabinet?$24
Will LeBron James play for the Cleveland Cavaliers in 2026-27?$14
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in July?$6
Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (LOW) $75 in July?$5
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 27, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET$5
Will Elon Musk post 680-719 tweets in July 2026?$4

Top Losers

Will Shabana Mahmood be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026?$-133
Will Verizon (VZ) Q2 total operating revenue be above $35.5B?$-32
Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-31
Will Core PCE YoY be 3.3% or less in June?$-18
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $176 in July?$-14
Will Lamine Yamal score 3+ goals during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-10
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on July 23?$-8
Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $3.60 in July?$-8
Will Hilton (HLT) beat quarterly earnings?$-8
Will Yu Deng win the 2026 Fields Medal?$-7

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.020
Sortino
0.028
HHI
136
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.014
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
10%
Top-5 markets
18.2%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
34.2
Active
Markets / Day
8.3
Active Hours
20/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
21:00 UTC
Median Gap
3.1m
between trades
Avg Gap
51.7m
between trades
Night Trading
25%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.26
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
3 min
Avg Trades / Session
6.8

Bot Detection

#6
35
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
MEDIUM
Median gap 188s — normal for humanCV 1.26 — diverse sizes (human-like)25% night trades — never sleeps20/24 hours — extended activity34 trades/day — high frequency8.3 markets/day — normal52% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 21:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
3.87
Moderate DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)24.3%
Mid (20-55c)11.5%
High (>55c)64.1%

Sessions

#12
7/16/2026, 4:44:01 PM8 trades$9344 min
7/16/2026, 9:27:50 PM20 trades$3651 min
7/18/2026, 1:21:30 AM11 trades$2243 min
7/20/2026, 1:58:03 PM4 trades$1802 min
7/16/2026, 9:15:43 PM11 trades$1716 min
7/17/2026, 1:53:09 PM12 trades$16310 min
7/16/2026, 4:59:43 PM4 trades$1620 min
7/17/2026, 9:20:18 PM10 trades$1593 min
7/17/2026, 9:46:33 PM14 trades$1593 min
7/21/2026, 3:08:33 AM3 trades$1401 min
7/17/2026, 9:55:06 PM3 trades$1320 min
7/17/2026, 10:26:10 PM30 trades$12422 min
7/16/2026, 1:31:10 AM3 trades$1225 min
7/21/2026, 4:11:25 PM7 trades$1216 min
7/16/2026, 9:57:08 PM9 trades$1194 min
7/17/2026, 2:24:04 PM8 trades$1191 min
7/16/2026, 9:40:11 PM10 trades$1168 min
7/20/2026, 4:18:57 PM11 trades$1100 min
7/18/2026, 4:40:48 PM6 trades$1091 min
7/16/2026, 11:26:35 PM13 trades$1082 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
2026-07-17 16:00:00
2026-07-23 01:30:00
2026-07-24 20:00:00
2026-07-28 13:00:00
2026-07-31 16:00:00
2026-08-01 19:00:00

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
17.4% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
47.8% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 3.87/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L24.3 / M11.5 / H64.1