@AlexMercerOne
#3,070,854260x8d06b69858838de58452d964bbde54b33f6a7910
~44d· 122 markets · 3907 tradesVol: $9,418,7682026-08-02 06:24:55
SMART SCORE SYSTEM
Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.
Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.
26
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard
Score Components
43% (53/122)6.7/20
0.79x (win $1,255,324 / loss $1,579,129)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -1.4980/15
Sortino -1.7910/10
$-0.1704 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 329 (122 markets)10/10
29/44 profitable days (66%)9/10
Max DD 648% of peak ($638,521 / $98,595)0/10
Badges
4Whale
$1,900,345 invested
Consistent
29/44 profitable days
High Roller
$26,765/day
🦉Night Owl
23/24 hours active
Categories
4⚽ SPORTS#1,882,324$-262,299Vol: $9,374,206
₿ CRYPTO#1,669,878$-10,019Vol: $38,147
📈 ECONOMICS#657,018$-93Vol: $2,667
💰 FINANCE#5,454$682Vol: $1,092
Overview
#1Net PnL
$-270,902
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$9,418,768
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
122
total markets
Trades
765B / 3142S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~44d
PnL Analysis
#3Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology
Win Rate (events)
43%
53W / 69L events
Realized PnL
$-270,902
Win Rate
43%
53W / 69L
Profit Factor
0.79x
Avg Win
$23,685
Avg Loss
$-24,674
Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $527,344 (1.9466180149577093% of PnL)
Top Winners
Jordan vs. Argentina: O/U 3.5$287,382
Will Spain win on 2026-07-10?$126,949
Türkiye vs. United States: O/U 4.5$113,012
Scotland vs. Brazil: O/U 2.5$97,173
Spain vs. Belgium: O/U 2.5$91,252
Spread: Qarabağ Ağdam FK (-2.5)$71,022
Belgium vs. Senegal: O/U 2.5$54,687
Qairat FK vs. FK Sutjeska Nikšić: O/U 2.5$49,727
IR Iran vs. New Zealand: O/U 3.5$47,851
Senegal vs. Iraq: O/U 3.5$47,708
Top Losers
Netherlands vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5$-250,161
South Africa vs. Korea Republic: O/U 1.5$-171,678
Spread: Qairat FK (-1.5)$-136,255
Spread: Germany (-1.5)$-124,905
Panama vs. England: O/U 2.5$-100,583
Colombia vs. Portugal: O/U 2.5$-100,000
Colombia vs. DR Congo: O/U 1.5$-78,014
Panama vs. England: O/U 3.5$-77,860
France vs. Morocco: France O/U 2.5$-67,375
Will Brazil win on 2026-07-05?$-66,000
Risk Metrics
#4Sharpe
-0.077
Sortino
-0.063
HHI
350
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.170
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
6.6%
Top-5 markets
30%
Behavior Analysis
#5Trades / Day
55.0
Very active
Markets / Day
1.7
Active Hours
23/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
6:00 UTC
Median Gap
18s
between trades
Avg Gap
1.3h
between trades
Night Trading
28%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
3.12
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
3 min
Avg Trades / Session
54.8
Bot Detection
#655
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability
7 indicators analyzed
Trade Speed
HIGH
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
MEDIUM
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 18s — normal for humanCV 3.12 — diverse sizes (human-like)28% night trades — never sleeps23/24 hours — around the clock55 trades/day — mass trading1.7 markets/day — normal20% maker — normal mix
Timing Patterns
#7Peak hour: 6:00 UTC
0
4
8
12
16
20
DCA Analysis
#8Avg entries/market
32.02
Price Levels
#9Low (<20c)2.1%
Mid (20-55c)32.8%
High (>55c)65.1%
Sessions
#126/28/2026, 12:17:31 AM203 trades$315,3637 min
6/29/2026, 10:29:50 PM44 trades$271,9141 min
7/10/2026, 4:23:55 PM236 trades$214,1924 min
6/27/2026, 3:25:31 PM203 trades$177,5696 min
6/25/2026, 6:56:47 AM137 trades$155,5620 min
6/28/2026, 12:55:19 AM108 trades$140,76314 min
6/27/2026, 4:05:34 PM62 trades$125,6094 min
7/8/2026, 12:09:16 PM115 trades$123,0623 min
6/26/2026, 2:06:35 AM123 trades$113,9629 min
6/24/2026, 6:01:29 AM114 trades$102,9201 min
7/9/2026, 10:36:58 PM2 trades$100,0000 min
6/26/2026, 9:26:05 AM103 trades$95,8634 min
7/5/2026, 4:16:43 PM15 trades$89,9455 min
6/24/2026, 2:57:01 AM40 trades$88,2870 min
6/25/2026, 2:28:04 AM32 trades$76,3050 min
6/27/2026, 1:59:04 PM68 trades$72,0680 min
7/9/2026, 9:34:16 PM36 trades$66,9423 min
6/28/2026, 2:39:01 PM52 trades$64,9591 min
7/7/2026, 12:35:25 AM64 trades$64,8134 min
6/25/2026, 2:41:56 AM25 trades$64,2223 min
Equity Curve
#13Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
05-05
05-17
06-11
06-18
06-25
07-04
07-11
Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)
Max drawdown: 15 days (not recovered)
Profile
#14Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
80.4% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 32.02/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L2.1 / M32.8 / H65.1