@0x8cb3847851A810eeA254CDF97530959F0925b8ed-1728133386349

40

0x8cb3847851a810eea254cdf97530959f0925b8ed

~115d· 297 markets · 8126 trades2026-08-02 05:20:38
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

40
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

87% (237/271)20/20
0.75x (win $5,750 / loss $7,673)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -0.7600/15
Sortino -0.7790/10
$-0.0037 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 115 (271 markets)10/10
50/71 profitable days (70%)10/10
Max DD 520537% of peak ($5,674 / $1)0/10

Badges

8
Sniper
Win rate 87%
Diamond Hands
5% sells
DCA Master
Avg 29.2 entries/market
Whale
$520,888 invested
Consistent
50/71 profitable days
Win Streak
33 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active
🏗️Market Maker
98% maker orders

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-978
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$520,889
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
297
total markets
Trades
7689B / 437S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~115d

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
87%
237W / 34L events
Realized PnL
$-978
Win Rate
87%
237W / 34L
Profit Factor
0.75x
Avg Win
$24
Avg Loss
$-233

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $830 (0.8482611229842628% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?$402
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?$220
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?$207
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?$201
Will Bitcoin hit $150k by June 30, 2026?$197
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?$197
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?$191
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?$175
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?$162
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?$160

Top Losers

Will Bulgaria win Eurovision 2026?$-5,565
Over $3M committed to the Printr public sale?$-1,109
Will Monad perform an airdrop by October 31? $-464
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?$-419
Will Real Madrid win on 2025-11-09?$-48

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.040
Sortino
-0.022
HHI
121
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.004
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
3.5%
Top-5 markets
15.6%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
12.2
Active
Markets / Day
0.4
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
16:00 UTC
Median Gap
2.4m
between trades
Avg Gap
15.5m
between trades
Night Trading
22%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
0.92
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
27 min
Avg Trades / Session
27.7

Bot Detection

#6
40
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 142s — normal for humanCV 0.92 — diverse sizes (human-like)22% night trades — unusual hours24/24 hours — around the clock12 trades/day — very active0.4 markets/day — normal98% maker — systematic market making

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 16:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
29.2
Heavy DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)0%
Mid (20-55c)0.1%
High (>55c)99.9%

Sessions

#12
4/30/2026, 9:53:54 AM154 trades$12,775133 min
4/30/2026, 1:48:44 PM60 trades$4,72048 min
3/5/2026, 9:46:53 PM21 trades$4,4553 min
4/30/2026, 3:23:58 PM58 trades$4,03361 min
5/15/2026, 8:12:51 PM37 trades$3,69422 min
5/15/2026, 7:31:08 AM42 trades$3,36656 min
3/5/2026, 4:09:45 AM29 trades$3,02736 min
4/30/2026, 7:12:48 AM26 trades$2,57125 min
5/15/2026, 10:49:18 PM43 trades$2,46046 min
5/14/2026, 11:49:47 AM15 trades$2,3002 min
4/30/2026, 7:46:26 AM27 trades$2,28226 min
5/15/2026, 8:52:18 PM46 trades$2,26144 min
5/14/2026, 7:43:27 PM32 trades$2,24035 min
5/15/2026, 8:44:57 AM26 trades$2,22120 min
4/30/2026, 9:19:42 AM26 trades$2,12126 min
3/5/2026, 3:19:13 AM47 trades$2,02525 min
5/14/2026, 9:52:12 PM24 trades$1,96826 min
4/29/2026, 5:53:18 AM27 trades$1,85832 min
4/29/2026, 8:38:36 PM22 trades$1,84633 min
4/29/2026, 6:30:20 PM29 trades$1,82833 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
10-05
06-20
03-05
05-07
05-19
06-04
06-27

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 271 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
HOLD
5.4% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 29.2/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L0 / M0.1 / H99.9