@0x8cb4ca5af7d9361322340bb307a828d288c91057

#12965

0x8cb4ca5af7d9361322340bb307a828d288c91057

~11d· 21 markets · 4723 tradesVol: $14,934,2132026-08-02 05:23:16
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

65
Good
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

48% (10/21)8.8/20
1.35x (win $6,742,943 / loss $4,990,983)6.9/15
Annualised Sharpe 3.10915/15
Sortino 5.19410/10
$+0.2429 per $1 invested10/10
HHI 868 (21 markets)8.2/10
6/11 profitable days (55%)6.1/10
Max DD 74% of peak ($2,877,947 / $3,865,203)0/10

Badges

5
Profitable
PnL $+1,326,198
Contrarian
80% entries < $0.55
DCA Master
Avg 224.9 entries/market
Whale
$7,212,508 invested
High Roller
$515,179/day

Categories

1
SPORTS#89$1,326,198Vol: $14,934,213

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$1,326,198
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$14,934,213
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
21
total markets
Trades
3110B / 1613S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~11d

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
48%
10W / 11L events
Realized PnL
$1,326,198
Win Rate
48%
10W / 11L
Profit Factor
1.35x
Avg Win
$674,294
Avg Loss
$-453,726

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $3,927,287 (2.961312994279037% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will Sweden win on 2026-06-14?$2,047,538
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-18?$971,498
Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 2.5$908,251
Will United States win on 2026-06-12?$904,533
Czechia vs. Mexico: O/U 2.5$570,787
Spread: Morocco (-1.5)$416,326
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13?$393,239
Spread: Uruguay (-1.5)$252,713
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-18?$241,294
Germany vs. Curaçao: O/U 4.5$36,764

Top Losers

Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-19?$-1,579,200
Spread: Belgium (-1.5)$-741,144
Will IR Iran win on 2026-06-15?$-648,000
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13?$-472,082
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5$-420,078
Spread: England (-2.5)$-389,742
Spread: England (-1.5)$-323,021
Spread: Brazil (-1.5)$-222,409
Belgium vs. IR Iran: O/U 2.5$-97,553
Spread: Spain (-2.5)$-55,754

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.155
Sortino
0.297
HHI
739
Moderate
EV per $1
$0.243
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
15.3%
Top-5 markets
48%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
337.4
Very active
Markets / Day
1.5
Active Hours
15/24
Extended
Peak Hour
21:00 UTC
Median Gap
3s
between trades
Avg Gap
3.7m
between trades
Night Trading
13%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
8.46
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
34
Avg Duration
10 min
Avg Trades / Session
138.9

Bot Detection

#6
45
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
HIGH
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
MEDIUM
Trade Frequency
HIGH
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
49% gaps < 3s — suspicious speedCV 8.46 — diverse sizes (human-like)13% night trades — normal pattern15/24 hours — normal schedule337 trades/day — automation1.5 markets/day — normal66% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 21:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
224.9
Heavy DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)0%
Mid (20-55c)80%
High (>55c)20%

Sessions

#12
6/20/2026, 2:43:25 AM6 trades$1,680,0003 min
6/13/2026, 10:13:33 PM605 trades$1,126,61383 min
6/18/2026, 9:39:08 PM567 trades$997,3650 min
6/14/2026, 9:27:06 PM216 trades$900,0903 min
6/12/2026, 8:16:34 PM22 trades$842,9048 min
6/23/2026, 5:34:26 PM715 trades$722,184100 min
6/14/2026, 9:39:33 PM123 trades$686,4242 min
6/24/2026, 9:58:38 PM84 trades$632,9309 min
6/16/2026, 12:22:01 AM15 trades$600,0000 min
6/25/2026, 12:43:29 AM467 trades$507,35217 min
6/14/2026, 8:57:13 PM132 trades$500,0084 min
6/21/2026, 4:28:34 PM204 trades$428,04554 min
6/13/2026, 10:04:40 PM98 trades$424,3531 min
6/13/2026, 7:20:54 PM792 trades$422,24211 min
6/21/2026, 9:28:28 PM262 trades$321,3501 min
6/18/2026, 8:05:43 PM55 trades$281,2941 min
6/21/2026, 6:46:07 PM15 trades$227,2720 min
6/21/2026, 5:32:07 PM60 trades$145,7320 min
6/21/2026, 6:59:44 PM33 trades$96,4620 min
6/15/2026, 9:08:27 PM12 trades$92,0000 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
06-12
06-13
06-14
06-15
06-16
06-18
06-20
06-21
06-23
06-24
06-25

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 5 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
34.2% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 224.9/mkt
Entry Bias
MIXED
L0 / M80 / H20