@abdoohl

#12,30113

0x8e4f8d2922fa1f5312f89f36d3f4c358c6924594

~130d· 183 markets · 9397 tradesVol: $1,073,2222026-08-02 06:27:04
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

13
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

33% (46/140)1.4/20
0.52x (win $27,008 / loss $51,709)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -3.2760/15
Sortino -3.6760/10
$-0.1169 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 334 (140 markets)10/10
26/69 profitable days (38%)1.9/10
Max DD 313% of peak ($39,843 / $12,721)0/10

Badges

5
Profitable
PnL $+12,084
Whale
$211,220 invested
High Roller
$1,565/day
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active
🏗️Market Maker
78% maker orders

Categories

1
🌤️ WEATHER#291,396$-236Vol: $7,783

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$12,084
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$1,073,222
Total Redeem
$10
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
183
total markets
Trades
6036B / 3361S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~130d

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
33%
46W / 94L events
Realized PnL
$12,084
Win Rate
33%
46W / 94L
Profit Factor
0.52x
Avg Win
$587
Avg Loss
$-550

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $12,779 (1.0575255292034227% of PnL)

Top Winners

Iran closes its airspace by May 24?$5,515
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?$4,807
Will Iran close its airspace by December 31?$2,457
Israel closes its airspace by July 31?$2,421
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by June 30?$1,966
Iran closes its airspace by June 30?$1,488
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 7, 2026?$1,057
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?$990
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?$921
Will Russia enter Novooleksandrivka by May 31, 2026?$911

Top Losers

Israel closes its airspace by June 30?$-7,266
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?$-4,620
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24?$-4,200
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026?$-3,925
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?$-3,627
Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?$-2,446
Iran full airspace closure by July 15?$-2,086
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by July 31?$-1,965
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 15, 2026?$-1,837
Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by June 30?$-1,306

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.170
Sortino
-0.170
HHI
179
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.177
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
6.7%
Top-5 markets
25.1%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
69.6
Very active
Markets / Day
1.4
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
15:00 UTC
Median Gap
5.0m
between trades
Avg Gap
31.0m
between trades
Night Trading
23%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
2.25
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
6 min
Avg Trades / Session
17.8

Bot Detection

#6
50
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
MEDIUM
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 302s — normal for humanCV 2.25 — diverse sizes (human-like)23% night trades — unusual hours24/24 hours — around the clock70 trades/day — mass trading1.4 markets/day — normal78% maker — frequent liquidity provider

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 15:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
50.59
Heavy DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)16.9%
Mid (20-55c)25.2%
High (>55c)57.8%

Sessions

#12
7/16/2026, 12:46:56 PM110 trades$6,6600 min
7/25/2026, 11:45:46 AM22 trades$5,6531 min
6/24/2026, 1:47:20 AM11 trades$5,2114 min
7/27/2026, 6:10:39 PM13 trades$4,6273 min
7/28/2026, 9:59:23 PM50 trades$3,83526 min
8/2/2026, 12:57:36 AM17 trades$3,5317 min
6/8/2026, 11:49:25 AM11 trades$3,4521 min
7/16/2026, 6:33:02 PM32 trades$3,1980 min
6/12/2026, 8:24:36 PM42 trades$3,1036 min
7/29/2026, 9:45:57 PM52 trades$2,98922 min
6/13/2026, 12:47:10 AM36 trades$2,87416 min
6/7/2026, 12:48:30 PM2 trades$2,8650 min
7/24/2026, 2:21:04 PM18 trades$2,59313 min
7/6/2026, 10:13:14 PM9 trades$2,55210 min
5/29/2026, 6:54:13 PM33 trades$2,43818 min
7/20/2026, 12:33:27 AM6 trades$2,4135 min
7/27/2026, 9:14:21 PM59 trades$2,39521 min
6/7/2026, 12:37:34 PM5 trades$2,2323 min
6/12/2026, 12:37:37 AM6 trades$2,1880 min
7/9/2026, 3:03:41 PM14 trades$2,0824 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
03-25
04-29
05-14
05-29
06-18
07-07
07-29

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 61 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
35.8% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 50.59/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L16.9 / M25.2 / H57.8